I think you're pretty close to the truth with this. From what I have seen of the case, it seems that more than a few of the justices were not buying the California argument. One of my favorite lines was a Justice asking whether the law would prohibit violence against Vulcans. So, I'm not too worried here. Though, I would be surprised if it was unanimous.zelda2fanboy said:I bet it's the latter. It's still worth being a little worried, since if the decision is in favor of California, that will be pretty much the end for the video game industry. Retailers will stop stocking M Rated games, then T rated games, then anything remotely violent. Then companies will limit what they design for sale to the most tame and arbitrary tasks, until finally they fold when the low sales aren't worth it anymore.John Funk said:This could be because it's more hotly debated than the others, or it could be because one of the justices is taking his or her sweet time in writing what could be a landmark decision.
Considering the Supreme Court has been skewing very conservative lately, I find it difficult to believe that they could mount any sort of constitutional argument for censoring media. Remember, "conservative" in regards to the Supreme Court does not mean Republican or Democrat. It means they interpret the Constitution more literally than liberal justices do. If a given right isn't in there, they won't fight for it, but if a law tries to infringe on one of the rights that is there (first amendment), they'll need a few significant precedents and other sections to prove their point. From what I can tell, they probably don't have the latter.
My guess is the liberal justices are probably pro-rights, while the conservatives will be pro first amendment and they'll come back with a unanimous verdict in favor of video games. Whoever is writing the decision is probably prepping a veritable ***** slap to wasteful politicians. This sucker had been shot down in every other court so far. Maybe they're arguing who gets to write it.
Also, didn't they strike down the law against crush videos for being too vague recently? Kind of hard to see them siding with California after that.