Funny events in anti-woke world

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Asita

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No idea, but you fall for this fake outrage-farming dross all the time, and I'm urging you to think.
It's further worth pointing out that at least some of those are quite clearly cases of malicious compliance meant to mock masking, such as the man in the mesh bag, the woman in the dinosaur mask, the man in the literal scuba gear, the guy who tuned a newspaper into a Spy vs Spy mask, the man wearing briefs on his head, and the pair wearing Halloween costumes of astronauts.

Which is to say that Phoenix is literally invoking examples of people who were using deliberately ridiculous masks as political statements against masking to prove his conceit that masking was ridiculous.
 

Phoenixmgs

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Dude, you are literally arguing that because something doesn't make intuitive sense to you (owing largely to your poor understanding of the topic) it has to be wrong.

Maybe consider that rather than stubbornly trying to assert your preconceptions about how you think things should work, you should actually take the time to read up on the subject to figure out how they actually work, and then have the humility to try to learn.

But instead, all you ever seem to do is rationalize to yourself that doing so would be a waste of your time because "common sense" (read: your preconceptions) conflicts with it.

Case in point:



That's plainly wrong. Infectious dose (often expressed as ID₅₀) is a probabilistic benchmark: the approximate amount that can lead to successful infection in a given percentage of exposed hosts under defined conditions. It is not a guaranteed threshold that must bypass all defenses.

Think of it like par in golf. Par doesn’t guarantee you’ll finish the hole in that number of strokes; it’s the expected outcome under typical conditions. ID₅₀ works the same way: at that dose, the expected outcome is that half of exposed hosts get infected and about half don’t.

Or to go military with the analogy, it's like estimating the number of soldiers 'needed' to take a city. It's not some natural law that fewer soldiers cannot succeed and more soldiers are guaranteed to, just that the given number is estimated to be sufficient to do so.

To be direct: You're treating it as a binary cutoff that guarantees infection. Infectious Dose is a measure of infection probability upon absorption. Higher exposure increases the likelihood of infection simply by giving the pathogen more chances. That's very different from "something that gets past all your defenses".

Importantly: Many viruses have extremely low ID₅₀ values, while infected individuals can generate extraordinarily high viral loads in expelled material.

For example, Norovirus has been estimated in human challenge studies to have an ID₅₀ on the order of tens of viral particles, while infected individuals can shed 10⁵ - 10¹¹ viral copies per gram of feces. That means a single gram can contain many orders of magnitude more viral particles than the ID₅₀ benchmark.

Similarly, rhinovirus challenge studies show infection at very low doses (on the order of ~10 TCID₅₀ units), while coughs and sneezes can expel thousands to tens of thousands of viral particles. So it is entirely accurate to say a sneeze can contain many times the infectious dose.

That does not mean infection is guaranteed. Infectious dose describes the quantity required to establish infection under controlled conditions. In real-world transmission, only a fraction of expelled particles reach a susceptible host, deposit in the appropriate tissue, and remain viable. Most are lost to dispersion, inactivation, or host defenses. Hence the sheer volume. A larger number of expelled particles does not ensure infection, it simply increases the probability that enough viable particles will successfully initiate one.

That’s why simple measures like covering coughs and sneezes and keeping distance from sick individuals reduce transmission: they reduce the number of viable particles that reach another host, lowering the probability of infection.

We are talking about foundational epidemiology. This isn’t a controversial claim; it’s standard infectious disease modeling.
If colds were that easy to transfer/catch, people would be sick way more often. People go to the store how often in a year, yet only catch 2-4 colds on average per year, and the vast majority of the time when you catch a cold, it's from a person you're with for a prolonged period of time like a family member, a friend, a co-worker, a child that goes to school (catches stuff from other children they are in the same room for hours with), etc. The chances of catching a cold from a store is so very low.

Yes, I know it's essentially an average. It takes X amount viral particles to get infected from rhinovirus. Yes, not every person is the same, some take less to get infected, some take more, X is the average. Yes, infectious dose does mean how much it takes to get past your defenses (ON AVERAGE).

We're are as close as we can practically get to demonstrating that a non-negligible risk exists. Likely from one fleeting interaction? Certainly not. But you have hundreds a day, untold thousands a year.



You essentially said it just doesn't happen. Which is obvious horseshit.

I have no interest in discussing whether we should be "concerned", because i don't particularly think we should be.



No idea, but you fall for this fake outrage-farming dross all the time, and I'm urging you to think.
You've shown nothing that proves people should be concerned about getting sick from going to the store. I get together with friends at least 4 times a week for hours each time and haven't gotten sick this whole cold season. If that is already a rather low chance of getting sick, how is going to the grocery store something that I should have any concern with?

I never said it doesn't at all happen, my whole point has been it's nothing to be concerned about literally the entire time.

I (we) lived through covid just a few years back, I literally saw what happened, what people did; this isn't some historical thing that I wasn't alive for or happened when I was a kid. Just because one such photo I found what googling for a photo was photoshoped doesn't prove it didn't happen. My uncle/aunt cleaned their car and groceries every time when going to the store during covid. There's one person in our board game group that still wears a mask to this day, he even wears a mask outside at pool parties, and just recently we had an all day even at a church (there's like 30 people in this massive hall with tables throughout) and he went outside to his car to eat because he wasn't comfortable just moving to a table away from people and not having a mask on.

Gamer, Errant Signal (@ basically the 7min mark), only met with friends during covid by going to a park, sitting on separate benches, and wearing a mask. That is how ridiculous and illogical people acted during covid. I wonder why people were so depressed...
 

