wizzy555 said:
Confirmation bias is typically when you perceive what you want to perceive because it meets with your pre-existing ideas.
The higgs boson is not identified by human perception, it is mechanically and mathematically identified - mostly by computers.
Exactly. The math tells them it should be there, and some "mechanical" experiments seem to suggest it should be there, so they embarked upon this whole project under the premise that they want to confirm it's there. Ergo, unavoidable confirmation bias on the Hadron Collider experimentation.
It doesn't help that the apparatus was so overwhelmingly expensive, either. As I recall, originally we were hearing that they couldn't find the particle they expected to find. All of a sudden, they're singing a different tune.
This is actually a poor outcome for physicists as if your ideas are always confirmed to be correct there is the likelihood they will declare your field complete and shut down funding and you are now an expert in nothing at all useful.
I've yet to hear one complain that's the case. Science just builds; they'll come up with another hypothesis and their participation in previous successful projects makes it more likely they'll be hired for the job of testing it. They're not like a drug company that won't sell the cure because they can make more money from treating the symptoms.
MasterBetty said:
It's not confirmation bias. It's the scientific method.
That's not a refutation. It's a blanket statement.
Are you seriously accusing these scientists on just saying, "This idea sounds about right. Let's pour a ton of money and time into a project we have no strong belief in the potential results of."
Are you seriously saying that never happens in science? Because I'm pretty sure I've heard of quite a few experiments that were started under those premises and only lead to disappointed scientists when the results did not match what they wanted.
And, for the record, I'm not technically accusing them of falsifying their evidence deliberately out of confirmation bias. I'm just saying it would be an exceptional challenge to keep confirmation bias out of it.