Mar-A-Lago Raid

Silvanus

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You are choosing to believe their guilty pleas are indicative of genuine guilt, and that any testimony that doesn't condemn Trump would be to protect him, but it is entirely possible for their honest testimony to not actually help convict Trump.
I don't believe their pleas are indicative of guilt-- I believe they're guilty because we all saw Sidney Powell on television telling outrageous lies and making pleas for an electoral defeat to be overturned without grounds.

The guilty plea is indicative that she knows she be cannot successfully defend her actions in court, and she'd rather assist the prosecution in exchange for leniency.
 

CaitSeith

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They've agreed to testfiy. "Testify against" is presuming something unstated.
That's not how that works. They are testifying for the prosecution; that means their testimony is meant to be against Trump (otherwise, the prosecution wouldn't even bother to offer the plea); and it's up to Trump's defense lawyer to cross-examine the witnesses to get something favorable for Trump. If their testimony was favorable for Trump, then Trump's lawyer would be the one to call them to testify, and the prosecutor would do the cross-examination.
 
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tstorm823

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But the only reason they were even offered that plea deal was because
a) the prosecutors are convinced their honest testimony will help convict Trump
b) the prosecutors have enough proof to get them for perjury if they renege on the deal and don't help convict Trump.
The guilty plea is indicative that she knows she be cannot successfully defend her actions in court, and she'd rather assist the prosecution in exchange for leniency.
The prosecutors were pursuing these deals aggressively, not the defendants. The defendants had already rejected similar deals. Is that not indication that the prosecution thinks they won't get a conviction?

They can be used as witnesses of the facts in the case, but those facts being largely public and recorded statements makes their testimony pretty neutral, other than the optics that convinces someone like you guys that Trump is being turned on. But I doubt it'll actually play out that way.
 

Silvanus

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The prosecutors were pursuing these deals aggressively, not the defendants. The defendants had already rejected similar deals. Is that not indication that the prosecution thinks they won't get a conviction?
Lol, no, it's not at all. Prosecutors seek plea deals for any number of reasons-- chief among them to build wider cases more easily. Defendants only tend to take plea deals for a few reasons-- chief among them that they believe it'll go worse for them personally if they don't.
 
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tstorm823

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Defendants only tend to take plea deals for a few reasons-- chief among them that they believe it'll go worse for them personally if they don't.
This is exactly why the light terms are relevant. The terms of the plea are A) to testify, but they'd get a subpoena to do that no matter, and B) probation with no criminal record. It almost certainly saves them both money to not go through with the trial. The downside here for either of them is nominal, there's a good chance it's preferable to even winning at trial. If the plea deal is better than going to trial at all without any risk of it going against you, taking the deal says nothing about the chance of conviction.
 

Trunkage

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Lol, no, it's not at all. Prosecutors seek plea deals for any number of reasons-- chief among them to build wider cases more easily. Defendants only tend to take plea deals for a few reasons-- chief among them that they believe it'll go worse for them personally if they don't.
I would point out that Powell is involved in quite a few cases. Also, these two were the first cab off the rank in going to court for a reason
 

Ag3ma

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The prosecutors were pursuing these deals aggressively, not the defendants. The defendants had already rejected similar deals. Is that not indication that the prosecution thinks they won't get a conviction?
You cannot seriously be arguing that people who can afford expensive lawyers such as Powell and Cheseboro take plea deals unless they are at very substantial risk of losing the case. Remembering here that they are lawyers, and even with a plea both must be facing the possibility of disbarment and thus significant professional loss.

However, they are still going to bargain that plea deal as low as they possibly can. Why would they not?
 
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tstorm823

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You cannot seriously be arguing that people who can afford expensive lawyers such as Powell and Cheseboro take plea deals unless they are at very substantial risk of losing the case. Remembering here that they are lawyers, and even with a plea both must be facing the possibility of disbarment and thus significant professional loss.
Sidney Powell has already faced a petition for disbarment over this that was thrown out. What would you suggest these two actually lose by taking the deal?

Imagine someone given two options:
A) Get slapped in the face a couple times.
B) Get slapped in the face a couple times over a longer period of time, and then maybe get punched in the gut.

You don't even have to consider the gut punch to pick option A. It's already the better option.
 

Ag3ma

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Sidney Powell has already faced a petition for disbarment over this that was thrown out. What would you suggest these two actually lose by taking the deal?

