Dystopian fiction has increasingly, since the 60's, become the cool thing to write. This isn't a good trend.
In the broad sense Dystopia can include fantasy settings or even historic settings, but I am going to stick to settings that are implied or strictly stated to be in the future. Dystopian societies have now become omnipresent in these futures, either from zombies or from brutal dictatorships and war covering all of humanity without any logical explanation of WHY that would happen being given. If science-fiction is supposed to make predictions about the future from current trends, it has completely failed.
"But," you say "what about NSA/Ebola/Crimea/Syria/ISIS/Ferguson/Ilerminerty/Insertpoliticalcrisishere, science-fiction is just projecting these trends". These trends, in the grand scale of human human society, are near irrelevant. If you actually look into what the NSA is doing, it's a lot less severe than the media plays it up as (people apparently forgot that the media likes to sensationalize). Ukraine and Syria are relatively minor civil wars compared to the past. Even ISIS and the potential genocides in Iraq would be some very very small genocides if carried out.
I am not saying that these issues are irrelevant or acceptable because they are definitely not. My point is that projecting the future from a single data point is ridiculous.
I have a short test for you. Name the three worst events since WWII in number of lives lost. In fact, go ahead and put those into the top of your reply to this post, listed from 1 to 3, so that they are recorded if you choose to respond.
...
Done? Ok.
Averaging out the high and low estimates, the actual worst events from most lives lost to least lives lost are as follows. 1st is the Great Chinese Famine during the 'Great leap forward', with between 15 and 55 million deaths. 2nd is the Second Congo War, with between 2.7 and 5.4 million deaths. 3rd is the Cambodian Genocide, with between 1.5 and 3 million deaths.
For each one you answered correctly and in the right order, you get 2 point. In the wrong order, it's 1 point. Getting it wrong gives 0 points. You lose 1 point if you put any wars involving the US on the list, and you lose 1 more point if you don't recognize one of the correct answers.
I expect a lot of bad scores. Many people think the worst disasters are perpetuated by the US, but in reality these disasters are the result of actions in 3rd world countries.
This leads to two questions.
1. Why does science fiction so frequently portray the developed nations as ruthless, evil and warlike when the opposite is the reality in most cases?
2. Why does science fiction so frequently portray a negative future, when by all long term global trends of well-being, we are the best we have ever been and are getting better with each passing day (as a whole, humanity is about 50 times wealthier than we were 1000 years ago)?
I think the answer is relatively simple. Since WW2, western culture has become self-loathing. It's the cool thing to hate your country. Anyone that doesn't is seen as a useful idiot. Anyone optimistic is seen as naive. Every structure we have is shit and needs to be destroyed because you had a 30 minute wait at a call centre for tech support. When everything works well nobody notices so our few tiny cracks look like the grand canyon.
Because of this, the money and prestige are in criticizing ourselves. Criticizing ourselves is fine, to a degree, but it has now reached a point where we obscure the real problems in the world. The ancient problems that have existed since humanity has existed; famine, disease and absolute poverty. Dystopian fiction is contributing to this.
Now for a list of the worst forms of Dystopian fiction I have seen, and why it is ridiculous.
1. 1984 and NSA comparisons
1984 isn't about surveillance of public activity. It's about the surveillance of private activity. I could understand the comparisons if the NSA were installing hidden cameras inside everyone's home but they aren't. I cannot even look at the number 1984 without grimacing in preparation for a ridiculous comparison with the NSA.
2. Wars over water
Wars cost more than desalination. Wars will never be fought over water when you can make water cheaper than you can make war. Even trying to find a historic war that was specifically about a resource is difficult. The only one I can think of on the spot is Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in the 1st Gulf War.
3. Corporations rule the world
The largest organizations on Earth are and have always been states. Look at any list of the largest employers; all states. Look at the tax income of even second-rate powers and no company on Earth can match them. The largest private armies number in the thousands, while national armies number in the millions. There was the East India Company, but never does science-fiction base it's evil moustache-twirling megacorps on that.
So my final point is this. Science fiction is what modern socities look to for how we should approach the future. Dystopian science fiction has made us want to avoid the future. Where previously liberal science fiction looked forward to the future and conservative feared it, this is now flipped. It's apparently now progressive to want to regress to a past society when it comes to this genre.
We risk creating a self-fulfilling prophesy. Thanks for tolerating my rambling post to this point.
