1 & 2: Yes, they really screwed up on those.
3: Blue-ray is a funny thing. Out of the video game market, it is said that the Blu-ray is winning. Maybe because it sounds and feels next-gen, but also probably because it can actually contain much more DVDs, and is the largest public ROM format.
I, for one, am totally for getting the biggest burnable support possible (there's a difference of 20 GB between both formats, with a 12 cm large single layer disc), because it's much more reliable than a frakin' HDD that crumbles every two years or so if you transport and use it too much. So the more room the better.
But, well, I look at the advances made for the HD-DVD... it's promising. It will always be under what a Blu-ray can contain, sure, but when they talk about 10 layered discs which can provide 150 Gb for a HD-DVD (and 250 Gb or a Blur-ray), I must wonder if, on the console plane, Microsoft has really lost anything at all.
150 Gb will be insanely huge. You won't need that for a game of this next-generation, unless you try to cramp as many HD FMVs as you can, and garanty to sell games which require 200 hours to be completed, devlopped by batteries of designers.
Even middlewares can't help fill the void.
4: It's true that Gears rally hit the scene with much aura. But I can't deny the avalanche of ads for this game as well. Coupled to the positive appraisal, it really helped. A good campaign. At the same time, I've seen nothing worth of it to show that the PS3 had something to offer.
5 & 6: Your last idea about the cut out on the package, is it a "1 PS3 + 1 HD TV", for a reduced price, right?
Mh, I think that might not work. It's true, Sony's almost stuck, if not totally stuck, and they need to make a daring move, but they have to make the right one, and there's just plenty of them which are false indicators, tempting suicidal gambles, which would doom the console even more.
Putting such a package in place, saying that the only way to have a significant cut on some "true" (to be debated) piece of next-gen, is to acquire the whole lot, or nothing, is not going to work I'm afraid.
If in theory, it means that either the HD TV or the PS3 will cost significantly less, it also means that you have now to pay for an even greater total of money.
This would feel like forcing people to buy expensive stuff, especially in a climate where it doesn't feel necessary. Or doable.
It could shoot backwards at Sony's face.
That's the problem, they so heavily associated the PS3 with the living room commodities of a real next generation, especially with HD, that it feels like, instinctly, that you're castrating the PS3 on anything that's not HD.
That said, I'm not sure Microsoft ever claimed that they didn't require HD for their Xbox360, but to me, it doesn't look like they ever made it an urge to enjoy the power of their console.
It almost seems to play another song, right now, in parallel to Sony's overpompous parade, where you feel like you can perfectly enjoy Microsoft's next-gen on the house equipment you already own, which strikes a cord to many of us I bet.
The fact that the HDMI/DVI-D outputs were not present from go actually supports this overall feeling.
In the european country I live, those HD screens, even if they start to sell, are still simply way too expensive.
Saying you're ready for HD, is smart. Letting time to the consumer to decide when he's or she's ready to make the jump is, well, kind (but let's cut the naivety there).
Now, saying that you must have the HD to really experience the power of an expensive console... it actually feels like it's either both or none. A gamble. Unfortunately, as I said above, having both is even more expensive, despite any eventual bundle at a reduced cost.
The PS3 is, to me, simply too high end at the moment. Trouble is that it could actually remain out of reach for quite a while.
Plus there's the developpers' side. It's very important to Sony to convince editors, no matter their various weights in the industry, to produce for the PS3, above all under exclusive contracts.
However, there's a problem. I've read, just so many times, how the 360 is easier to code for.
That's the trick, because assuming it's true, then I suppose that if Microsoft keeps the same kind of architecture, if it's possible, it will be as easy to code for the next Xbox (I liked your 720) as it is now for the 360.
This next Box will likely pop in during the PS3's mid years (on a scale of ten years). This could turn out to be a death blow to the PS3/three.
Question is, how much into the PS4 Sony already is? Do they intimately think they have to pass this turn?
Plus there's Nintendo behind, and god knows what they'll come with in the two 2-3 years to come, considering the gross income they're experiencing now. And yes, the Wii is also very expensive for what it is. But the price still is far below anything else, so the pill is swallowed without a second thought.