MartialArc said:
Jordi said:
Daystar Clarion said:
Correlation =/= causation
Agressive behaviour makes people who are more inclined towards agression, agressive.
And I don't even need a doctorate to figure that out.
Ugh, I suggest you
do get a doctorate. Maybe then you'd know when this statement is applicable. While it is true that correlation does not necessarily equal causation, this statement is so incredibly overused on the internet. This topic poses the hypothetical question "What if video games were actually making people violent?", not "What if it appears there is a correlation between violence and video games?".
I think his point was that you don't really have a way to test for causation, only correlation on something like this So it would be pretty safe to say that any "proof" we saw would be based on correlation.
The statement is used frequently because people often do equate correlation with causation.... pointing out that it is commonly used doesn't really call its validity into question. The example you gave is a correlative proof, so you just made an ad-hominem statement against him for citing a logical error, then made the same logical error. Uncool man.
What example are you talking about? I didn't give an example of a proof. I said "What if video games were actually making people violent?", which is literally the same as "What if video games were causing people to be more violent?". If you're referring to the part of my post you didn't quote: that wasn't mere correlation either, but I said that it could be possible that games only cause an effect in some people.
I'm not questioning the general validity of the correlation != causation statement, I'm observing that it is often used when it shouldn't be. Like here. Very often researchers go out of their way to prove (beyond reasonable doubt) causation, because they know about this shit. Sometimes they won't, so it is always good to keep an eye on it, but not every correlation is not causation. And if you don't know anything about the research that was done (like in this hypothetical situation) it is bullshit to just assume it was wrong.
What I'm seeing a lot is that people who don't like the results of a study start yelling "correlation != causation" without even looking at the research methodology. And I suspect that a lot of people genuinely believe that that isn't even necessary either, because according to them (and apparently you; see below) it's impossible to prove causation anyway.
MartialArc said:
If they no-shit proved, which would basically entail having a total understanding of how the human brain works, then violent video games are out. I don't really see how you would argue to keep something around that PROVABLY causes violence. But exiting hypothetical land now, we know that we'll never really be able to prove that, so we're prolly ok =)
It is not as hard as you seem to think to scientifically prove causation. It most certainly doesn't entail having to know how the brain works. All you have to do is make sure that your test and control groups are chosen independently from the variable. For instance, if you take a random sample of people, and randomly let half of them play a game, but not the other half and it turns out that the game-players are more aggressive afterwards, you have totally just shown that that game in that population
caused more short term aggression than whatever the hell the control group was doing. Whether you can extrapolate the results to the entire population, all games, and the long term is a different matter that has nothing to do with causation versus just correlation.
As for the real topic of the thread: I said I would probably keep playing games unless I actually started to notice a lot of adverse effects. Sometimes we do stuff that we know is bad for us because we like it.
I didn't go into whether I would be able to, because I can see such news being devastating to the video games industry. Especially a couple of years ago I would have been certain that in this case video games would quickly be outlawed. Now I'm not so sure, because of the latest Supreme Court decision, which seems to say that games get First Amendment rights (if I'm not mistaken), which protects them a little better. Obviously a proof that they would cause aggression might change things, but then again, smoking and alcohol have adverse effects too and they are not illegal. It will depend on how serious the aggression increase is, and the percentage of people it affects, but I think that the longer it takes for this "discovery" to be made, the more we are moving towards a time where more people in power like video games and don't consider it their go-to scapegoat when things go wrong.