Of course Kickstarter isn't a threat, quite the opposite actually.
On a pragmatic level, Kickstarter is free money for the gaming industry given it's current mindset. One of the reasons why the games industry, and corperations in general, sit on liscences like say "Metal Arms" and other properties they won't ever use, is so they can go after similar products with similar ideas if they appear.
Just watch, given time your going to see some bright eyed, dream filled independant developer come up with a great idea, appeal to the fans, collect a surprising amount of money, and then right as development begins.. their dream come true, there will be knocking on the door and some lawyer from a big game company will serve them papers to sue them, because well their idea... it happens to be very similar to all these other ideas the company owns. Guess who is going to win between say EA's legal department, and say some fresh out of college basement developer who lucked into a 5 million dollar kickstarter investment. What's more you might not even hear about it, because the terms of some court cases can prevent the discussion of them, and if you do, what does EA care? A few mil at a time, is a few mil at a time, kickstarter can be viewed as an alternative stream of income to indirectly suck up fan donations throug naive bright eyed newbie developers who amazingly can't keep track of all the ideas and liscences a major corperation technically owns. Companies buy liscences just so they can own the idea in case they get an oppertunity like this.
Some people might be thinking I'm insane, but just watch, it probably actually won't be that long before we see a case almost exactly like what I'm talking about if kickstarter takes off.
Now, of course there is the other side of this as well, see Kickstarter is rife for abuse. The idea of it is fundementally good, but I can't imagine it will last long enough to spawn many success stories or present a threat. The amounts of money aside, it's only a matter of time before you see some "developer" who talks all the right talk and collects the money to develop the perfect game (telling people whatever they want to hear about a popular genere, no matter if it's too good to be true or not) he nails a couple million and then head someplace with nice beaches and no US extradition treaty. What's worse is that it's almost inevitable that someone we know is going to succumb to this temptation, see Tim raised that much money easily because he's Tim bloody Schaefer, people love him, and trust him. Still if Tim decided he was tired of being a mediocre game designer given all his failures and the fact that he's hardly become rich, and decided to retire to the aforementioned country without an extradition treaty with a couple mil hanging out of his back pocket, what the heck is going to stop him? Granted Tim probably won't do that, but I can almost guarantee with time we WILL see someone use their name to do exactly that, and it will come as a surprise.
See, collecting donations for various kind of developments, buildings, resorts, parks, or whartever is one of the oldest ways to scam money of people there is. It's a stock plot for TV shows, movies, and everything else. Kickstarter is new, and doing some things that people are impressed by, but the bottom line is that it's a way for people to collect donations with a greater degree of relative anonimity than ever before (you don't even need the TV con artist to show up in a costume). That means we're going to see all the same kind of crap.
It might be a conveinent way of organizing it, and exciting because it's new (which is why it can work) but right now the threat is not really all that differant than say someone asking people to mail him checks for a project. Tim's "Kickstarter" for his game really isn't differant than Tim saying "here is my address, send me money" or sitting aorund in the middle of Grand Central station, hat on the ground, asking for money. It's just conveinent... and since pretty much anyone can do this... well I'm not especially imaginative. I'm wondering if we'll see anything as awsome as the guy who sold the Eiffel Tower twice (I am not kidding) come of this... I doubt there will be anything that epic, but still I can't help but think I wouldn't be threatened by this if I was running a business right now.
We'll see what happens, maybe I'll be proven wrong, in theory it would be nice to see an alternative form of funding for games take off. I'm just not that much of an optimist.
On a pragmatic level, Kickstarter is free money for the gaming industry given it's current mindset. One of the reasons why the games industry, and corperations in general, sit on liscences like say "Metal Arms" and other properties they won't ever use, is so they can go after similar products with similar ideas if they appear.
Just watch, given time your going to see some bright eyed, dream filled independant developer come up with a great idea, appeal to the fans, collect a surprising amount of money, and then right as development begins.. their dream come true, there will be knocking on the door and some lawyer from a big game company will serve them papers to sue them, because well their idea... it happens to be very similar to all these other ideas the company owns. Guess who is going to win between say EA's legal department, and say some fresh out of college basement developer who lucked into a 5 million dollar kickstarter investment. What's more you might not even hear about it, because the terms of some court cases can prevent the discussion of them, and if you do, what does EA care? A few mil at a time, is a few mil at a time, kickstarter can be viewed as an alternative stream of income to indirectly suck up fan donations throug naive bright eyed newbie developers who amazingly can't keep track of all the ideas and liscences a major corperation technically owns. Companies buy liscences just so they can own the idea in case they get an oppertunity like this.
Some people might be thinking I'm insane, but just watch, it probably actually won't be that long before we see a case almost exactly like what I'm talking about if kickstarter takes off.
Now, of course there is the other side of this as well, see Kickstarter is rife for abuse. The idea of it is fundementally good, but I can't imagine it will last long enough to spawn many success stories or present a threat. The amounts of money aside, it's only a matter of time before you see some "developer" who talks all the right talk and collects the money to develop the perfect game (telling people whatever they want to hear about a popular genere, no matter if it's too good to be true or not) he nails a couple million and then head someplace with nice beaches and no US extradition treaty. What's worse is that it's almost inevitable that someone we know is going to succumb to this temptation, see Tim raised that much money easily because he's Tim bloody Schaefer, people love him, and trust him. Still if Tim decided he was tired of being a mediocre game designer given all his failures and the fact that he's hardly become rich, and decided to retire to the aforementioned country without an extradition treaty with a couple mil hanging out of his back pocket, what the heck is going to stop him? Granted Tim probably won't do that, but I can almost guarantee with time we WILL see someone use their name to do exactly that, and it will come as a surprise.
See, collecting donations for various kind of developments, buildings, resorts, parks, or whartever is one of the oldest ways to scam money of people there is. It's a stock plot for TV shows, movies, and everything else. Kickstarter is new, and doing some things that people are impressed by, but the bottom line is that it's a way for people to collect donations with a greater degree of relative anonimity than ever before (you don't even need the TV con artist to show up in a costume). That means we're going to see all the same kind of crap.
It might be a conveinent way of organizing it, and exciting because it's new (which is why it can work) but right now the threat is not really all that differant than say someone asking people to mail him checks for a project. Tim's "Kickstarter" for his game really isn't differant than Tim saying "here is my address, send me money" or sitting aorund in the middle of Grand Central station, hat on the ground, asking for money. It's just conveinent... and since pretty much anyone can do this... well I'm not especially imaginative. I'm wondering if we'll see anything as awsome as the guy who sold the Eiffel Tower twice (I am not kidding) come of this... I doubt there will be anything that epic, but still I can't help but think I wouldn't be threatened by this if I was running a business right now.
We'll see what happens, maybe I'll be proven wrong, in theory it would be nice to see an alternative form of funding for games take off. I'm just not that much of an optimist.