I am, and it looks rather like Trump unless the remaining districts swing HUGELY Democratic.
Election results discussion thread (and sadly the inevitable aftermath)
- Thread starter Godzillarich(aka tf2godz)
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- May 6, 2020
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The latest update I saw says Trump is up 53% - 45% with 90% of the vote reporting
As I understand it the mail in votes in the rust belt aren't being accounted for yet, which may swing them.
And they better because last I checked Trump is stomping up there.
I'm guessing he's going off the NY Times. Looks like Fulton and Dekalb counties are where the Biden votes would possibly be coming from; they're large, Biden-favoring, and still have a significant portion of votes not reported yet.
Georgia Presidential Election Results (Published 2020)
See full results and maps for the 2020 presidential election in Georgia.
They do. Due to the unexpected turnout and the bias toward mail-in for Dems in cities, you’ll find that whatever the remaining votes are on the state, the percent is double that for the Biden led counties. For example, Biden probably has Wisconsin locked despite all appearances, and Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, where Biden is current at double Trump, both at a third or less reported.
This was a given. Florida is not a swing state, it is a reliably light red state trending redder. Also the Florida Dems think the way to win votes is to call everyone Castro.
Didn't realize this till I just read it from some ABC reporter's tweet:
For Wisconsin, the results of absentee ballots will not be reported until all absentee ballots are counted. It's going to essentially be a big influx at once when they finish and is likely to favor Biden.
For Wisconsin, the results of absentee ballots will not be reported until all absentee ballots are counted. It's going to essentially be a big influx at once when they finish and is likely to favor Biden.
So, from where I'm sitting, Trump looks set to win. All of the remaining states seem to be polling towards him. The only way I could see this turning around is if mail-in ballots swing the job.
Tell me if I'm wrong or not.
Tell me if I'm wrong or not.
As Revnak said above, your second sentence really is the key here. Another is that democratic counties often contain a much larger number of voters than republican counties; results can oftentimes be returned slower due to more votes to count.
If my maffs and predictions are correct, Biden's path to victory is either:
A) Flip Georgia and win either Pennsylvania or Michigan
B) Without Georgia he has to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, no exceptions.
This is all presuming Arizona goes to him and it's looking pretty safe for him so far.
EDIT: Maffs were incorrect :V
Without Georgia he needs to win both Pennsylvania and Michigan instead. Either way, Wisconsin isn't important to Biden.
EDIT 2: I don't know if I accounted for Nevada, scratch all this maff, I probably shouldn't be doing it this late anyway.
A) Flip Georgia and win either Pennsylvania or Michigan
B) Without Georgia he has to win Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, no exceptions.
This is all presuming Arizona goes to him and it's looking pretty safe for him so far.
EDIT: Maffs were incorrect :V
Without Georgia he needs to win both Pennsylvania and Michigan instead. Either way, Wisconsin isn't important to Biden.
EDIT 2: I don't know if I accounted for Nevada, scratch all this maff, I probably shouldn't be doing it this late anyway.
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All other relevant variables being equal, yes. But all other relevant variables wouldn't be equal. Bernie would have had to deal with a lot of resistance from the media, sabotage by his own party establishment, so many hostile SuperPAC ads, and general derangement from various politicos. I think he could still win, and it would be a win worth fighting for unlike this bullshit.
This is based on nothing more than wishful thinking and a desire to validate your own beliefs.
Well, he’d be doing better than like 60% with Latinos. That’s a pretty new thing.
There's actually one path where Biden can miss Pennsylvania and George but still win. Biden needs to win Maine overall and either both Maine districts or one Maine + one Nebraska district. That'll get him to exactly 270.
Explore The Ways Trump Or Biden Could Win The Election
Choose whether President Trump or Joe Biden will win each state in the 2020 presidential election and we’ll recalculate whether they have a path to 270 electoral votes and what their chance is of winning the Electoral College.
I'm just gonna say it.
Just like how the Democratic party needs to figure out black people exist in this country who aren't conservative Christians from the South, they need to figure out latinos exist in this country who aren't conservative Cubans from Miami.
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