Poll: After Bin Laden: Next Step

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Calbeck

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Jul 13, 2008
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Personally, I'm of the opinion that both Afghanistan and Pakistan are our mess and we have a responsibility to clean up before we go home. Washing our hands of it just because bin Laden's dead is a cop-out.

But that's easier said than done. Pakistan insists on trying to deal with its Taliban problems internally despite showing no particular ability to do so. Afghanistan's been a mess for as long as anyone can remember. At what point and in what way is stabilization of either country possible? And with Pakistan being a member of the Nuclear Nations, can we risk even the possibility of a Taliban takeover there?
 

Thaluikhain

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Jan 16, 2010
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Osama's death is more or less an irrelevance. Al-qaeda is hardly the only extremist terrorist or even partisan group operating in the area, and it was set up so groups could work independantly.

Business continues as usual.
 

Bon_Clay

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Aug 5, 2010
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Wait since when are the US in Pakistan outside of this mission to get Bin Laden? The wars are Afghanistan and Iraq (with a little Libya on the side).

Neither of the two full scale wars were justified or related to 9/11, weapons of mass destruction weren't there, and whether or not you think Saddam deserved to be forced out of power that's not related as he didn't organize the attacks.

The US can't afford to have the troops there that they do, have crippled their economy with it, and haven't actually effected the root of the problem, people wanting/trying to murder them.

They have made a mess of the region as you said though, so a complete immediate pullout would be pretty cruel to the people trying to live there. But they should at least be scaling it back and doing things smarter. Not with brute force and hoping if they throw enough money and lives at the problem it will go away.

Fix foreign policy, stop having military presence in places like Saudi Arabia just because you want them there, stop imposing embargoes on countries like Iraq turning their economy to dust. Most of the people they are fighting didn't work for Bin Laden or give a crap about him. All they know is bad people are attacking them and they must kill them. Trying to fix this image and fight propaganda in the area might do a lot to quell violence.

Then start fighting actual terrorists strictly, stop carpet bombing places, stop showing up on innocent civilians doorsteps with guns. If you're going to enlist private contractors and Blackwater soldiers (and pay them way more than your own soldiers), why not open it up to bounty hunters to track them down. Spend your effort on gathering intelligence and people who actually are planning to kill, and then send the dogs after them while you keep watch yourself. The most powerful Navy in the world couldn't stop pirates themselves, but adding privateers to the equation was effective.

Also I find it weird that people have been saying Bin Laden was in Pakistan this whole time quite a bit, but only now did they find him. Maybe developing a better relationship with other countries in the area so they see some reason to help you out or work with you could make things like this happen a lot faster. If they see no benefit in giving up people you want, and don't really have a high opinion of you in general, any work you do will be much less effective.
 

loc978

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Sep 18, 2010
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We've done what we can to stabilize the region, and those wars are letting the military industrial complex bleed the US economy dry. Bin Laden's death isn't going to make much of a dent in Al'Qaeda's efforts, but it's what we set out to do in the region. We really need to give our "war on terror" rhetoric a rest and come home.
The Taliban is essentially a non-entity at this point, but it was never a big player in the events of this war. It was a convenient target for us to crush so our people would have something to cheer about while the rich got richer even faster than usual. Military action beyond training locals to defend and provide for themselves has been basically useless since shortly after our initial invasion of Afghanistan. It's time we came home and really started cleaning up the mess we've made supporting these wars.
(take with a pinch of salt... this is from a bitter veteran who has seen too much bullshit in his time)
 

WorldCritic

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Bin Laden was over the past few years mostly the spiritual leader of Al'Qaeda. To really finish them, I think they need to either capture or kill Ayman al-Zawahiri, the group's actual leader.
 

Kortney

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Nov 2, 2009
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Wait.. people think the only reason the USA are in Afghanistan is to get Bin Laden and to hurt Al Qaeda?


Hahahaha!
 

Calbeck

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Jul 13, 2008
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Bon_Clay said:
Wait since when are the US in Pakistan outside of this mission to get Bin Laden?
Didn't say we were. But the Taliban is. We're in this to knock out the Taliban. QED.

