Mr.Numbers said:
WW3: Invasion is the ONLY option for WW3, as a MAD scenario blocks all other possibilities if said war occurs.
Well...MAD has been quite successful at preventing WW3 for quite a while. Some useful (if disturbing) reading I came across, written by Stuart Slade (a military science fiction writer who spent many years as one of the people that determine exactly what nuclear device should by used on which part of whose cities):
http://homepage.mac.com/msb/163x/faqs/nuclear_warfare_101.html
http://homepage.mac.com/msb/163x/faqs/nuclear_warfare_102.html
http://homepage.mac.com/msb/163x/faqs/nuclear_warfare_103.html
One of the things he said which I found interesting is that once a nation gets WMDs to play with, it puts a massive limitation on what it can do, because things can escalate to much, much worse.
Mr.Numbers said:
Holding us down: We occupy mostly the East coast, and anything else...Besides Tasmania, I guess, would be so small that Guerrilla warfare for a few years is inevitable but, I guess, inevitable to fail as well. We're not talking about every person at once, we're talking about a crippling majority in the urban sprawls.
That's true, but then again most of the resources are spread out all over the country.
Mr.Numbers said:
Hydrogen: I totally agree, it would take a vast shidt in infrastructure, but then again, doesn't an invasion also require that as well? Hydrogen from geothermal works (EXTREMELY SIMPLIFIED) that: Big bottomless pit drilled, water goes in, steam comes out and collected, steam produces power, power used on steam to turn into Hydrogen and Oxygen, hydrogen used in fuel cell or just burnt with Oxygen. Since this is non-fossil-fuel dependant and available in the centre of a large land mass I see the occurance of this probable, if not likely.
The "hot-rocks" project has been much talked about recently, though its feasibility is currently unknown. It shows potential, though. On the other hand, there's a number of esoteric but possibly feasible renewable eneryg sources that we might see popping up in the not-too-distant future.
Mr.Numbers said:
Logistics: China would probably invade other countries first, yes, but Germany conquered countries on it's way to Poland did it not? I see a very likely scenario revisiting the "Island hopping" strategy of WW2 Japanese soldiers and the supposed domino theory prediction line making Australia still a very logical target. And again, with MAD and the amount of Industry, America would have to bow down before China in this matter.
Well...you are talking about quite some time in the future there. No way of saying what things would be like then. If China developed the logistical capabilities to go a conquering and if it'd chewed its way through most of South East Asia, then yes, Australia might well be next...two big ifs though. And any number of powerful groups are going to see that happenign well in advance.
Personally, though, I'm getting a bit tired of China being seen as the next big baddie...it seems just as likely to me that we'll be on their side in the next major war.