Pelosi finally actually moves to Impeach Trump

Saelune

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Took her too long, but here we are.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/pelosi-top-democrats-privately-discuss-creation-of-select-committee-for-impeachment/2019/09/24/af6f735a-dedf-11e9-b199-f638bf2c340f_story.html

From my understanding, this means that The House will now vote to Impeach Trump or not, but even if it succeeds, most likely the Republican Senate will squash it...

But that just means everyone involved will have to decide once and for all whether they are in league with Trump or not.
 

Hades

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But people already decided whether or not they are in league with Trump. The Republicans already made it very clear they sold their soul to him and that they will protect him until the end. The impeachment will reveal no new loyalties.

I fear this will end up backfiring. Republicans will kill it in the senate anyway but Trump's cult will likely get mobilized and radicalized by this attack on their ''great leader''
 

Avnger

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Saelune said:
Took her too long, but here we are.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/powerpost/pelosi-top-democrats-privately-discuss-creation-of-select-committee-for-impeachment/2019/09/24/af6f735a-dedf-11e9-b199-f638bf2c340f_story.html

From my understanding, this means that The House will now vote to Impeach Trump or not, but even if it succeeds, most likely the Republican Senate will squash it...

But that just means everyone involved will have to decide once and for all whether they are in league with Trump or not.
They will eventually have that vote, yes. First, however, is the formal House investigation.

It's roughly analogous to a criminal prosecution.

1. Grand Jury convenes and investigates whether criminal charges should be pressed -- Investigation(s) in the House into whether the President committed "Treason, Bribery, or other high Crimes and Misdemeanors" <--- Here now

2. Grand Jury votes on which charges to indict on -- Impeachment vote(s) by all House representatives (simple majority)

3. Criminal trial is convened with judge and jury -- Removal from office proceedings in Senate judged by Chief Justice of the Supreme Court

4. Trial Jury decides guilty/not guilty -- Removal from office vote by all Senators (2/3 majority)
 
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Hades said:
But people already decided whether or not they are in league with Trump. The Republicans already made it very clear they sold their soul to him and that they will protect him until the end. The impeachment will reveal no new loyalties.

I fear this will end up backfiring. Republicans will kill it in the senate anyway but Trump's cult will likely get mobilized and radicalized by this attack on their ''great leader''
This is the fear. This is what Pelosi kept saying when she asked people to not grasp at impeachment so readily. There is a new Teflon Don in the world. Charges that would sink anyone else only strengthens this Anthropomorphized Orange. Trudeau is dying over Blackface, and The President Of The United States called for a Foreign Powers aid to discredit a political opponent by releasing information of a possible (despicable) bartering technique... and twisted the screws by doing the same thing himself [https://www.nytimes.com/2019/09/23/us/politics/trump-un-biden-ukraine.html].

The Republicans don't care about how anything looks. They control the Senate, they have the Supreme Court, and they have the Gerrymandered Districts. And a rabid cult that by and large has shrugged off any sense of decency because their side is winning.

I'm not saying I'm against Impeachment. I have no faith in Trump at all. He seemingly goes out of his way to show that we should never have faith in him. By his 'forgetful' nature or the fact that every time he speaks news organizations has to continually explain how much of his speech was flat out lies, he should never have been president and every American will forever be stained knowing that he now represents us in some fashion.

And yes, even those people who are for Trump are stained. Even if they like it.

BUT.

For a proper Impeachment that won't have a retaliatory motion (and remember, Trump HIMSELF is a retaliation), the evidence needs to be damning and unforgivable. I don't see this as damning because the faithful will probably rationalize it as "What person doesn't try to get dirt on their opponent (a la last election)", see anything the Democrats doing to be worse "Did Biden REALLY threaten to withhold funds in order to get his son a job?! Horrible! (while ignoring Trump's son-in-law previous dealings [https://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2017/05/jared-kushner-conflict-of-interest/525897/])... and most won't even care because they will just see it as Trump trying to win at all cost and they love that.

This will enrage the people it was going to enrage (i.e. us) and not convince the faithful of anything.

