sethisjimmy said:
Those "likely assumptions" aren't very likely at all. In fact The Duke Journal of Gender Law and Policy finds that provocative clothing is not at all an indicator of prey, but may actually be an indicator of confidence and assertiveness, where concealing clothing is a better indicator of viable, insecure prey.
Also rape is shown to have very little to do with "desirability of prey" and all to do with opportunity and power (according at least to the American Journal of Psychiatry).
http://scholarship.law.duke.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1109&context=djglp
http://ajp.psychiatryonline.org/article.aspx?articleid=155978
It isn't logical to analogize an individual situation to another situation just because they seem vaguely similar, and these "assumptions" are less educated guesses and more logic leaps with no base.
I get where you're coming from and I know you don't support victim blaming but I still feel the evidence points elsewhere.
"Research provides evidence that how a woman dresses may be interpreted as a cue to her character, vulnerability, willingness to have sex, and provocation of a male's behavior and, consequently, affects the likelihood of sexual assault, including date rape."
An Examination of Date Rape, Victim Dress, and Perceiver Variables Within the Context of Attribution Theory
Sex Roles: A Journal of Research, August, 1999 by Jane E. Workman, Elizabeth W. Freeburg
These researchers have come to the opposite conclusion, that clothing does in fact effect the probability of date rape.
And the abstract of the second article you linked:
"Accounts from both offenders and victims of what occurs during a rape suggest that issues of power, anger, and sexuality are important in understanding the rapist's behavior. All three issues seem to operate in every rape, but the proportion varies and one issue seems to dominate in each instance. The authors ranked accounts from 133 offenders and 92 victims for the dominant issue and found that the offenses could be categorized as power rape (sexuality used primarily to express power) or anger rape (use of sexuality to express anger). There were no rapes in which sex was the dominant issue; sexuality was always in the service of other, nonsexual needs."
This states that sexuality is always a factor, even if it is not the dominant factor. This could just as easily be interpreted as vindication of the provocative clothing assumption. After all, the abstract plainly states that sexuality is a factor in every case.
And yet, the first article you linked claims strong evidence against the provocative clothing assumption.
This is why I say there is no substantial evidence either way. Because my research has show that even the seemingly reliable sources disagree.
Even if we were to prove the opposite true (as is suggested in your post and by many sources I have seen) that timid clothing resulted in increased probability of rape wouldn't it be just as bad? "She was too timid. If she had been more assertive, he wouldn't have bothered her. She just let him do it." This is equally bad victim blaming.
In addition, the "likely assumptions" I listed are not necessarily true, they are simply what most people are going to assume because it squares with their experience and knowledge.
Finally, trying to counter the provocative dress assumption with evidence is an ineffective method of dealing with the problem. Even if we could prove without a shadow of a doubt that clothing had absolutely no effect in any rape we will still have not dealt with the core problem of victim blaming.
All my posts in this thread have had exactly 3 points:
1. The suggestion of risk management is not victim blaming and to treat it as such is irresponsible.
2. Rather than trying to prove the unprovable (or at least extremely difficult to prove) we should approach the problem on a level of morality and emotion. If we can instill the principle that victim blaming is wrong we solve the problem at the root and gain an ally. Our objective should not be to defeat but to convert.
3. That we should treat those who are not yet on our side with respect, winning them over by being reasonable and amiable. The quickest way to drive someone away from your message is to act and speak with hostility, and yet that is the default mode of the anti rape movement.