Asita

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If colds were that easy to transfer/catch, people would be sick way more often. People go to the store how often in a year, yet only catch 2-4 colds on average per year, and the vast majority of the time when you catch a cold, it's from a person you're with for a prolonged period of time like a family member, a friend, a co-worker, a child that goes to school (catches stuff from other children they are in the same room for hours with), etc. The chances of catching a cold from a store is so very low.
Once again: you are literally arguing that because something doesn't make intuitive sense to you (owing largely to your poor understanding of the topic) it has to be wrong. And rather than trying to improve your understanding of the topic you're just doubling down on your preconceptions.
 

Trunkage

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Once again: you are literally arguing that because something doesn't make intuitive sense to you (owing largely to your poor understanding of the topic) it has to be wrong. And rather than trying to improve your understanding of the topic you're just doubling down on your preconceptions.
I've just got point out that this is actually a winning strategy. Look at whose in the White House. If you are not smart enough, just double down on your wrongness. Its why Phoenix hates scientist
 
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Trunkage

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Nice knowing you people, they now basically control the media, and are flaunting it, and we can't do shit about it.
The time to do something about it was the last 5 years. Unfortunately, it meant aligning yourself with pro-genocidal maniacs. But the alternative was aligning yourself with pro-genocidal fascist maniacs.

As always, if you do not stop the facsists, the fascists win
 

tstorm823

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Aw bless, is so tragic watching someone think they've been clever.

Nationalism is a common thread of the right wing. So it is that non-Russian right wingers might attack Russians, and Russian right-wingers might attack non-Russians.
That is both possible and likely the case often enough, however, assuming as much is the problem. Tankies aren't analyzing the politics case by case, they are making broad generalizations. So are lots of other people, who assume as an initial premise that violence is a right wing concept, and then reach the shocking conclusion that violence comes primarily from the right.
 

Trunkage

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Aw bless, is so tragic watching someone think they've been clever.

Nationalism is a common thread of the right wing. So it is that non-Russian right wingers might attack Russians, and Russian right-wingers might attack non-Russians.
The war in Iraq is two right wing countries fighting each other. The war between Iraq and Iran is two right wing countries fighting each other. If a war starts between the US and Iran, its right wing countries fighting each other. None of these people would see themselves on the same political side of the spectrum because they hate each other. Just because you hate someone, that does not mean you both arent right wingers. See also Shapiro, Owens and Kirk
 

Trunkage

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That is both possible and likely the case often enough, however, assuming as much is the problem. Tankies aren't analyzing the politics case by case, they are making broad generalizations. So are lots of other people, who assume as an initial premise that violence is a right wing concept, and then reach the shocking conclusion that violence comes primarily from the right.
You cannot have a nation without violence. The state needs to be violent to enforce the law. It needs to be violent to protect border. It needs to be violent to enforce Capitalism (or Socialism or Communism).

Violence from the citizenry is downstream of who the governmemt allows to commit crimed. For example, Epstein Island is for rich people, right, left and centre, to rape kids. And, unfortunately, probably worse. Mulitple governments allowed this violence because they were paid to.

The question is which side does the US government favour. Lets look at Trump. He was a liberal but once he was a target of investigation by the DOJ, he swerved right. Same with Musk, Bezos, Murdoch, Epstein etc. The Epstein files shows how much he personally made the US swerve right. Him being involved with starting (or mainstreaming) in 8chan, Gamergate, Pizzagate etc is him trying to make Free Speech so Free that CP is acceptable, to say that all women lie so when his victims come to the police, they get ignored and lastly that only left winger rape children which is nonsense

Left wing violence used to be closer to the levels of right wing violence.... but many years of manipulation now means the right wing violence is far more prevelant
 

Silvanus

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You've shown nothing that proves people should be concerned about getting sick from going to the store.
For goodness' sake, Phoenix, you've just reverted to stuff that's already been addressed.

1. I have already explained at length that "proving" a likelihood of catching a cold from a visit to the shop is a fool's errand, and practically impossible. I have never been trying to prove any such thing.

2. I do not believe people should be concerned about getting the common cold from going to the shop, and have never been trying to convince anyone of this.

Every time you waffle on about this, you're not rebutting me; you're responding to arguments I never made. If you want to discuss what I've actually written, go back and actually read it.
 

Gergar12

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What I don't understand about the current affairs today is how no one wants to fight longer wars, and plans to win them. Even the US is more concerned about fighting, and winning shorter term wars as is France. And countries with capabilities of winning short term wars in the past such as the UK can't even do that as well without help from other countries. Everyone else plays defense or will miscalculate like Russia.

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Also the Ayatollah is likely burning in hell from a JDAM.
 

Thaluikhain

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What I don't understand about the current affairs today is how no one wants to fight longer wars, and plans to win them. Even the US is more concerned about fighting, and winning shorter term wars as is France. And countries with capabilities of winning short term wars in the past such as the UK can't even do that as well without help from other countries. Everyone else plays defense or will miscalculate like Russia.
Why would countries want to get involved in a long war? Those tend to be costly in all sorts of ways. Now, the idea that you can cut back your military drastically and still fight and win long wars is obviously wrong, (though popular).
 

Agema

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Support independent media outlets?
No, we get the government to enforce with laws and regulations.

Hoping the right thing happens is a recipe for failure. Collective action problems: the public are too often too disparate, too hard to reach, to difficult to coalesce into combined action. This is the essence of what democratic government is for.

We make things happen via the government. We enforce anti-monopoly laws, we enforce media plurality laws; we break the corrupt and take their power from them.
 

Bedinsis

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No, we get the government to enforce with laws and regulations.

Hoping the right thing happens is a recipe for failure. Collective action problems: the public are too often too disparate, too hard to reach, to difficult to coalesce into combined action. This is the essence of what democratic government is for.

We make things happen via the government. We enforce anti-monopoly laws, we enforce media plurality laws; we break the corrupt and take their power from them.
You can do multiple things at once.