Hairetos said:
So as the population expands the number of elderly per generation increases. Thus, the population must continue to expand to provide youth to pay for the elderly unless we have absolutely no population growth or decay (equal elderly/youth for every generation, which won't probably happen). So is the population under this idea supposed to grow continually?
If that's the case, then what happens maybe centuries from now when the population continues to grow on finite space? Also, what happens when, inevitably, the population booms at a certain time? Won't the next generation have to be larger in order to accommodate them, as we're seeing with the post-war baby boomers in the United States right now? This sounds to me like a formula for ever-continuing and often rapid population growth.
Furthermore, people keep saying that we have plenty of space on this Earth for more people. My question is, how many people would want to live in the frozen wastes of northern Asia or the barren Sahara desert? Realistically, the Earth itself is only, what, 30% land? And how much of that is habitable? Furthermore, how much is comfortably habitable?
Isn't a more likely scenario that, under this plan, the population will continue to expand in places where the population density is already high rather than in places where we see room for expansion since cities already have many people to procreate? Are any of those desiring 3+ kids willing to move to the more "open" spaces? I personally doubt it.
From where I see it, the circumstance is bipolar: either we infinitely grow in places with already high population density or we cut population growth, accept the economic contraction for the pensioners, and then focus on having healthy, sustainable population growth with period contractions, which will be much more manageable if we limit growth speed, and have better management of our finite resources.
You misunderstand on a number of important points.
First, this isn't some kind of political agenda I'm pushing, this is what is definitely happening. I don't really care what anyone's angle is, the fact of the matter is that this ageing effect takes place all over the world.
Second, this isn't some minor issue that we can just "take" and move on. If this trend continues, we are fucked. It's impossible for us to just "accept the economic contraction" and the just move on, that will absolutely not work at all. We can't keep going until we end up with a population where the majority is above 65 years of age, at that point we'll all be shagged.
Third, this isn't just some temporary hurdle, this isn't something that we need to just get over and move on from, it's something that'll continue forever unless we stop it, and in the future we WILL be completely screwed by it if we don't.