Ukraine

Seanchaidh

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Heh, everyone except you is 100% against this war. You're the only one who has been spamming propaganda justifying the invasion and defending the world leader who is escalating the nuclear threat. So the real question is: are you happy?
I live on Earth in 2022, why the fuck would I be happy?

You know, there really is something NATO could have done differently to prevent this war :

Letting Ukraine join.
And that is exactly the attitude that led to this war. Just utter disregard for settling the security situation with Russia diplomatically; ignore and isolate. This was the predictable result. And I know this because many predicted it.
 

Terminal Blue

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How so? The United States is involved in this conflict, is calling for sanctions, and so forth.
And?

Is your point that sanctions are good and the US should have been sanctioned over the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, or is your point that sanctions are bad and that the US has no right to sanction Russia? If you're being consistent, what is the consistent line?

That I leave that up to them is neither logically nor morally inconsistent. Different things, including but not limited to their relations to me, are different.
Have you considered that perhaps your country just isn't as special and important and exceptional as you like to imagine it is?

Do you not see that measuring world events by the way they impact on you is not only inconsistent, it's indicative of the kind of supreme arrogance the world tends to expect of Americans. You live literally on the other side of the world to these events. Your "relationship" to them is completely unimportant, because you aren't meaningfully affected. You're even less affected than I am.

My government could have acted differently to prevent this crisis-- mostly by not acting at all.
Who cares? Your government isn't special.

I don't think you see that this is just American exceptionalism. It's the other side of the "shining city on a hill" nonsense of the American right. America is not uniquely imbued with either virtue or responsibility, it is not the yardstick against which all other states and governments should be judged. There is no more stereotypically American trait than assuming the defining quality of any person, government or event is how it relates to America.

We were supposed to have recognized that revanchism is a predictable result of treating a defeated adversary like shit, right?
No.

There are many lessons that could be learned from the events that led to the second world war. But the idea that the Entente was responsible for those events through its exceptionally harsh treatment of the defeated central powers is a lie. It's a piece of blatant Nazi apologism and a common theme in Nazi propaganda. Not tolerating it here.

Ah, there it is. It's not about principle. It's about power.
I don't think that's ever been controversial and I'm actually confused as to why you're bringing it up. Who do you think you arguing with?

Were you under the impression that I believe the US government only acts out of altruistic principles, or indeed that any government does?

They tried to join NATO and the EU themselves!
This is not true.

no, the United States offset spending with bonds
Not what I said.

It's actually pretty funny that you would accuse me of having an "Americentric view" and then describe how all of these supposedly independent countries are beholden to the United States because they don't have their own significant military forces!
Imagine believing that the capacity for military force is the definitive measure of political autonomy..

Americans, am I right?

Does it, actually? Or are you just more aware of one than the other because one is deemed relevant by Western warmongering press and the other inconvenient to certain narratives, downplayed, and possibly more sophisticated in its methods?
We get it, you're on Twitter, and you think that substitutes for any real experience or understanding of the world outside the Untied States. We're not all burdened with your particular impediment.

Yanukovych turned toward Russia in large part because the IMF was offering terribly punishing terms.
Yanukovych led a pro-Russian party with close ties to United Russia before becoming president. He didn't turn towards Russia, he turned away from the EU because Russian officials told him to, threatened a reduction of trade (sanctions) and offered debt relief. That was the stated explanation given by his own government.

What's your opinion on debt trap diplomacy today? Still negative, or has it flipped?
 

Thaluikhain

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When I was in high school in 2014 mentioned we should sent MLRS rocket artillery into Ukraine, and someone argued no that would escalate it, I am pretty sure had Obama armed Ukraine instead of being a doormat to Putin, Ukraine could have more missiles. I also mentioned we should sent ar-15s to the Hong Kong protesters, and I was right again. Moral of the story Gen Z are peacenik morons who aren't welling to fund let alone fight for freedom or peace and should get neither.
Pretty sure neither Obama or the rest of the military-industrial complex are Gen Z.

Anyhoo, giving a state weapons, sure, that's something the US can do and does all the time. Normally with a price tag attached, but they can directly subside their arms industry themselves, or cut back on arms donations to Israel. Giving arms to individual members of another state is a different thing altogether though. Not unprecedented either, but more iffy diplomatically.
 
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Seanchaidh

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And?

