Bleidd Whitefalcon said:
Wait. Let me get this straight. Michael Pachter was RIGHT about something. ...Excuse me while I go looking for flying pigs.
Let's take a close look at the kinds of predictions Pachter makes:
1. A product/innovation/game will succeed or fail. Occasionally he is right, but only when he makes the prediction after the product has
already succeeded or failed (not a prediction, but he calls it one). If he actually makes the prediction in advance, he's almost certain to be wrong.
2. A company will change its business strategy for no reason at all. He does this occasionally, and he's wrong every time. He particularly likes predicting that developers will move to a different genre or market on a whim.
3. Stock predictions. He gets these wrong every time.
4. The stupid obvious. This prediction was one of this kind: "If Medal of Honor doesn't make enough money, EA will stop doing it." Of course they will, businesses try to make money. His "obvious" predictions are usually if/then statements, and often tautologies.
Overall, his big problem is that he doesn't understand gamers at all. He doesn't know what we want, what we'll buy, and what will be profitable. He
somewhat understands business, insofar as he gets that companies will do what makes money and avoid what doesn't, but he can't adequately predict what that will be, and sometimes makes wild statements based on a lack of understanding of the market.
tl;dr - Of course he was right, he was stating the obvious. That's the only time he's ever right.
P.S. Thanks