Imagine someone given two options:
A) Get slapped in the face a couple times.
B) Get slapped in the face a couple times over a longer period of time, and then maybe get punched in the gut.

You don't even have to consider the gut punch to pick option A. It's already the better option.
I repeat: you cannot seriously be arguing that people who can afford expensive lawyers such as Powell and Cheseboro take plea deals unless they are at very substantial risk of losing the case.
 

tstorm823

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I repeat: you cannot seriously be arguing that people who can afford expensive lawyers such as Powell and Cheseboro take plea deals unless they are at very substantial risk of losing the case.
You can repeat it all you want, you haven't named a material reason to turn down the plea deal. You're just appealing to incredulity.
 

crimson5pheonix

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You can repeat it all you want, you haven't named a material reason to turn down the plea deal. You're just appealing to incredulity.
You're right, guilty people who are going to lose at trial have no reason to turn down a plea deal.
 

Silvanus

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This is exactly why the light terms are relevant. The terms of the plea are A) to testify, but they'd get a subpoena to do that no matter, and B) probation with no criminal record. It almost certainly saves them both money to not go through with the trial. The downside here for either of them is nominal, there's a good chance it's preferable to even winning at trial. If the plea deal is better than going to trial at all without any risk of it going against you, taking the deal says nothing about the chance of conviction.
If you think taking a plea deal is better for the defendant than winning at trial, you're divorced from reality. All this to rationalise why the former mouthpieces of your party's candidate would admit guilt?
 
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tstorm823

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If you think taking a plea deal is better for the defendant than winning at trial, you're divorced from reality. All this to rationalise why the former mouthpieces of your party's candidate would admit guilt?
Do you believe there is 0% chance they see themselves as innocent?
 

Ag3ma

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Do you believe there is 0% chance they see themselves as innocent?
How they view themselves isn't the sole deciding factor, though, is it? It's also what their own legal knowledge or external advice tells them is the chance of a successful defence.
 

tstorm823

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Apart from the "very substantial risk of losing the case", you mean?
You answered that question backwards. That would be a reason not to go to trial, I'm asking for a reason not to take the plea deal.
How they view themselves isn't the sole deciding factor, though, is it? It's also what their own legal knowledge or external advice tells them is the chance of a successful defence.
The chance of successful defense vs the downsides of taking the plea deal. If the terms of the plea deal are minimal, why risk even a 1% chance of going to prison?
No. That's a strange and irrelevant question.
It's a very relevant question. Your analysis so far has ignored the possibility of them thinking themselves innocent but taking the plea deal anyway. While taking this plea deal certainly counts as a public admission of guilt, that admission isn't made under the threat of perjury. When it comes time to testify, they will be sworn to tell the truth, and the truth in their minds may not be the same as what a guilty plea implies.
 

Hades

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Do you believe there is 0% chance they see themselves as innocent?
Considering the absolute nonsense they were pushing to try and cancel our democracy they must know they’re guilty as sin.

The local town drunk might genuinely believe Trump secretly won the election despite being a historical unpopular president. Trump lawyers are not the local town drunk. Except for Rudy.
 

Silvanus

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It's a very relevant question. Your analysis so far has ignored the possibility of them thinking themselves innocent but taking the plea deal anyway.
Actually, my analysis isn't predicated on them thinking themselves guilty-- it's predicated on them believing its likely they wouldn't be found innocent at trial.

While taking this plea deal certainly counts as a public admission of guilt, that admission isn't made under the threat of perjury. When it comes time to testify, they will be sworn to tell the truth, and the truth in their minds may not be the same as what a guilty plea implies.
Yes, there's a possibility that after admitting they committed misdemeanours and felonies on Trump's behalf, they then fall on their swords to nonsensically argue that they did it without his knowledge or agreement. Even though they're called by the prosecution, who wouldn't be calling them if that were the case.

But that minute, absurd possibility isn't worth considering for realistic people.
 

tstorm823

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Yes, there's a possibility that after admitting they committed misdemeanours and felonies on Trump's behalf, they then fall on their swords to nonsensically argue that they did it without his knowledge or agreement. Even though they're called by the prosecution, who wouldn't be calling them if that were the case.
Do you actually not get this? I'm saying this guilty plea could be the lie, and true testimony might not match it. You're not even entertaining the idea that they could tell the truth and not have it hurt Trump.