Is your point that sanctions are good and the US should have been sanctioned over the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, or is your point that sanctions are bad and that the US has no right to sanction Russia? If you're being consistent, what is the consistent line?
That the United States, UK, Australia, etc. are being hypocritical is correct. Sanctions are usually bad, apart from some specific circumstances. Deployed in a one-sided way simply to undermine rivals to or discipline the unwilling subjects of the supreme imperial power? No.

Have you considered that perhaps your country just isn't as special and important and exceptional as you like to imagine it is?

Do you not see that measuring world events by the way they impact on you is not only inconsistent, it's indicative of the kind of supreme arrogance the world tends to expect of Americans. You live literally on the other side of the world to these events. Your "relationship" to them is completely unimportant, because you aren't meaningfully affected. You're even less affected than I am.
And yet my country has far more of a say over it than yours. It's not about how I'm affected, what on earth gave you that idea? It is about what is my business. I criticize the structures I'm in not because of how they affect me but because of how I can potentially affect them, how I am in some small way responsible for them. This "Americentrism" argument seems like a favorite line of yours, but to be honest it's absolutely ludicrous from someone who seems most often to be directing bile at the State Department target du jour, if anyone.

Imagine believing that the capacity for military force is the definitive measure of political autonomy..

Americans, am I right?
You literally described them as lacking large degrees of diplomatic freedom because they lack military force. The call is coming from inside the house.

We get it, you're on Twitter, and you think that substitutes for any real experience or understanding of the world outside the Untied States. We're not all burdened with your particular impediment.
Yeah, you just buy what the millionaires speaking on behalf of billionaires say. Very compelling!

Yanukovych led a pro-Russian party with close ties to United Russia before becoming president. He didn't turn towards Russia, he turned away from the EU because Russian officials told him to, threatened a reduction of trade (sanctions) and offered debt relief. That was the stated explanation given by his own government.
And offered debt relief from the IMF who wanted to enact harsh austerity measures like those against Greece. Are you trying to be misleading?

What's your opinion on debt trap diplomacy today? Still negative, or has it flipped?
It's bad, why would you think otherwise?
 

bluegate

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Isn't it about time to just stop engaging with Sean?

All of their screeching seems to boil down to; "Why won't everyone just let Russia bully Ukraine! 😭"

There's really no value in their posts here.
 

Seanchaidh

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Isn't it about time to just stop engaging with Sean?

All of their screeching seems to boil down to; "Why won't everyone just let Russia bully Ukraine! 😭"

There's really no value in their posts here.
The United States is sitting here saying "We can do whatever (and coup whoever) we want because we have the power and we don't have to listen to or negotiate with anyone, even if they have the largest nuclear arsenal in the world. This is smart and principled somehow."
 

bluegate

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The United States is sitting here saying "We can do whatever (and coup whoever) we want because we have the power and we don't have to listen to or negotiate with anyone, even if they have the largest nuclear arsenal in the world. This is smart and principled somehow."
See? No value whatsoever.

Isn't it about time to just stop engaging with Sean?

All of their screeching seems to boil down to; "Why won't everyone just let Russia bully Ukraine! 😭"

There's really no value in their posts here.
 

Silvanus

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Has the Wagner group been incorporated into the Russian armed forces?
Ooh, interesting comparison! Let's take a look.

So, the Wagner group isn't incorporated officially into the Russian armed forces. It is, however.... trained at Russian MOD grounds; owned by Putin's close business partner; and directed towards official MOD targets.

So, essentially, yes. They refrained from the official status for deniability. But yes, they act with the direction, training and approval of the Russian military.

They're also ~6 times the size of the Azov Battalion.

Do official Russian military twitter accounts brag about how their Nazi regiment is putting pig fat on bullets to fight Muslim "orcs"? Was it Russia that was the only other nation to join the United States in voting against a UN resolution to ban the glorification of Nazism and other forms of racism? Or am I thinking of somewhere else with a lot of Russians?
Nope. However, if we look beyond tweets made yesterday and resolutions: Putin's self-described "footsoldier", the puppet ruler of Chechnya, organises literal round-ups and executions of gay people throughout his territory. Has done for years and years with Russian gov official approval.

But please, tell me more about how the Christian-nationalist invading to depose a Jewish leader from a family targeted in the Holocaust is actually defending against Nazism.
 
