Undead Dragon King said:
And Blizzard is wondering why most of South Korea is still sticking with the original Starcraft...
To be fair, they did come in and try to muscle out their national sport.
Even if it was their copyright software, it was still bound to piss off everyone and everything that was already established.
Quite an odd situation when you think about it.
Despite EA's idiotic sales tactics, the only thing that they're concerned about is the bottom line. That's why they launched Origin in the first place- they want a bigger cut of distributor prices than what they were getting for their games on Steam. However, Origin is next to unknown compared to Steam, and limiting hot games to it would hurt sales. And a comparatively smaller cut of the sales is better than no sales at all.
Believe me, I know their business strategy. For the longest time, Publishers have held a natural monopoly on their product, but have been held back by restraints of distribution. The obvious long term strategy, to correct this, would be to cut the middleman out entirely.
Of course, now that we're at that point, we're looking at invasive DRM and increasingly absurd degrees of authentication.
The problem now, is that Steam provides better service and uses a less bullshit form of DRM.
To compete with Steam, they literally have to either pull exclusivity deals, or price competitively, and I'm sure you can guess which one they aren't likely to do.
They can "compete" with Steam, but only as long as their product remains in sufficiently high demand.
I agree that EA might make an exception to Mass Effect 3's exclusivity, and its odds are better than many people think. EA is running exclusive download disribution rights on The Old Republic as a field test for how effective it can be. This is very risky, as MMO sales and subscription fees literally keep the game alive. EA has dumped more money into this game than any other of its titles, so it might be killing TOR before it even began with this tactic. Perhaps in order to save such an enormous investment they'll be forced to crawl back to Steam for increased ranges of sales. At least they'll still get the subscription fees. And if it fails, Mass Effect 3 will be up on Steam.
*snip*
In the end, it comes down to how well TOR will do on Origin.
You are dead on correct about TOR being the make-or-break point for EA. That much I have known for a while now. This is where EA might establish itself as a genuine competitor against Blizzard (rather than Steam) directly, or die trying.
If TOR fails to take off as they hope, (even if they only break even) expect heads to roll at EA. Many, many heads. Especially at Bioware.
Slightly Tangential: EA is currently fighting a prolonged war against the two-headed beast that is Activision-Blizzard. TOR on one hand (against WoW), and Battlefield/Medal of Honor on the other (against Call of Duty).
The only remaining thought I have here is, "How will EA respond to Blizzard's Titan after TOR?"
Blizzard is already a step ahead of them there and TOR isn't even out yet...
There are a few possibilities to consider, but my are the consequences ever so dire for each of them.