Neither of the two full scale wars were justified or related to 9/11
The record disagrees.

The entire point of the Afghanistan invasion was because the Taliban refused to turn over bin Laden, after he admitted to being behind 9/11. It was most certainly related to 9/11...although it was certainly NOT justified on our part because we did not even recognize the Taliban as being Afghanistan's government and had no extradition treaty with them.

Conversely, Iraq was unrelated to 9/11 except solely for the fact that Hussein's regime and Al Qaeda had engaged in high-level talks where Hussein offered bin Laden sanctuary. That was confirmed at the time --- but not that bin Laden had actually refused the offer. Because of the talks, and the continuing worldwide belief that Iraq was pursuing nuclear weapons, there was an assumption that bin Laden might be able to get his hands on Iraqi-built nukes or other WMDs.

Nonetheless, the invasion of Iraq was indeed justified under the cease-fire terms --- not peace terms --- of UN Resolution 687. Which made the US a signatory to the cease-fire and as such one of its authorized enforcers. Even without considering any part of UNR 687's WMD terms, Iraq remained in violation of two-thirds of the remainder.

The violation of a cease-fire means opposing parties may re-engage in hostilities. It's that simple. This is why Clinton's "Operation Desert Fox" (a massed airstrike aimed at destroying suspected Iraqi WMDs) was legal, as were Bush the Elder's "No-Fly Zones".

But even so, Iraq was busted violating the WMD sections of UNR 687 as well --- because those included prohibitions on long-range missiles and the ability to build them. Not only was Iraq caught in the act of building these, but it had actually re-welded and put back into service equipment for the job that they'd previously "destroyed" in front of UN inspectors.

This was all above and beyond Hans Blix's last reports before the UN Security Council prior to the invasion, where he acknowledged Iraqi military records had been seized showing a shortfall of over 1000 metric tonnes of unaccounted-for chemical weapons. The same records also showed chemical-delivery warheads for artillery and missiles in Iraqi inventory.

This was the bulk of intelligence available to the world at the time, and no one disputes any of it --- except revisionists with a political axe to grind.


whether or not you think Saddam deserved to be forced out of power that's not related as he didn't organize the attacks.
No one, including Bush, claimed he did.

Much of the rest of what you suggest, insofar as how we move forward from here, I actually agree with, for what it's worth.
 

Bon_Clay

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Aug 5, 2010
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Calbeck said:
Bon_Clay said:
Wait since when are the US in Pakistan outside of this mission to get Bin Laden?
Didn't say we were. But the Taliban is. We're in this to knock out the Taliban. QED.
You did say they were our mess and responsibility, which I don't really agree with. As they never invaded and destroyed large amounts of their country I don't think the US should feel it has to save Pakistan from it current situation, only work with them to help the overall situation with global terrorism for everyone's benefit.

The entire point of the Afghanistan invasion was because the Taliban refused to turn over bin Laden, after he admitted to being behind 9/11. It was most certainly related to 9/11...although it was certainly NOT justified on our part because we did not even recognize the Taliban as being Afghanistan's government and had no extradition treaty with them.
Ok saying that was completely unrelated to 9/11 was exaggerating, but I still don't think a full scale invasion of a country was a legitimate response to an act of terrorism rather than warfare.

Conversely, Iraq was unrelated to 9/11 except solely for the fact that Hussein's regime and Al Qaeda had engaged in high-level talks where Hussein offered bin Laden sanctuary. That was confirmed at the time --- but not that bin Laden had actually refused the offer. Because of the talks, and the continuing worldwide belief that Iraq was pursuing nuclear weapons, there was an assumption that bin Laden might be able to get his hands on Iraqi-built nukes or other WMDs.

Nonetheless, the invasion of Iraq was indeed justified under the cease-fire terms --- not peace terms --- of UN Resolution 687. Which made the US a signatory to the cease-fire and as such one of its authorized enforcers. Even without considering any part of UNR 687's WMD terms, Iraq remained in violation of two-thirds of the remainder.