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Satinavian

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And that is exactly the attitude that led to this war. Just utter disregard for settling the security situation with Russia diplomatically; ignore and isolate. This was the predictable result. And I know this because many predicted it.
Oh, I was against letting Ukraine join. I also always supported trying to get along with Russia.

But i have been proven wrong. All those "security concerns" were lies. Putin just wants the USSR in its old glory and old borders (but of course this time without communism, he seems quite comfortable with oligarchy backed dictatorship). He didn't want peace. He is a conquerer. And having succeded with the Crimea he believed he could repeat the same at greater scale.


I... guess the spice must flow?
The USSR exported gas throughout most of the cold war, even during phases of proxy wars with the US and during periods of risen tension.

Also people can't even agree whether stopping this import would mostly hurt Russia (which needs the money) and serve as a threat or mostly hurt Ukraine (where it is still needed for heating because we still have winter) and the West as they are talking about it as a vulnerability.
Stopping it is mostly something that would hurt basically everyone all around and can't be targeted very well.
 
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Seanchaidh

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So, the Wagner group isn't incorporated officially into the Russian armed forces. It is, however.... trained at Russian MOD grounds; owned by Putin's close business partner; and directed towards official MOD targets.

So, essentially, yes. They refrained from the official status for deniability. But yes, they act with the direction, training and approval of the Russian military.

They're also ~6 times the size of the Azov Battalion.
How much of that is actually true?

Nope. However, if we look beyond tweets made yesterday and resolutions: Putin's self-described "footsoldier", the puppet ruler of Chechnya, organises literal round-ups and executions of gay people throughout his territory. Has done for years and years with Russian gov official approval.

But please, tell me more about how the Christian-nationalist invading to depose a Jewish leader from a family targeted in the Holocaust is actually defending against Nazism.
And you also believe electing Obama means that the United States has or had no problem with white supremacy, right?
 

Cheetodust

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When I was in high school in 2014 mentioned we should sent MLRS rocket artillery into Ukraine, and someone argued no that would escalate it, I am pretty sure had Obama armed Ukraine instead of being a doormat to Putin, Ukraine could have more missiles. I also mentioned we should sent ar-15s to the Hong Kong protesters, and I was right again. Moral of the story Gen Z are peacenik morons who aren't welling to fund let alone fight for freedom or peace and should get neither.
... But you're gen Z and that example is one other gen z arguing with you about decisions ultimately made by boomers. Also my largest concern with the pro-war crowd, here in ireland, is that they're not exactly lining up to fight themselves. They grew up in a country insulated by it's "neutrality" and now that they're past the point where they are the ones who'd have to actually risk anything and now that they're in the clear suddenly they're all excited to get into wars. Irish boomers are fucking ghouls
 
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Trunkage

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Isn't it about time to just stop engaging with Sean?

All of their screeching seems to boil down to; "Why won't everyone just let Russia bully Ukraine! 😭"

There's really no value in their posts here.
Well, I was just hoping that they would understand that the US isn't making us do anything

But, as you point out, it's just like talking to an antivax. You are automatically bad because you want vaccine/sanctions to happen to stop a worse thing from happening
 

Trunkage

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So this is happening in my city right now


I only bring it up because I been thinking how/if flood waters would help or hinder Ukraine. Like, it would have stopped the progress of the invasion. School are shut and only half the work force can reach work atm. I dont even know if slowing anything down would help... But any troops get inundated like this... that wouldn't be pleasant.

Anyway I was also wonder how they're going to stop some bigger than dinosaur from running into a bridge...
 

Seanchaidh

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Oh, I was against letting Ukraine join. I also always supported trying to get along with Russia.

But i have been proven wrong. All those "security concerns" were lies.
How so? They've shaped every Russian demand before and after the invasion. Feel free to disagree with Putin's aggressiveness pursuing it, but that doesn't make the aim any different. No progress was made for years. Indeed, progress was going backward from the perspective of Russia. Despite it not being realistic that it would happen, there were official statements welcoming Ukraine to NATO as if it were. All that could be found was brusk disregard for Russia's security concerns. And no, that's not something the most powerful nation on earth in the most powerful military alliance on earth should get to just ignore.
 

