Baresark said:
JDKJ said:
I'd be "citing" if I was, not "sighting." Anyways . . .
You've completely lost me. If a currency isn't subject to the natural forces of the market in which all other major currencies are traded and therefore the value of that currency isn't set by that market but, rather, its value is artificially pegged to the US dollar, I can't see how that currency can be said to "compete" with any other currency, especially the currency to which it's been pegged. That's precisely what it isn't doing by removing itself from the competitive market: it isn't competing in that market.
To use your own example, despite all the debt China has issued to the United States, that debt issuance has no effect on the value of their currency vis-à-vis the US dollar. If you wanted to trade on the fact of that debt and buy yuans in hopes that they'll appreciate in value, you can't because there's no speculative market for yuans.
In all fairness, I wrote that post on my phone, which is not the most enjoyable for proof reading. But, you are correct, I meant "citing". If you bother looking back, I had actually used the word "cite" and it's many variations, quite a few times.
Back to our discussion though: You are making the mistake of assuming strength is a derivative of value, when if fact the reverse is true. People do not invest in something because it is expensive, they invest in it because it's strong and therefore has great value, and if it is strong, it will most likely go up in value. So, the Yuan is a strong currency, whose controller has decided to peg to the US Dollar. The relative value is not what makes it competitive, but the strength of the currency itself that makes it competitive. The currency is strong, but it holds it's own relative value down in order to keep the goods cheap for the US. The strength can be openly seen by the fact that as of 2011, China is the second largest economy in the world, passing Japan in 2010. It's the largest exporter, and second largest importer (after the US). Some experts predict that by 2020, it could be largest economy in the world. They also own 20.8% of all US Foreign Treasure Debt. This is a strong nation with a strong currency.
You are not correct in assuming people do not invest in the Yuan. Same Financial experts such as Marc Faber (a large investor and business owner) and Gerald Celente (a financial trends forecaster) suggest that the Yuan is the chief currency to invest in, if you want to invest in a foreign currency. Investment in any currency is only for the long term though. It's also important if you plan on moving your assets to a place like Beijing (as in Marc Faber's situation).
Also, the market is, as always, restricted by regulations. But, the Market cannot be kept at bay. Despite the relative value being pegged to another currency of relative value, it's still competing in the fact that it's a strong currency.