The violation of a cease-fire means opposing parties may re-engage in hostilities. It's that simple. This is why Clinton's "Operation Desert Fox" (a massed airstrike aimed at destroying suspected Iraqi WMDs) was legal, as were Bush the Elder's "No-Fly Zones".

But even so, Iraq was busted violating the WMD sections of UNR 687 as well --- because those included prohibitions on long-range missiles and the ability to build them. Not only was Iraq caught in the act of building these, but it had actually re-welded and put back into service equipment for the job that they'd previously "destroyed" in front of UN inspectors.

This was all above and beyond Hans Blix's last reports before the UN Security Council prior to the invasion, where he acknowledged Iraqi military records had been seized showing a shortfall of over 1000 metric tonnes of unaccounted-for chemical weapons. The same records also showed chemical-delivery warheads for artillery and missiles in Iraqi inventory.

This was the bulk of intelligence available to the world at the time, and no one disputes any of it --- except revisionists with a political axe to grind.
With Iraq I think things are really complicated by the history of their relationship. From all the way back to the Iran Iraq war, and more importantly what happen with the Gulf war. Putting all these restriction and rules, including the embargo, on Iraq wasn't the best way to deal with it to begin with. Kicking the loser when they are down after a war is never a good idea, look at WWII. So just because the cease-fire and weapons bans allowed them to legally invade them, I don't think it was necessarily justified. The way they continued forward with a second war right after Afghanistan (instead of dealing with it previously or leaving it alone) makes it seem like it was just tacked on since they had enough of the public's support.

The US was the one who decided to enforce the punishment of breaking the terms, they had to try to convince other countries to join in on it. And just because it may have seemed like a good idea at the time to some people given what they knew or thought they knew, doesn't make the decisions exempt from criticism. Hindsight is 20/20 and all that, yes, but it still comes off as trying them trying to police the world. After 9/11 it was the terrorists who people were afraid of, but they just sort of lumped their other potential enemies into the cause. Which is sort of what I meant when I said:
Calbeck said:
whether or not you think Saddam deserved to be forced out of power that's not related as he didn't organize the attacks.
No one, including Bush, claimed he did.
I wasn't trying to imply anyone said Saddam was directly part of the Taliban or behind 9/11. But the message people were given was basically, "its us versus the enemy in the war on terror", when half of the war was cleaning up a mess from decades ago earmarked in.

And then past the justification and reasons for initial invasions, the reason why the US has been in both regions so long eludes me. Saddam has been dead a while, the Taliban has lost at least some of its hold on the region, they should have made real progress or changed the way they were doing things a long time ago.

So I guess I would clarify the original statement to: neither of the two full scale wars were justified AND related to 9/11, especially with regard to the length they have gone on. There's also the whole oil business, and a plethora of conspiracy theories, but I'll just leave those alone as its just hearsay until any of it is proven.
 

Calbeck

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Jul 13, 2008
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Bon_Clay said:
You did say they were our mess and responsibility, which I don't really agree with. As they never invaded and destroyed large amounts of their country I don't think the US should feel it has to save Pakistan from it current situation, only work with them to help the overall situation with global terrorism for everyone's benefit.
Which means stabilizing the country. Since the only reason it's been destabilized is because sizable parts of the Taliban and Al Qaeda fled over the border to invade Pakistan.

Ok saying that was completely unrelated to 9/11 was exaggerating, but I still don't think a full scale invasion of a country was a legitimate response to an act of terrorism rather than warfare.
And I agree. However, both Bush and Obama claim that Afghanistan is a "good war", and because most of the anti-war movement in the US was more about hate for Bush than consideration of legal concerns, their political leanings have largely forced them to muzzle themselves (lest their complaints assist the Republicans in returning to power).

Putting all these restriction and rules, including the embargo, on Iraq wasn't the best way to deal with it to begin with.
That was the UN's call, and done specifically because Iraq was not in compliance with the cease-fire terms. It was the UN's attempt to find a solution other than re-invading Iraq and toppling the Hussein regime. Clearly that was not a solution, as a decade later there had been no significant progress in getting Hussein to comply.