Now, to take off my bias hat and see it as an independent or undecided... I might be shocked, a bit? Maybe turned a little more off by Trump. Would it make me seek out to elect a democrat? I don't know. As an independent, I might not see this as a big deal. I might see it as "Oh, he got caught with his hand in the cookie jar, so what" and might tune out about it. And then I'd be inundated by democrats talking, talking, talking, talking about it. It wouldn't make me run screaming to the Democrats, begging me to save the entire world.

If I was the average independent or undecided, I don't know if I would see this as an issue. The only way I could is if it was proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that what he did was in violation of an actual law. Just like how people were swayed away from Hillary when Comey announced the FBI was investigating Hillary again weeks before the election.

And unfortunately as Avengr pointed out, not that many people understand what the Impeachment Process is. You can be guilty of something and not be impeached. Bill Clinton did commit Perjury. But he had the Senate on his side. So that's a thing.
 

Worgen

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Whatever, just wash your hands.
Well, I guess now we shall see how this will turn out. It does have a lot of room to go badly, I mean trumps entire life is essentially dancing around charges. Plus there is almost no way the senate will do anything so I wouldn't be surprised if this comes off as just theater. But, I guess we shall see, at this stage it is just an investigation.
 

Saelune

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Hades said:
But people already decided whether or not they are in league with Trump. The Republicans already made it very clear they sold their soul to him and that they will protect him until the end. The impeachment will reveal no new loyalties.

I fear this will end up backfiring. Republicans will kill it in the senate anyway but Trump's cult will likely get mobilized and radicalized by this attack on their ''great leader''
This is not about whether or not Trump is guilty, we all know he is, hundred times over. It is to see whether or not the Government is guilty and beyond saving or not.

We must not fear the Trump cult. That is the problem, fearing them. We need to stand up to them, and not be afraid to, and not to condemn those who do. Let them out themselves for what they are. We already have them freaking out because a young girl dared speak out, not even against them, but in defense of the environment and Trump's cult is already condemning this child for it.
 

Silentpony_v1legacy

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Something isn't right here. The reason she was holding back on impeachment is it was a 'Get out of jail free' card if/when Trump wins reelection. It was the final straw, the Ultimate Sanction. She must know something about the election if she's pulling this card so soon.
 
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Silentpony said:
Something isn't right here. The reason she was holding back on impeachment is it was a 'Get out of jail free' card if/when Trump wins reelection. It was the final straw, the Ultimate Sanction. She must know something about the election if she's pulling this card so soon.
No, I don't think it's that per se.

I think the election has a lot to do with it. But more over that the Corporate Democrats have long seemed weak willed and cowardly. This is a chance to show some clout, that they won't let things stand and they are a party of action.

And let's not forget the biggest part of it... The whistleblower just blew the whistle. That's when the race begins. They would look like manipulative little weaklings if they just held onto this in their back pocket just in case Trump won.

Come on, would anyone take them seriously if Trump somehow won a re-election and the day after they yelled "HEY, REMEMBER THAT THING THAT HAPPENED AN ENTIRE YEAR AGO?! I THINK WE SHOULD ADDRESS THAT NOW APROPO NOTHING!"

This is a radioactive deal, but it needs to be addressed. Again, this is the last thing that Pelosi wants, and I can see why she thinks that way. But an Election Year is coming up. And they have to look like they are Fighters instead of Fretters.
 

Thaluikhain

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Saelune said:
We must not fear the Trump cult. That is the problem, fearing them. We need to stand up to them, and not be afraid to, and not to condemn those who do. Let them out themselves for what they are. We already have them freaking out because a young girl dared speak out, not even against them, but in defense of the environment and Trump's cult is already condemning this child for it.
Second that, the Trump cultists are not sitting round quietly waiting to be called to action, they are out and about now. They are going to throw tantrums and try to destroy the US either way. Might as well try doing something about it.
 

Saelune

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Silentpony said:
Something isn't right here. The reason she was holding back on impeachment is it was a 'Get out of jail free' card if/when Trump wins reelection. It was the final straw, the Ultimate Sanction. She must know something about the election if she's pulling this card so soon.
I am glad she finally did it, though it is more of a 'About damn time' than a 'Yay Pelosi'. But honestly, I kinda think Pelosi felt going after old man Biden was 'going too far'.

