GonzoGamer said:
Never say too big to fail.
I will refine my point then: Too big to crash, but not too big to fail slowly.
It probably won't fail immediately (crash) so much as it will recede and shrink.
Markets do that. Mediums do that. Crashes are not nearly as common.
Another possibility: We could be looking forward to a group of consumers who grew up getting ripped off but not knowing how badly; so they will be perfectly fine with paying 60 bucks (equivalent today) for a game with half the content of today's, and another 50 for the content that was ripped out at the end. But I'm hoping, praying, that tomorrow's gamers won't be that stupid.
I was quite pleased when Kane and Lynch 2 tried that shit, and was lambasted for it.
Actually, I?m of the feeling that they?re getting too clever for their own good. Most of the ps2 owners I know haven?t made the transition to the ps3 or 360. And some of these are people who have owned a console for each generation since the NES.
They think the new machines are either overpriced, lack backwards compatibility, have regular fees for online functions, and have games that don?t come with as much content... so you are compelled buy more later.
I agree there; many of my friends didn't move onto the PS3 despite Sony's success with their phenomenal PS2.
Sony, in their supreme arrogance, destroyed the early marketability of the PS3 by not including that emotion engine emulator standard (as a cost cutting measure on an already outrageously expensive console).
Several markets were being squeezed hard early on because the PS3 was so scarce. I bet a lot of those early adopters are furious now due to the massive hacking incident.
I do love how so much DLC comes with double-standards EULAs. If I bought the DLC for Borderlands on launch, I would have gotten 3 installs out of it total (on Steam). If I buy the GotY Edition (again on Steam), it comes bundled forever. So now it often doesn't pay to buy early or when the game first comes out. Of course, EA launched Project 10 Dollar as a means of encouraging the customer to buy early AND new.
It's worth mentioning that the whole DLC racket only works when the developer kills the potential modding community off (with legalese). It's a bitter irony that many games sold well because of how moddable they were. Now the games are being sold to sell overpriced mods instead.
All these sly money making schemes might have gotten them to farm more money off of the loyal suckers like me but have scared more than half their customer base away. I have to admit, if I knew the ps3 would go downhill as much as it has since I bought it, I would?ve never bought it in the first place.
Will it kill the industry? Probably not, not yet at least, but (and I realize I?m contradicting myself a little) it will negate the expansion of the market that the wii brought along as regular people wont be willing to make that added commitment. So the market will become stagnant again and then collapse if they can?t keep the remaining users happy.
I've found it surprisingly easy to explain how they keep their core demographic so happy.
Sure, Gaming
could become a medium for more grown-up entertainment (and has tried) or more deep and meaningful explorations into any given concept, but fact is that most of gaming sales result from impressionable teens to young adults. The industry knows this, and thus they know that trying harder will only result in higher development costs, and possibly less marketability. The industry in the last 10 years has tried as hard as it can to stomp out "Niche markets"; relying on remakes and clones of more successful games so that they could avoid having to try anything new or risky.
It's why Call of Duty 4.x and its clones will continue to set sales records despite not budging an inch from the formula. It's why Zynga will remain wildly profitable even if they haven't put an ounce of creative or original thought into anything they produce.
Popularity and hype keep these otherwise unremarkable titles afloat.
I wonder how many of today's younger gamers will be pissing and moaning as uselessly (as I do now), 10 years from now? I wonder if they will realize that back when they were trolling the forums that some of us actually gave a damn about "meaningless shit" like consumers rights or accountability?