Hardcore_gamer said:
No, the Japanese were training children to charge at invading allied soldiers in suicidal runs, and people were killing there own children to prevent the Americas from getting near them. Japan never really had a big resource base in the first place so a lack of resources would not have been forced them to surrender.
Well absolutely, it's a very good point that you've made. I should say that I'm not unaware of the preparations, the quite ludicrous preparations, that the Japanese were making to resist an invasion. But despite those preparations I think it's worth pondering how long an entire society can be expected to maintain what was essentially a psychotic attitude. It appears that they were ready for a sort of glorious last stand, a readiness that would be very difficult to maintain indefinitely with the resources that they possessed; you must remember that prior to the war Japan enjoyed access to the mineral and coal deposits in northern Korea and Manchuria that made possible what industry they possessed, as well as various territories in China.
It was unwise of me to offer '46 as a hypothetical surrender point, it's probable that they would have maintained their position for far longer, into the '50s I suppose, by which point the deprivation of industrial material may have had an even worse impact than the atomic bombs, which would of course render the blockade theory useless as a "humane alternative" to the bomb. Of course, not to undercut my own suggestion, it might not have taken so long.
Although, as you perhaps suggest, they may have clung on indefinitely, in which case the whole idea is, I admit, built on sand.
Hardcore_gamer said:
Well at least you will admit that. Unlike some other people who will throw claims at you stating that there are secret documents or something that prove that Japan was going to surrender and demonize the Atomic attacks as the greatest crimes in human history while simply dismissing any evidence suggesting they are wrong.
Cheers mate, I suppose it's a question of emotional investment? This is hardly a pet theory of mine, it just occurred to me as I read the thread.