That's a lot of $0.02!Barciad said:I would like to see an independent Scotland, not despite being English, but because I'm English. Or rather because I'm an English Social Democrat. That is, in layman's terms a democratic Socialist, and one that lives in perceptual frustration deriving from 30 years of Thatcherism. In Britain, since 1979, there has been no-where to escape it, until now.
To put it bluntly, Scottish confidence in rule from Westminster has collapsed. They do not see rule from London as rule in their interests, and this has been a long time coming. De-industrialisation, the Poll-Tax, New Labour, and the now the Coalition. To the Scots, they see all Westminster parties as one and the same. All Thatcherites, all interested in London, the South East, and no-where else. They have had enough.
The question remains, did Tony Blair really know what he was doing when he gave the go-ahead for devolution back in 1997? To be honest, he most likely was trying to do some good back then. Admittedly, this was years before Iraq and way before the monomania began to set it.
In two years time, there will be a referendum on Independence. It will be a three-way vote, giving a middle choice of 'further devolution with financial autonomy'. If things remain as they are, this will be the most likely outcome. The Scots will want greater independence, but don't feel ready to take the plunge completely.
Now what will happen between then and now will be very interesting. All three Westminster Parties will do their best to try and delay or sabotage any Scottish self-determination. Losing Scotland will be a massive blow for the English, not just in terms of the oil, but also the prestige. However, anything too blatant will only make independence all the more likely.
The SNP will attempt to hold a steady course of quiet, competent administration. In affect, running Scotland like a Nordic country. Now that is not to say that they will not act without vision. Their main thrust is investing into modern 'green' technologies. Thus providing jobs and energy sustainability in the future. This of course will be funded by the oil money.
Now it will also be interesting to see the state of immigration/emigration to and from Scotland. Will there be a great flow, or merely a trickle of British Lefties, all seeking to escape the coalition? Who knows, only time will tell.
Strangely enough, this is the first time that I have felt any real confidence about the future of the UK for a very long time.
And you've gotten me thinking about TB (always refer to Tony Blair as tuberculosis in my household) and that devolution affair. Still, I agree insomuch that the English (politically, at least, and perhaps economically as well) need Scotland much more than the other way around. But I feel that many Scots are in two minds about it, for all that they support the SNP. I think they should appeal for greater autonomy, because a lot of the decision making is idiotic, and all matters Scottish should be dictated from Holyrood. Cue lots of paranoia from Westminster.