Poll: Do you believe in global warming?

Recommended Videos

Innegativeion

Positively Neutral!
Feb 18, 2011
1,636
0
0
I've already touched on this. Science is a reliable method for studying 'nature' according to what it assumes 'nature' to mean at the start.
There is no assumption in what nature is. It is what's observable. We know what is observable because we EXPERIENCE it. This is not assumed. We are sure of it. In fact it's closest anyone will ever be to being absolutely sure of something. If you experience something, it's nature.
I even admitted that until a better, self-aware science comes along, modern science is probably the best tool we have to gain a practical understanding of certain sorts of natural phenomena.
'self aware'? Good sir, when you achieve Nirvana and become absolutely self aware of your own existence beyond us measly mortals, THEN you will have the authority to question the basis of science.

or

When any other field of study can prove irrefutably that all human experience is a lie, then we can talk about re-evaluating science.
 

TWRule

New member
Dec 3, 2010
465
0
0
Frission said:
We're going into the realm of politics here, but I suppose that the catastrophic scenarios were needed to actually get action. I am not familiar with the subject of activism. I know that it's difficult to get credence in a subject which is rife with misinformation because of special interests, especially on such a difficult subject.
The way all this is handled in the political realm is a whole other issue that I don't particularly care to get into, and it's not important to my point - I'm keeping things on the level of individual or mass sentiments with regard to the potential consequences (i.e. reactions of individuals instilling fear or morally guilting others into some kind of ideologically construed action, or perhaps being fearful or feeling the weight of guilt themselves). I know this has immediate consequences for politics, but the moral/ethical issue is my main concern.

I would much prefer that we talked about the danger of ecosystem collapse such as the disappearance of coral reefs, or the danger of perturbation in agriculture, or even the political instability from possible droughts due to less wind going to and from the equator and poles (since winds are to simplify are a way to make up the temperature difference between the two areas). Yet gigantic tsunamis and hurricanes seem to have captured the attention. I would again shift the blame on those who are responsible for creating this image of climate change, since professors and lectures on this subject have focused on changes due to climate change that are straight out of an apocalypse movie.
You know, a large part of the reason I responded to this thread was because the OP chose the term 'global warming' rather than 'climate change'; the former has exactly the connotations of fear that are really at issue when one asks the thread title question. If this thread were going instead to focus on an academic discussion of the interrelations of various natural systems and qualified speculation about their effects, there'd be no room for my ethical criticism.

I don't understand the last sentence of science predicting that we would destroy ourselves. I never saw that attitude. In fact there's actually alot of optimism involved in the process of discovery, from my experience. I would yet again blame popular depictions of science or science philosophers (not to insult them, since it is an important role).

Media can make many claims on science, precisely because there's an ignorance of the scientific process.

We have made a distinction earlier that there's a difference between science and science philosophy right? I think that's where there is a disagreement. While some scientists may espouse a view of existence, death and the universe that may be disagreeable, it does not strictly relate to the process of science aka the scientific method and such.
Herein lies what appears to be one of the greater misunderstandings that most people taking issue with me in this thread have with my view - I must have been unclear. I do not think that the actual process of science creates this problematic metaphysical picture of existence; it only arises when a) The epistemic gap between scientific theory, no matter how well evidenced, and 'fact' or 'truth' is not properly respected, particularly when the latter implies broad metaphysical conclusions from experimentation that never had anything to do with metaphysics (that is, any scientific experimentation). and/or b) People understand Science as not only an authority on Truth but THE authority. Science is not the problem, *Scientism* (a philosophical position) is.

Of course, I did say that the scientific method itself implicitly contains certain metaphysical assumptions - this is not to say that every scientist has consciously chosen these for himself, or that a responsible scientist (backed by responsible reporting of results) would not be able to reasonably qualify his findings when pressed by bracketing these assumptions. That is to say, he can do science and still maintain a critical distance 'at the end of the day', recognizing that he is working with theoretical models only, and that those models rely on foundational philosophical assumptions (without which he wouldn't even be able to begin his practice). So we agree - there is nothing in doing science or dealing with experimental results or theories (even 'laws'), that strictly compels anyone into some worldview or other. The problem arises when people, all too commonly, fail to maintain the correct critical/epistemological distance, and hence *do* build their worldview out of poorly drawn conclusions from said results.

The scientific theorem is a system which does insists that nothing is proven right, only that it has not been proven wrong. In the context of climate change, it hasn't been proven wrong and as the bearers of the burden of proof, we have furnished proof, which only continues to accumulate. From the numerous attempts to discredit climate change, there hasn't yet been a piece of evidence that has disproven climate change.
And my concern is just what sort and what weight this burden of proof is. If a theory remains without sufficient contrary evidence, does it somehow harden into fact? Let alone metaphysical fact? Certainly not. It remains on the theoretical level, regardless of how heavily it might influence future practical moves, and so the burden of proof in a way remains within the scientific community, a burden held against itself, its scope extending only that far. I think we are in agreement and I might seem like a pedant for saying all this, but a lot rides on this and I think it bears stressing.

