TestECull said:
I admire your faith in the rationality of politicians
Beyond rationality: no
sane person is going to initiate a first nuclear strike. There's no benefit for them. However greedy or irrational you might think politicians are, you can't be saying that the bulk of them are literally insane. You're saying they'd do it for oil, but who is going to think that initiating a nuclear conflict is going to win them oil?
The practically guaranteed risk of initiating a first nuclear strike in a nuclear-armed world is mutually assured destruction, and the threat of that is the point of having these weapons.
If you want to say that a person
might take power in a nuclear-armed country who
might want to usher in a nuclear apocalypse, be it to hasten Judgment Day or acquire virgins, fine. It's possible, even if there are many factors making it unlikely. What I take issue with is the idea that an administration would decide that an apocalypse is to their material benefit.