incal11 said:
Therumancer said:
Like most internet discussions, we're going to have to agree to disagree.
I'm not looking for a fight, but I like looking for high minded discussions to force me to analyse my arguments and motivations in depth. That implies being open about the possibility of being wrong, I understand that's not everybody's cup of tea
This is issue is a bit new to me, so my opinions on the details is not set in stone.
Negotiation and Compromise are not the solution to every problem. Indeed, a lot of our problems today come from too much compromise and it preventing anything from getting done as it is.
That and polite discussions would be enough if only everyone were mature and responsible, I can only regret that it's not the case.
Oil is one of the big issues in the media, but it also applies to everything else from minerals to wood. (...) there isn't enough resources for our exploding populations to all have a decent standard of living, especially at the rate of increase. A lot of it comes down to being unfair, but pragmatic. (...)
This is incidently one of the big reasons why I mention that the population needs to be reduced (probably though war) and then stabilized, followed by a world unity and space travel to obtain more resources and living space. Without that, we're done as a species.
Yes, really, our world is now like a big Easter island, about to have every trees cut down, warring tribes too preoccupied by getting the wood for hauling down those big inward looking statues. Funny that each tribe used to think they would be the ones to prevail in the end...
Following your vision, extinction is more likely than space travel.
Diplomacy exists mostly to keep allied nations with similar vested interests together, and keep an eye on differant groups to prevent them from selling each other out. Not to mention to act competitively with third parties to get them to give us what we want as opposed to the other guy, which of course resorts in a lot of very frank comments, and underhanded dealing.
This is how it's been working since the dawn of times. I know I'm a hopeless dreamer, but wouldn't it be nice to evolve from this ?
As "bad" as it sounds, humanity actully benefits from that because the sooner we see a major power unify everyone (I won't go into the potential details) the sooner we can see resources invested in obtaining more resources. Of course the guys being kept down and exploited aren't going to EVER see things that way at the time it's going on.
The ones not holding the big guns are not about to share your opinion if they are wiped out in the process. This is a dangerous view you have, because basically you are calling for a repeat of past mistakes, maybe you can guess which ones I'm thinking about.
A form of world union could come about someday, there will be hitches in the road of course, but force and cynism are not what will make it happen.
The thing is that time is of the essence. One can't hope for the world to unify "some day" with a constantly expanding population, and dwindling resources. A failure to take action and unify the planet is going to result with everything on the planet being used up, and then being trapped here, unable to obtain more resources, until our sun finally dies billions of years from now. It's really something we need to see happen within the next century tops, and given that people can live 80 or more years that means a single generation and you need to start seeing the motions in that direction now.
Truthfully, I think the spread of ideas is going to do a lot of it. A lot can be said for the US conquering the wold with the Big Mac and Starbucks (as some people have pointed out), but in the end there are cultures like China that just aren't going to get with the program even given a couple of decades. This ultimatly means that war is inevitable. Not to mention the simple fact that we need less people on the planet, and other than a war, what are we going to do? Hold a murder lottery? Nobody is going to volunteer to be culled, and in the end we'd wind up fighting "wars" against the rioters anyway. We had our chance to embrace Zero Population Growth, we failed, we don't have the time to see a slow reduction in global population since we'll deplete the planet before it happens.
Once a world unity exists, which will happen due to a combination of ideas and conquest, then a lot of basic facts can change. Simply put as long as there is "us and them" it's impossible to be nice all the time, since in the end everyone wants the resources and the highest standard of living for their own people, and that means those resources come at someone else's expense since there just isn't enough stuff.
As far as my attitude that "violence solves problems" goes, I think a lot of the "major mistakes" are mistakes largely when viewed from a position of modern morality. Not one of pure pragmatism. Indeed in most cases where people talk about how situations involving extreme violence failed, it's oftentimes a matter of the aggressor not going far enough, oftentimes because of developing morality, or the distaste in the deeds themselves.
If you look back at Rome and it's attitude of "Total War" it pretty much operated on a principle that you either became part of Rome, or you died entirely. By this I mean wiping cultures out completly. Kill or enslave the women and children to be bred out of existance, salt the earth, hunt down the survivors. Entire peoples were erased this way.
Rome fell not because of it's extreme militarism, but because it STOPPED employing it. Once Rome got big enough it got decadent, nobody wanted to fight or do what was nessicary anymore. The outlying provinces which had just been added ceased to fear the Romans and broke away, the Legions became a shadow of their former selves because who wanted to join the military to die or engage in slaughter?
The Romans convinced themselves that Rome would be forever, because it controlled trade. What nations they hadn't conquered needed Rome's markets, and everyone including the meanest barbarians used the roads built and maintained by Rome, so who was going to get rid of them given all the benefits they provided?
You might have heard the term "Barbarians At The Gates", that comes from the simple fact that Rome became so moralized and so detached from reality and the bottom line that even with hordes appearing outside the walls, Rome refused to take action because "oh well, The Barbarians must just be here to train". The Legions weren't near the cities so they wouldn't get in the way (and weren't what they used to be), and everyone believed problems could be resolved by trade and diplomacy. They were wrong.... Rome burned, and the entire Empire fell.
A lot of comparisons are made between the USA and Rome, though for obvious reasons they aren't perfect. The USA went from being a massive global force, and a military power that everyone feared and respected, to a giant marketplace, defended by a military that won't even deploy it's own weapons to their full capacity even when someone launches a decapitation strike against the nation for moral reasons. Due to the limitations we put on ourselves and the objectives we set for moral reasons the US military might not have been defeated (yet) but we also haven't won a serious armed conflict since World War II (which we won by pulling out all the stops and being the bigger bastards).
Such are my thoughts, but as I said, we will have to agree t disagree here.