Our Covid Response

Phoenixmgs

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And shouldn't the suicide rate have stayed lower than average when you still had millions and millions of kids out of school for 18 months in the US? Doing certain things for short periods will cause benefits sometimes while if you did that for long periods, you'll see overall harms. Also what about how the total amount of child abuse reports plummeted during the pandemic, you think child abuse itself actually went down? You have to do entire cost-benefit analysis to see if doing something is causing benefits or harm. You guys never learn.


Your grasp of data analysis is so poor that I'm not quite sure whether you believe this or not. I wouldn't be massively surprised anymore.



But that wasn't Prasad's point. He explicitly said it wasn't. Yet again, you're extrapolating conclusions that the researcher himself hasn't drawn, and then nonetheless proudly citing him as a source.



Of course they did: you wouldn't have seen it otherwise.
It was obvious sarcasm...

Prasad has been for doing the cluster randomized trials for 2 years. He's never said masks don't work, he's said over and over again, there's no proof of them working and to do the science so we do know. Also, I'm sure China has mask mandates, how's the spread of covid over there looking right about now?

I'm sure it popped up on my feed because of Paul Offit being a guest. That's the natural process of finding more people. Like you make a friend and then they introduce you to one of their friends and now you have another friend. You're acting like it's some bad method of finding out about other people.
 

Buyetyen

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And shouldn't the suicide rate have stayed lower than average when you still had millions and millions of kids out of school for 18 months in the US? Doing certain things for short periods will cause benefits sometimes while if you did that for long periods, you'll see overall harms. Also what about how the total amount of child abuse reports plummeted during the pandemic, you think child abuse itself actually went down? You have to do entire cost-benefit analysis to see if doing something is causing benefits or harm. You guys never learn.

I've probably said this before, but it's worth repeating. As someone who has contemplated suicide more than once in my lifetime, what you're doing is really fucking gross.
 

Phoenixmgs

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I've probably said this before, but it's worth repeating. As someone who has contemplated suicide more than once in my lifetime, what you're doing is really fucking gross.
What the fuck you talking about? If suicides make you uncomfortable, I'll substitute traffic accidents for suicides then, it's the same logic. I'm sure less kids died from traffic accidents (the #1 killer for kids IIRC) when they weren't going to school. We know the harms of sending kids to school (like traffic accidents) but we also know the benefits of school outweigh those harms and that's why we send kids to school.

it's also fucking gross that you all in favor of keeping kids home during covid allowed child abusers to have basically no risk in being found out.
 

TheMysteriousGX

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Prasad has been for doing the cluster randomized trials for 2 years. He's never said masks don't work, he's said over and over again, there's no proof of them working and to do the science so we do know. Also, I'm sure China has mask mandates, how's the spread of covid over there looking right about now?
Goddamn, they opened up *just like you fucking wanted* and you're slamming their high numbers now. For Doing Just Like You Want
 
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Baffle

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What the fuck you talking about? If suicides make you uncomfortable, I'll substitute traffic accidents for suicides then, it's the same logic. I'm sure less kids died from traffic accidents (the #1 killer for kids IIRC) when they weren't going to school. We know the harms of sending kids to school (like traffic accidents) but we also know the benefits of school outweigh those harms and that's why we send kids to school.

it's also fucking gross that you all in favor of keeping kids home during covid allowed child abusers to have basically no risk in being found out.
Excellent to see someone so supportive of speeding is also aware that RTAs are the number 1 cause of child deaths. I'm not even going to get into the shit of hiding 'I hate lockdown' behind concerns about child abuse, it's exactly the same transparent nonsense we get when people wheel out homeless people on the subject of immigration.
 

Silvanus

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I mean, instead of flattening the curve, they kinda spring-loaded it.
Gotta agree with this.

Relaxing the restrictions in some way was absolutely necessary. But the Chinese government failed to lay the groundwork of a comprehensive vaccination drive, and it then relaxed everything within an extremely short timeframe. That squanders the benefit that high restrictions may have had, and their numbers speak for themselves.

Gradual easing, matched with high vaccination, contact tracing, and close monitoring of the areas as they reopen, would have meant the healthcare systems could then cope with an incremental increase in caseload. Drastically cutting all restriction with no new vaccination drive does the opposite.

(Of course the surge in China is absolutely not evidence that masks don't work, as Phoenixmgs apparently wished to use it).
 