Now, whether the views that some people have gotten due to an enthusiasm for science (or a misinformed idea of science) is unfortunate, it's not strictly directly correlated. Do you blame Nietzsche for having adolescents say that everything is pointless? No, because if the belief in scientific naturalism/materialism may be due to individuals incorporating elements of science into their worldview, it doesn't mean that science is intricately tied to this view.
Again, I don't necessarily mean to fault the scientific enterprise for the philosophical issues that crop up around it. However, I think this is actually a pretty widespread problem in the modern world, even if you only ever hear a few noisy ideologues worshipping science publicly, because most of the damage is done invisibly and implicitly. There are historical reasons for these problems that surround science - those who were really responsible for the advent of modern science laid its metaphysical foundation and did so with all the zeal and naivete that might be expected of someone stumbling upon an entirely new way of looking at existence...modern man is still heavily under the influence of ways of thinking traceable to the Enlightenment and in some ways further back than that...
 

TWRule

New member
Dec 3, 2010
465
0
0
Innegativeion said:
I've already touched on this. Science is a reliable method for studying 'nature' according to what it assumes 'nature' to mean at the start.
There is no assumption in what nature is. It is what's observable. We know what is observable because we EXPERIENCE it. This is not assumed. We are sure of it. In fact it's closest anyone will ever be to being absolutely sure of something. If you experience something, it's nature.
Your first two sentences contradict each other, and overall this is circular reasoning. You've already decided that 'nature' = 'what is observable'. How does one make that decision other than by conscious or unreflective naivete (in both cases an assumption)? Even the ancients questioned this assumption.

By the way, how about the gap between 'observation' (presumably empirical observation) and 'experience'. I experience existential anxiety and ennui, but you're not going to see many scientists entertaining the existence of those or what they might imply...
Innegativeion said:
I even admitted that until a better, self-aware science comes along, modern science is probably the best tool we have to gain a practical understanding of certain sorts of natural phenomena.
'self aware'? Good sir, when you achieve Nirvana and become absolutely self aware of your own existence beyond us measly mortals, THEN you will have the authority to question the basis of science.

or

When any other field of study can prove irrefutably that all human experience is a lie, then we can talk about re-evaluating science.
Modern science hardly makes 'all human experience' its subject of study, and if it does, it's doing a miserable job. It can't even model consciousness except as collections of neurons-firing. It's not concerned with any 'subjective experiences' but only 'objective' ones (or more properly, intersubjective ones). How about religious experience, for example? Scientists reduce it to neuron firings in a certain portion of the brain, no matter what the person who experienced it tells them, because the former is something they can verify as 2nd-person observers. The same goes for all 'subjective' experience.

We've already discussed what I meant by the possibility of 'self-aware' science, but it seems you've conveniently relaxed back into mocking me now rather than attempting to understand and take my position seriously, so we may as well end it here.
 

Innegativeion

Positively Neutral!
Feb 18, 2011
1,636
0
0
TWRule said:
This cannot be more simple.

Experience devoid of external impetus (like internal philosophical rumination) cannot be observed, but people expressing such experience can be observed, and would fall under the domain of psychology, were someone to study it. Otherwise, yes, neurons firing within the brain can also be observed. It's simply what is. Any existential insecurities that arise therein are the fault of the observer, not the data or the system that brought about the data.

As previously established, science is not concerned with the unprovable, and never has been. It won't make any judgements upon any experience that cannot be backed by evidence from multiple sources. If you have any concerns about religion or spirituality, science doesn't really care.

Any argument against science that involves what is not, and is not provable is doomed to fail. Science is simply not concerned with conclusions that can't be substantiated at least partially.

This discussion is ridiculous. Each and every word you've typed to me is a reaction to an observable stimulus. It doesn't matter if there is any god or spaghetti monster or soul working behind the scenes, because it's not what's happening right here, right now, in the observable world.

Your concerns are arbitrary and pointless. Science as a field is simply not going away.
 

Frission

Until I get thrown out.
May 16, 2011
865
0
21
TWRule said:
And my concern is just what sort and what weight this burden of proof is. If a theory remains without sufficient contrary evidence, does it somehow harden into fact? Let alone metaphysical fact? Certainly not. It remains on the theoretical level, regardless of how heavily it might influence future practical moves, and so the burden of proof in a way remains within the scientific community, a burden held against itself, its scope extending only that far. I think we are in agreement and I might seem like a pedant for saying all this, but a lot rides on this and I think it bears stressing.
I'll just quote this part of this post, since I think we're in agreement in every other aspect. It's just a simple clarification. When a theory does remain without sufficient or even any contrary evidence for a long time, like say evolution without which modern medicine and biology don't work, then it does come the closest to physical fact that there is. It's never truly a hard fact, since a piece of contradictory evidence could destroy the theory, but until then Scientists operate on the assumption.

