Hagi said:
DrOswald said:
In the absence of evidence, it is reasonable to take the position backed up by the strongest logic.
No.
In the absence of evidence, it is reasonable to do some fucking reading and research to find some evidence.
I did do the research! There is no substantial evidence either way! You keep on insisting that there is, but you never provide any! I looked and looked. I found around 10 long lists all claiming that these studies proved something, but very few of the studies listed offered any evidence supporting a claim one way or the other. Almost every study is actually about the effect of clothing choice on victim blaming. And the few that did actually attempt to answer the question disagree and are often based on terrible methodology. One actually had the audacity to claim they had definitively proven the point because they literally asked men if they, personally, were more likely to rape a woman in revealing clothing and the men said no. The methodology is moronic, the reasoning flawed, and the few studies done well are conflicting in their conclusions. There is no substantial evidence for either conclusion.
As for the rest of your post, I don't think you really know what logic is. Logic is just a set of rules of reasoning. It's incapable of functioning on it's own because it does not incorporate a starting point.
Your 'conclusion' that harvesting organs from society's undesirables isn't purely logical. It's based on the starting point that the lives of undesirables are of minimal value compared to those of others. There's nothing logical about that starting point, nor is there anything logical about any other starting point. It simply is. From that starting point onward the logic starts and you end up at the conclusion of harvesting their organs.
Logic is based on evidence and assumptions. I didn't think I would have to list the obvious assumptions on which this argument is made, but here we go:
1. the life of a societal undesirable is less valuable than the life of a societal desirable.
2. The value of a single life is less than that of multiple lives.
If either of these assumptions holds true then so does the conclusion. So, please, prove these assumptions wrong. In particular I really want to see your purely logical debunking of number 2.
It's no more or less logical than saying "If it's black and white then it's a penguin. A panda is black and white. Thus a panda is a penguin." Because the starting point, "If it's black and white then it's a penguin.", isn't correct the entire thing that follows logically isn't correct either.
The assumption you list above is:
Everything that is black and white is a penguin.
If this does not hold true, then the conclusion is incorrect.
I am currently typing on a keyboard that is black and white. This keyboard does not fit the definition of a penguin. Therefore the assumption does not always hold. I have logically debunked your assumption. Your conclusion is based on incorrect assumptions. Therefore your conclusion is incorrect.
It is not the same. Your assumption is easily struck down by logic alone because there is a huge amount of practical evidence.
You don't have to have an opinion on everything. If you don't have any evidence, meaning a solid starting point, then it's completely acceptable and fine to just say you don't know.
You don't have to start from a point you haven't the faintest clue about whether or not it's actually true and start applying logic in the delusional belief that that alone is more than enough to come up with truth.
If you don't have any evidence then the reasonable thing is to simply say you don't know. Until you do some research and reading to come up with a solid starting point to start reasoning from.
It's okay to not know. You don't have to mindlessly apply logic based on axioms you haven't the faintest clue about.
Except often a determination must be made without sufficient evidence and an exhaustive search is impossible or impractical. When this happens, we use what is called a heuristic tool to make a determination. These tools do not guarantee accuracy but they often produce better results than completely random determination.
Scientists use heuristic tools to determine the next hypothesis to test. Computer programmers program heuristic tools into their software in order to speed up calculations. Educated guesses, Occam's razor, common sense and rules of thumb are all heuristic tools. Heuristic tools are the most reasonable method of determination when a determination must be made and the exhaustive search is impractical or impossible.
In the case of rape we have an extremely urgent problem. We can't just wait around for all the evidence before making any determinations. We need to make certain determinations as accurately as possible as soon as possible so we can act in a way that will best address the problem. Thus, many people are led to make the best possible determination on this particular issue they can.
Now, before I go on I want to repeat my entire point of even bringing this up, quoting from my last post: "It is vital that we understand the reasoning and logic that causes problems so we can quickly and effectively correct the error of thinking."
So, let us examine the logic and reasoning that leads to the problem so we can understand how to effectively correct the error of thinking.
The goal: To reduce incidents of rape.
The question: In the case of the stranger rape scenario, does clothing have an effect on choice of target by the rapist?
or, in more specific terms:
In the case of stranger rape, does sexy clothing increase the probability of being targeted?
Because there is a lack of evidence, the heuristic tool applied is the educated guess to create likely assumptions.
Likely assumption 1: The relationship between the rapist and the victim in the stranger rape scenario is accurately modeled as a predator-prey relationship.
From this we can draw some logical conclusions (though the conclusions are based on an unproven assumption.)
A predator chooses prey by opportunity, difficulty/danger of hunting the prey, and desirability/visibility of the prey.
A predator will only attack when it perceives an opportunity and that the difficulty and danger of the hunt is justified by the desirability of the prey. A predator will consider highly visible prey first.
The next question we ask then is do sexy clothes have any effect on any of these factors?
Likely assumption 2: Sexy clothes increase the desirability or visibility of a woman as prey. (Seen as likely because sexy clothes are designed to increase the desirability and visibility of a woman.)
OR
Likely assumption 2a: Sexy clothes decrease the perceived difficulty or danger of hunting the prey. (a very complex assumption but many are likely to support this assumption.)
From these assumptions and the stated logic, a determination (or a conclusion) is made:
Wearing sexy clothing increases the chance of being targeted for rape.
If either assumption 2 or 2a are true and assumption 1 is also true, then the conclusion holds.
The conclusion is reasonable. It is based on logic and the best applicable tools of determination.
But that does not necessarily mean it is a correct conclusion or that the effect is not negligible.
More importantly, it does not justify victim blaming based on this conclusion, nor would it if it were 100% proven to be true.
(The conclusion itself is not victim blaming. Presenting the possibility of risk mitigation is not victim blaming. It becomes victim blaming when an attempt is made to transfer guilt from the rapist to the victim.)