Like, really? Ukraine and Biden is the straw that broke Pelosi's back? Not the rape or pedophelia, not the oligarchy, not the concentration camps, hell, not even really Trump being a Russian puppet, but because Trump wanted Ukraine to dig dirt on Biden for allegedly doing what Trump himself has done.

Whatever, I am far less picky these days as long as something good comes out of it.
 

Hawki

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Do you think it's going to make a difference?

I mean, the whole Ukraine/Biden thing is reminiscent of Watergate, but it feels like we're so inured (and by "we," I include myself, admittedly) to Trump's fuckery, that it seems that the system is as well.

There's also the fact that this can go with either:

a) Trump is impeached and is replaced by Pence (Pence is competent, but that's arguably bad for Democrats)

b) Trump isn't impeached, and it's used as fuel for his 2020 campaign

Neither of these scenarios is a 100% win for people who want Trump gone.
 

Seanchaidh

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It's easy to get the impression that Pelosi is finally getting serious about impeaching Trump because it looks like he wants to investigate Joe Biden's corruption.
 

Trunkage

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Seanchaidh said:
It's easy to get the impression that Pelosi is finally getting serious about impeaching Trump because it looks like he wants to investigate Joe Biden's corruption.
'Bout time we took them both out (if they actually did the wrong thing.)
 

Nedoras

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Seanchaidh said:
It's easy to get the impression that Pelosi is finally getting serious about impeaching Trump because it looks like he wants to investigate Joe Biden's corruption.
Honestly this was my first thought and I had a good laugh about it. As Saelune pointed out, it's wild that THIS is what broke the camel's back. Especially considering how adamant Pelosi has been about not impeaching. It's probably just a coincidence as Democrats have been calling for impeachment for awhile, it's just Pelosi kept shutting it down. It's possible they just finally got through to her, as who knows if they would ever get another "right" moment to give it a shot. Still gave me a laugh and annoyed the hell out of me though...still does.

Will it succeed though? Probably not. Will that matter? Who the hell knows. The American electorate is fucking wild and makes no damn sense at the best of times. Ultimately I think this will come down to who manages to take hold of the narrative if it fails.
 

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I don't see the point. It can't actually succeed but that doesn't matter if it scandalises Trump or the Republican party with the swing voters. These tend to be low information voters and they won't understand this Ukrainian investigation scandal. They're just going to assume that if there's something to investigate, it should be investigated, whether by domestic or foreign powers, but otherwise not care. That foreign powers can influence Trump by staying at his hotel would be a more viable sell.
 

Seanchaidh

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warmachine said:
I don't see the point. It can't actually succeed but that doesn't matter if it scandalises Trump or the Republican party with the swing voters. These tend to be low information voters and they won't understand this Ukrainian investigation scandal. They're just going to assume that if there's something to investigate, it should be investigated, whether by domestic or foreign powers, but otherwise not care. That foreign powers can influence Trump by staying at his hotel would be a more viable sell.
I imagine they could have quite the list of emoluments by now, though on principle I object to distinguishing between foreign and domestic largess. It's no worse to be influenced by Russia or Israel than it is Raytheon.
 

Silent Protagonist

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Seanchaidh said:
It's easy to get the impression that Pelosi is finally getting serious about impeaching Trump because it looks like he wants to investigate Joe Biden's corruption.
What I find strange is that the thing that they think is finally enough for impeachment, namely withholding foreign aid to the Ukrane as a quid pro quo, is the same thing Biden has actually bragged about doing. If Pelosi is trying to keep the Socialists in her party at Bay she is doing a terrible job because it looks like this controversy could bring down both their big obstacles, Trump without and Biden within. I doubt that will happen though. My guess is that this will play out much as it has before, Democrats will raise a huge fuss about how horrible the thing is, then more info will come out revealing the contents of their mystery box to not live up to the hype, and the whole thing will just kind of slowly fizzle out to simmer in the background. Maybe this time will be different though
 

Silvanus

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I highly doubt these proceedings were brought for the purpose of actually succeeding. The chance is too low.

It's an effort to energise the voterbase ahead of the election. That's why it came now rather than sooner. And it will energise the incumbents as much as it will the opposition.