Agema

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How so? They've shaped every Russian demand before and after the invasion. Feel free to disagree with Putin's aggressiveness pursuing it, but that doesn't make the aim any different. No progress was made for years. Indeed, progress was going backward from the perspective of Russia. Despite it not being realistic that it would happen, there were official statements welcoming Ukraine to NATO as if it were. All that could be found was brusk disregard for Russia's security concerns. And no, that's not something the most powerful nation on earth in the most powerful military alliance on earth should get to just ignore.
Russia has manufactured its own security concerns, though.

Putin doesn't have to view NATO as a threat: he chose to. He chose to because he has an imperialist dream of Russia being a great player again, and NATO threatens its ability to exercise that imperialist design over its neighbours, and because liberalism and democracy threatened his grip on power and the ability of him and his cronies to extract billions from their country into their own pockets.
 

Satinavian

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How so? They've shaped every Russian demand before and after the invasion. Feel free to disagree with Putin's aggressiveness pursuing it, but that doesn't make the aim any different. No progress was made for years. Indeed, progress was going backward from the perspective of Russia. Despite it not being realistic that it would happen, there were official statements welcoming Ukraine to NATO as if it were. All that could be found was brusk disregard for Russia's security concerns. And no, that's not something the most powerful nation on earth in the most powerful military alliance on earth should get to just ignore.
Didn't you listen to his ramblings about Ukraine not being a real nation, about greater Russia, about the breakup of the USSR as the greatest tragedy ect. ?

He has long shown his real intentions. And those were never about feeling safe from NATO.

There was a time where Russias security concerns did influence its politics. Mostly that was during the missile defense system discussion. That was when the US still basked in the feelings of having won the cold war.
Since then the US has been humiliated in the middle east and for at least a decade expressed their wish to get out of Europe as much as possible and be focused on China instead.

There has not been any ongoing encroachment. And hadn't Putin taken the Crimea, NATO preperedness for a war against Russia would have been even way lower.



But no, instead we sit here watching a replay of the annexation of Chechoslovakia by Nazi-Germany. The Donbass plays the role of the Sudetes this time around. Only it is more bloody because the Ukrainians fight back.
 

Lykosia

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Yes and no.

Specific to that hit, it looks like the engine deck took it. That's not a location where spaced or reactive armor can be easily fit, due to that turrets need 360 degrees of traversal and up-armoring the engine deck necessarily has a negative impact on that. Note the improvised anti-HEAT grill is over the turret, not the engine deck; that's not uncommon, due to the next point.

Specific to contemporary Russian tanks, they're derivatives and incremental upgrades to the T-72 which has a notoriously...problematic...autoloader. Long story short, rounds are stowed in a ring around the turret and that makes them incredibly prone to cook-off. If you've seen Syrian war videos or even other videos/photos from this ongoing conflict, Chechnya, or even Desert Storm, and saw Russian tanks with the turret blown clean off, you've seen the design flaw in action.

Hence, extreme up-armoring on the turret; when a severe but non-penetrating hit can lead to a K-kill because it sets off a chain reaction that causes the tank's entire ordnance to explode, designers have to protect accordingly...and when Russian doctrine is still "quantity has a quality of its own", protection doesn't tend to be a priority. That is, until active protection systems enter the picture.

Which brings me to the last point, specific to tanks in general. Frankly, the heyday of the main battle tank is at its end; they no longer bring utility to a fighting force commensurate to their (logistic or financial) cost, or associated risk. AFV's are here to stay, but MBT's as we know them are on their way out.
MBTs still have their use, but using old cold war era tanks like T-72s just won't cut it on modern battlefield. West is sending boatloads of Javelin and Nlaw missiles to Ukraine, those will cut through T-72s like a hot knife through butter. If Russia had resources to replace their T-72, 80 and 90 tanks with T-14 Armatas it would be completely different story. T-14 has hard kill protection system than can shoot down missiles and rockets. If that works as advertised Ukraine wouldn't have much chance against them. So far haven't seen any footage of T-14. We know that T-14s were field tested in Syria resently, but it would be more interesting to see how they fare against modern anti tank weapons.
 

Agema

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But no, instead we sit here watching a replay of the annexation of Chechoslovakia by Nazi-Germany. The Donbass plays the role of the Sudetes this time around. Only it is more bloody because the Ukrainians fight back.
Arguably the Soviet suppression of Hungary (1956) and Czechoslovakia (1968) are more appropriate. Although Russia has made territorial claims (Crimea particularly is of huge strategic importance), the aim at a more practical level is to coerce another country into subservience.
 
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