Funny enough I don't know a policy solution that would 100% be able to have China, and the ruling CCP stand down on this. I only know of a solution to get them to be contained and solve some of the sufferings.
Regime change with allies would lead to a Russia-like situation and lead to volatility around Asia in the aftermath. Also nukes.
Regime change without allies is suicidal and could lead to a nuclear conflict.
Sanctions could lead to a global Cold War, and even if we win the first applies, and if we lose, we lose our control of the shipping, and trade(western world).
Doing nothing could lead to China outgrowing the US, and installing 1984 in everyone's digital devices, and the second half of the above applies eventually.
Sanctions with allies and a willing coalition are the least bad option, but is hard, and would disrupt climate change problems.
A digital arms race would mean we win***, but China still is in control of China.
My personal one is where we dispute, and disrupt CCP media to overseas Chinese in hopes of them solves the problem(not me since I suck), but again if China votes in a nationalist who is also an imperialist, what is the point, now they have an even bigger economy, and we are screw.
I also feel like liberals are over-confident on China on both sides.
- Low Birth-rates are a policy outcome that can be solved via policy solutions, of which I know multiple of, so it's not assumed China will face demographic challenges as they have the money to overcome it
- Even if China gets just Taiwan they could threaten US shipping by breaking through into the Pacific
- The CCP military is not a paper tiger given its performance in the Korean, and Vietnam War, and the fact that they have modern weapons only dwarfed by the US
- They are behind the US in aircraft tech, yes, but the WS-15 engine has too much R&D money build behind it to not, not breakthrough
- Chinese Foreign policy is more than just smoke, and mirrors, it' should be assumed that they learned the lesson of the USSRs of which there are multiple
- Russia should fear China more than the US, but Putin is pissed we took his oppressive USSR away
- Most members of the HK protests have been arrested, but not killed*** to prevent another Che to happen
- Climate change won't destroy China as they have enough money to off-set it like moving farmers into apartment blocks
- The Chinese business community is the biggest threat to China, not the US, India, or Japan. (they are the only ones with the credibility, and power to threaten CCP rule)
- No one knows if there will be an Asian century or not until either China comes out on top or the century pasts
*** = More likely than unlikely.
My policy solutions for this however are.
Every refugee from China gets screened, but higher acceptance rates(brain drain)
More funding to R&D, and EVs/ Emerging technology(Space, AI, Energy, etc.)
More shipyards, and subsidized rare-earths in USD, and allies. (Including processing)
Higher immigration rates into the US overall( more people = bigger economy)
Lower the inequality in the US to give their press less to talk about when they are like Fox News talking about how President Harris or Biden or Cortez is too boorish, you have won.
More nuclear hotlines between China, Russia, and the US to avoid a miscalculation.
I don't know if we will win the Cold War together with all our Cold War allies, it should be our goal to build our economy as if we will be forced not to be reliant on free trade.
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