All experiments have to be repeatable and recreated if possible, and all pieces of evidence can be examined, because if science is to properly examine and understand the physical world, then it has to set up stringent regulations on itself. It's a stereotype to think that scientists only remain in their labs tweaking their beakers and models.

This is an anecdote, and thus subject to all the problems that happens with personal anecdotes, but I've gone diving to examine echinoderms, cephalopods and the general maritime population, then compared them with the ecosystems of other areas to draw my conclusions.

Climate change has jumped this year from a 87% (there are simplified percentages) to a 95% consensus that anthropogenic climate change is possible. There can never be a 100% consensus, due to the after mentioned caution of being set in your ways. (Personally I find that it is proof at the exasperation that many people are feeling on the continued cries of "climate change is only a theory", since normally only 70% is enough for something to be considered a well tested theory.).

Metaphysics, yet again is the domain of psychologists or sociologists and philosophers. I suppose I'll take the deplorable position that something which I can't test is not something which I will concern myself with, at least in view of science.

In a way, experience is examined through science, but only if it's testable. Albert Camus can talk about absurdity in "The Myth of Sisyphus".

Some people may have kept a view of science from the enlightenment where it tries to demystify and break the power of the all powerful church and monarchy. A sort of trans humanistic approach where there's a hope that knowledge and technology might make people better human beings. It never truly bothered me, since it was a perfect end goal, even if that perfection unattainable or even outright false, but I suppose there may be concerns in the validity of that belief.

I hope that we can part amicably then.
 

TWRule

New member
Dec 3, 2010
465
0
0
Innegativeion said:
Your concerns are arbitrary and pointless. Science as a field is simply not going away.
Well then, it's a good thing I was never arguing that science should 'go away', but clearly you knew that since you supposedly understand my concerns so well. Forgive me for wasting your time with my nonsense.

Frission said:
I'll just quote this part of this post, since I think we're in agreement in every other aspect. It's just a simple clarification. When a theory does remain without sufficient or even any contrary evidence for a long time, like say evolution without which modern medicine and biology don't work, then it does come the closest to physical fact that there is. It's never truly a hard fact, since a piece of contradictory evidence could destroy the theory, but until then Scientists operate on the assumption.
Maybe I should have qualified that while theory hardening into fact is an accurate metaphor for what might happen psychologically over time with people who handle scientific theories or announced findings, I think it's important for people to resist this impulse, and that goes for scientists as well. Whether a new hypothesis or a well-worn theory, scientific models should be thought of as pieces in a web of theoretical objects and relations - perhaps akin to how such a thing as a 'chess piece' only exists in relation to the rules of the game of chess, even if one will regulate practical actions, such as moving little pieces of wood around a board in certain patterns, according to those models which are suspended on an 'imaginary' plane. Scientists need to be somewhat flexible thinkers - after all, a historical account of science shows that the entire paradigm for how whole sciences or even the enterprise itself operates have been uprooted and reconfigured as theoretical pictures of nature changed.

Climate change has jumped this year from a 87% (there are simplified percentages) to a 95% consensus that anthropogenic climate change is possible. There can never be a 100% consensus, due to the after mentioned caution of being set in your ways. (Personally I find that it is proof at the exasperation that many people are feeling on the continued cries of "climate change is only a theory", since normally only 70% is enough for something to be considered a well tested theory.).
And I hope to distance myself from those people crying 'it's just a theory' because I suspect they think in terms of an untenable dichotomy between unstructured speculation and metaphysical certainty. Also, I am not attempting to escape a reasonable responsibility toward my environment as some of them might be.

Metaphysics, yet again is the domain of psychologists or sociologists and philosophers. I suppose I'll take the deplorable position that something which I can't test is not something which I will concern myself with, at least in view of science.
I don't think science *should* concern itself with anything that can't be tested under its method; so long as no one pretends that all that is significant about reality has already thus been included, we agree there.

Some people may have kept a view of science from the enlightenment where it tries to demystify and break the power of the all powerful church and monarchy. A sort of trans humanistic approach where there's a hope that knowledge and technology might make people better human beings. It never truly bothered me, since it was a perfect end goal, even if that perfection unattainable or even outright false, but I suppose there may be concerns in the validity of that belief.

I hope that we can part amicably then.
Personally, I'm much more concerned with people bettering themselves through ethical progress rather than technological progress, but I know not everyone is as worried about the former...

I have no particular qualm with you - we can part amicably enough. Let me thank you for being more cordial and charitable than certain others in this thread.