In the broad sense Dystopia can include fantasy settings or even historic settings, but I am going to stick to settings that are implied or strictly stated to be in the future. Dystopian societies have now become omnipresent in these futures, either from zombies or from brutal dictatorships and war covering all of humanity without any logical explanation of WHY that would happen being given. If science-fiction is supposed to make predictions about the future from current trends, it has completely failed.
"But," you say "what about NSA/Ebola/Crimea/Syria/ISIS/Ferguson/Ilerminerty/Insertpoliticalcrisishere, science-fiction is just projecting these trends". These trends, in the grand scale of human human society, are near irrelevant. If you actually look into what the NSA is doing, it's a lot less severe than the media plays it up as (people apparently forgot that the media likes to sensationalize). Ukraine and Syria are relatively minor civil wars compared to the past. Even ISIS and the potential genocides in Iraq would be some very very small genocides if carried out.
I am not saying that these issues are irrelevant or acceptable because they are definitely not. My point is that projecting the future from a single data point is ridiculous.
I have a short test for you. Name the three worst events since WWII in number of lives lost. In fact, go ahead and put those into the top of your reply to this post, listed from 1 to 3, so that they are recorded if you choose to respond.
...
Done? Ok.
Averaging out the high and low estimates, the actual worst events from most lives lost to least lives lost are as follows. 1st is the Great Chinese Famine during the 'Great leap forward', with between 15 and 55 million deaths. 2nd is the Second Congo War, with between 2.7 and 5.4 million deaths. 3rd is the Cambodian Genocide, with between 1.5 and 3 million deaths.
For each one you answered correctly and in the right order, you get 2 point. In the wrong order, it's 1 point. Getting it wrong gives 0 points. You lose 1 point if you put any wars involving the US on the list, and you lose 1 more point if you don't recognize one of the correct answers.
I expect a lot of bad scores. Many people think the worst disasters are perpetuated by the US, but in reality these disasters are the result of actions in 3rd world countries.
This leads to two questions.
1. Why does science fiction so frequently portray the developed nations as ruthless, evil and warlike when the opposite is the reality in most cases?
2. Why does science fiction so frequently portray a negative future, when by all long term global trends of well-being, we are the best we have ever been and are getting better with each passing day (as a whole, humanity is about 50 times wealthier than we were 1000 years ago)?
I think the answer is relatively simple. Since WW2, western culture has become self-loathing. It's the cool thing to hate your country. Anyone that doesn't is seen as a useful idiot. Anyone optimistic is seen as naive. Every structure we have is shit and needs to be destroyed because you had a 30 minute wait at a call centre for tech support. When everything works well nobody notices so our few tiny cracks look like the grand canyon.
Because of this, the money and prestige are in criticizing ourselves. Criticizing ourselves is fine, to a degree, but it has now reached a point where we obscure the real problems in the world. The ancient problems that have existed since humanity has existed; famine, disease and absolute poverty. Dystopian fiction is contributing to this.
Now for a list of the worst forms of Dystopian fiction I have seen, and why it is ridiculous.
1. 1984 and NSA comparisons
1984 isn't about surveillance of public activity. It's about the surveillance of private activity. I could understand the comparisons if the NSA were installing hidden cameras inside everyone's home but they aren't. I cannot even look at the number 1984 without grimacing in preparation for a ridiculous comparison with the NSA.
2. Wars over water
Wars cost more than desalination. Wars will never be fought over water when you can make water cheaper than you can make war. Even trying to find a historic war that was specifically about a resource is difficult. The only one I can think of on the spot is Iraq's invasion of Kuwait in the 1st Gulf War.
3. Corporations rule the world
The largest organizations on Earth are and have always been states. Look at any list of the largest employers; all states. Look at the tax income of even second-rate powers and no company on Earth can match them. The largest private armies number in the thousands, while national armies number in the millions. There was the East India Company, but never does science-fiction base it's evil moustache-twirling megacorps on that.
So my final point is this. Science fiction is what modern socities look to for how we should approach the future. Dystopian science fiction has made us want to avoid the future. Where previously liberal science fiction looked forward to the future and conservative feared it, this is now flipped. It's apparently now progressive to want to regress to a past society when it comes to this genre.
We risk creating a self-fulfilling prophesy. Thanks for tolerating my rambling post to this point.