Occam's razor states that the most simple answer is usually the right one. Usually. I can't trust that it's not rigged, especially something as outlandish as that.stinkychops said:I'm not trusting him, I'm trusting that it wasn't rigged, seeing as all the other years he didn't get it perfect. Netherlands were undefeated, Spain had a loss. Occolms razor, its easier to believe it was chance.Jaranja said:Spain were always the favourites, right from the beginning.stinkychops said:They didn't know who would win, I'm under the impression Netherlands were the favourites. So why would they bet on Spain? Its just cool and unlikely, christ, not everything has to be trickery.Jaranja said:I'm still 90% sure that they could easily make the octopus go for one or the other.stinkychops said:The octopus did not make any judgements based on wether one team was better on the other, he went for oysters. Thus it is a 50/50 chance each time, and an ~8% chance overall.Jaranja said:Not with some of the teams playing.stinkychops said:He had a 8% chance of being right throughout all of them. It is impressive.Jaranja said:Oh yeah, lucky octopus! I think we should put him on Deal or no deal, see how he fares. If he wins all the money, then yeah psychic.
Guessing with 1/2 odds isn't that hard.
Also, you're trusting a so-called psychic octopus?