According to anti-sanctions groups who wanted them lifted and the matter returned to normalcy, half a million Iraqis died because of the sanctions. The reality of course is that Hussein diverted food, money and material which were allowed through to the purpose of rebuilding his military --- which was also prohibited. Even the lessening of sanctions for the feeding of the populace, the "Food for Oil" program, merely resulted in the food money being squirreled away in huge caches, some of which were discovered during the 2003 invasion.

So just because the cease-fire and weapons bans allowed them to legally invade them, I don't think it was necessarily justified.
If a nation's government breaks a cease-fire, there is no cause for complaint when their opposition resumes hostilities. This is especially true in this instance, where so many of the terms were violated. Even the easy ones, like refusing to repatriate prisoners of war taken during Iraq's original invasion of Kuwait.

The US was the one who decided to enforce the punishment of breaking the terms, they had to try to convince other countries to join in on it.
The only nation on the UN Security Council which openly stated it would oppose such enforcement was France. Immediately prior to that, even France had signed on to a unanimous resolution giving Iraq a final deadline for compliance with UNR 687. It was only after this deadline had been breached, and the US sought a formal resolution for UN involvement in a new invasion, that France balked.

As it turned out, France had an under-the-table deal with the Hussein regime to develop 25% of Iraq's remaining undeveloped oilfields. Bit of the old quid pro quo, which Iraq had indeed been trying with various other UN members in order to get their votes to lift the sanctions.

it still comes off as trying them trying to police the world.
Of course it was. So was the original 1991 Gulf War, whereby the UN (75% of its combat forces being provided by the US) ejected Iraq from Kuwait. Few people complained about that, and those who did were already using the "No Blood for Oil" line.

FYI, the same poll report which showed the US becoming a "pariah nation" over the 2003 invasion --- the Pew Research poll --- also showed large majorities believing that the oil was the real reason for the invasion in the first place, and the reason they opposed the war. Similarly large majorities nonetheless agreed Saddam Hussein should be removed from power.

Since the United States did not in fact seize the oil for itself --- either in 1991 or now --- the basis for mass world opposition to the invasion has been shown to be unsupported.

I wasn't trying to imply anyone said Saddam was directly part of the Taliban or behind 9/11. But the message people were given was basically, "its us versus the enemy in the war on terror"
Given that Hussein was known to have offered bin Laden sanctuary, and also that he provided cash and resources to terrorist groups (including the use of Iraqi land for training facilities), Hussein was indeed a proper target in that regard. However, if it had ONLY been his support for terrorists and he had NOT been in violation of the 1991 cease-fire terms, there would have been no invasion because he would not have stood out more than, say, Syria or Iran.

The terrorism aspect of Hussein's regime was a reason given in addition to his cease-fire violations, not vice-versa.

And then past the justification and reasons for initial invasions, the reason why the US has been in both regions so long eludes me.
Because we're fighting insurgents who hide amongst civilians, dress as civilians, and use civilians as human shields, not governments or professional militaries who only do the human shields bit and then only in very limited fashion by comparison. We have been trying to keep the civilian death toll down...if we didn't care about that, we'd have been doing to Iraq and Afghanistan what the Croatians did to the Balkans.

According to anti-war groups such as IraqBodyCount.org, some 100,000 Iraqi civilians have lost their lives by violence from 2003 to now (eight years of war). Most of that is actually death by insurgents, death of Iraqis who themselves were insurgents, and death caused by violence unrelated to military operations --- IBC makes notes of the cause of death in each case. Saddam Hussein, during peacetime, killed in excess of 1,000,000 Iraqis during his 25 years in power according to human rights groups around the world --- by purges, gassing, and gruesome political executions such as feeding them to his sons' zoo menagerie. That's an average of 40,000 dead Iraqis per year...in peacetime.

The number of years Saddam would have remained in power and unchecked if we hadn't invaded --- eight --- times the number of Iraqi civilian deaths he averaged each year --- forty thousand --- equals 320,000. The invasion of Iraq, barring some miraculous shift in Hussein's style of government, has resulted in the saving of over 200,000 lives.

I call that worth the effort.
 

