Eri said:
I'm going to assume the next xbox won't have blu-ray. It would be lovely if it did, but it probably won't. DVDs are already too small for many games. They're even trying to squeeze out a last drop of life with the incoming May firmware update that gives a 15 percent-ish boost to disc space for their games.
If not blu, What are they planning on doing? Maybe trying to make their own new format just for the new console? Staying with DVDs even? Thoughts?
Well, given that Microsoft competes with Sony, Blu-Ray is pretty much off the table. Being dependant on your competition to make your own hardware isn't a good idea. After all, if Sony wound up getting ahead of Microsoft in the next round, suddenly Microsoft would have a shorage of the lasers needed to make Blu Ray players again, and say "well, right now we only have enough for in-house development" and pretty much pole-axe Microsoft.
If I had to make a guess, Microsoft is probably going to try and move away from physical media, and do what Sony tried to do with the PSP Go. That is to say have the discs just be download starters with a code in the box, or have everyone deal with them online to buy the games. Developing an entire video format just to sell games is stupid, and right now they aren't going to compete with Blu Ray in a general sense since people aren't going to support a new format yet, as a lot of people haven't yet switched over to Blu-Ray as it is. We pretty much have to wait a number of years once DVD is buried entirely before people start thinking new format, sort of like what happened with VHS.
Microsoft is in a pickle, and to be honest it was intentional. Sony always said that they were involved in a long term strategy with the PS-3 and their game development. Back when the PS-3 was released they did try and pull a P-2 with artificial shortages to generate hype, BUT there was some truth to it as they couldn't meet the demand in an absolute sense (while they could have done a lot better than they did). The thing was that Sony which is a multi-national corperation was competing for the next generation video format, and tossing most of it's overall resources into that war as opposed to things like video games which is just a side business for them (even if it's our primary area of interest as gamers). They could only make the components so fast, and given the option between putting them into a PS-3 or into a dedicated Blu Ray player which would appeal to a wider audience given the prejudice against game boxes (even those that play movies), common sense dictated putting them into the blu ray player. Due to their focus they won, and now questions like this one are a big one, and they set it up ahead of time. Sure they took a thrashing with the PS-3 early on, and were out performed by the competition sales wise in an absolute sense, but it's still a very succesful product by any standard. Come the next gen of consoles Sony is very much in a position to drop the competition right out of the gate since any work around they come up with to avoid using Blu Ray and not becoming dependant on Sony, is likely to be inferior and gimmicky.
Microsoft's best option is probably to go digital, but I don't think that will meet with any major support despite the passage of time. We might very well see a one-man Sony show for the coming generation.