The Wykydtron

"Emotions are very important!"
Sep 23, 2010
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I don't really care about his death... But business will continue as usual i suppose. As i don't think the US said explictly "when Bin Laden dies we will pull out"
 

For.I.Am.Mad

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May 8, 2010
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Give Roger Goodell an 'early retirement'. Seriously, fuck that guy.

He's the guy ruining football to all the non-Americans. That's right, I said football.
 

Hybridwolf

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Aug 14, 2009
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The only thing that will change is the intensity and number of attacks against US troops and America. Osama was pretty much out of the picture anyway, and Al Quada is so fragmented it'll do nothing but help the cause. To be completely blunt, this will do nothing, but make things worse and America's actions aren't helping. Disposing the body by sea? Please tell me that's not true...?
 

Hussmann54

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Dec 14, 2009
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Brace for inevitable retaliation, dont start the victory party yet. Besides, you killed a man who (and this is a slim chance, but a chance nontheless) could have been a tremendous bargaining chip, and didnt even give a trial at all. So no, justice has not been served. A bullet to the head says "I am as low as you"
Processing him in an area where he has no control and cant do a damn thing about his fate that we dont want him doing..... Now that is punishment done right. If you really wanted to put a dent in al queda, parade around your "Spoils", humiliate him and his supporters, let the whole world watch him get brought down by paperwork.

Now before the crazy "MUST KILL HIM" crowd looks at me funny, let me recount certain words used.

Processing
Punishment
Parade
Humiliate

And disposing of the body at sea, bad idea. Especially because it makes it sound more like a conspiracy. "Where is the body?"
"Oh about 20,000 feet under and crushed by pressure by now, dont you worry now, he is fish food"
Second off, if you did kill him, process him like the POW he is. Like the HIGH VALUE POW that he is. examine the body, run forensics etc. Dont give into the extremists who say "You better bury him in 24 hours."

Now I dont want to sound like that guy, but he is an AMERICAN POW/CASUALTY who has stuck his neck out and made himself into a high priority target against a country, (and was captured by said country mind you), that does not play by the same rules as you do. If the terrorists want to fight a dirty war, then they better be prepared to go all the way. They should neither demand, nor expect us to give him over on the basis of "culture" when we sure as hell havent played by that rule in other cases.

So yea, america made a few crucial mistakes in handling him. Learn from this, and move on (And Im serious about the retaliation. Im just trying to be a realist, not a pessimist. They will not take this crap lying down.
 

Biodeamon

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Apr 11, 2011
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To quote mortal kombat "FINISH THEM!"
They'll just keep coming back like weeds unless you get rid of them for good. Then we can focus on the real villian;Global Warming and The Coperations
 

manythings

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Nov 7, 2009
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The next step is your government fabricates a new super villain and the cycle begins again.

Oh and China takes over because no one will make anything for themselves anymore so all the chinese military will have to do is not let the all the factories in their borders release anything.
 

Sarge034

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I say we keep on keeping on. We continue to stabilize the reign and continue to pursue high value targets.
 

Calbeck

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Jul 13, 2008
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manythings said:
The next step is your government fabricates a new
Thank you, it's always nice to hear from the 9/11 Truther seats now and again. -:)

I do find it interesting to also hear from folks whose reaction is essentially "oh my, you've gone and made the terrorist organization which blew up the World Trade Center angry, NOW we'll see some REAL terrorism". I'd post another unicorn smiley but that would be redundant.
 

Calbeck

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Jul 13, 2008
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aquaman839 said:
As soon as the US pulls out of Iraq there will be a civil war between sunni, shia, and kurd. As soon as the US pulls out of Afghanastan there will be a power struggle between the various warlords. I think it would be a really good move to get out of wars that have lost there meaning.
Actually, I think you just made a great argument for staying. Is the regional destabilization you've said will happen a more promising concept?
 

Calbeck

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Jul 13, 2008
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aquaman839 said:
Yes, those different sects want to eat each other and all US troops are doing is getting in the way. They don't want us there and we don't want to be there.
And leaving Afghanistan in that position during the Reagan Era is how we got the Taliban.

Wants and needs are not always the same thing.