Buyetyen

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What the fuck you talking about? If suicides make you uncomfortable, I'll substitute traffic accidents for suicides then, it's the same logic. I'm sure less kids died from traffic accidents (the #1 killer for kids IIRC) when they weren't going to school. We know the harms of sending kids to school (like traffic accidents) but we also know the benefits of school outweigh those harms and that's why we send kids to school.

it's also fucking gross that you all in favor of keeping kids home during covid allowed child abusers to have basically no risk in being found out.
You're doing it again. This is all just trying to emotionally blackmail people into agreeing with you about lockdowns. You don't actually give a fuck about suicide ort child abuse. They're just blunt instruments for you to clumsily wield in an effort to browbeat people.
 
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Seanchaidh

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And shouldn't the suicide rate have stayed lower than average when you still had millions and millions of kids out of school for 18 months in the US?
can you really not think of any lurking variables that would push things in the other direction?
 

Phoenixmgs

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Goddamn, they opened up *just like you fucking wanted* and you're slamming their high numbers now. For Doing Just Like You Want
And, I'm pretty sure they have mask mandates, I thought masks work according to you guys? The problem is the Chinese population has rather low built-in immunity because of their asinine zero covid policy.


Excellent to see someone so supportive of speeding is also aware that RTAs are the number 1 cause of child deaths. I'm not even going to get into the shit of hiding 'I hate lockdown' behind concerns about child abuse, it's exactly the same transparent nonsense we get when people wheel out homeless people on the subject of immigration.
You have to do the cost-benefit analysis of anything you decide to do. You guys are the ones hiding behind the whole "we have to stop every possible covid transmission by any means possible" and ignoring the harms that does so you can hide behind your masking, vaccine, etc. virtue signals. I'm saying do a complete pros and cons list (put literally everything in the open) and figure out what thing is best to do. And by the way every cost-benefit analysis done on lockdowns has returned not only that they are bad but they are really fucking bad, but since that doesn't agree with your guys' narrative, you just sweep in under the rug and ignore it. Canada did theirs and proclaimed it was the worst non-war policy ever implemented Canada.


Gotta agree with this.

Relaxing the restrictions in some way was absolutely necessary. But the Chinese government failed to lay the groundwork of a comprehensive vaccination drive, and it then relaxed everything within an extremely short timeframe. That squanders the benefit that high restrictions may have had, and their numbers speak for themselves.

Gradual easing, matched with high vaccination, contact tracing, and close monitoring of the areas as they reopen, would have meant the healthcare systems could then cope with an incremental increase in caseload. Drastically cutting all restriction with no new vaccination drive does the opposite.

(Of course the surge in China is absolutely not evidence that masks don't work, as Phoenixmgs apparently wished to use it).
Contact tracing isn't going to do anything.

Why are cases surging in China when I'm sure mask mandates would still be in place? I thought with masking alone, you can get the R0 under 1? That's been some fantasy land claim many here have suggested.


You're doing it again. This is all just trying to emotionally blackmail people into agreeing with you about lockdowns. You don't actually give a fuck about suicide ort child abuse. They're just blunt instruments for you to clumsily wield in an effort to browbeat people.
I CARE ABOUT DOING THE THING THAT IS BEST FOR THE POPULATION AS A WHOLE. Do the fucking cost-benefit analysis and if it comes out closing schools is good, then it's good; if it comes out as bad, then it's bad. Simple as that. No one will do that or accept the cost-benefit analyses already done. I wonder why literally the rest of the developed world didn't keep kids out of school for any prolonged amount of time. Are those countries then just stupid or was it the US that was stupid? It's one or the other.


can you really not think of any lurking variables that would push things in the other direction?
I can think of lots of things, that's why just showing the data and saying how great it was that suicides went down is a buncha bullshit.
 

Baffle

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You have to do the cost-benefit analysis of anything you decide to do.
This is a hilarious response given the subject is you speeding and RTAs being the leading cause of child deaths. You must be getting to your destination really early for that cost-benefit analysis to work out.
 

Silvanus

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Why are cases surging in China when I'm sure mask mandates would still be in place? I thought with masking alone, you can get the R0 under 1? That's been some fantasy land claim many here have suggested.
I don't recall /anyone/ serious claiming that masking alone is enough to tackle the pandemic. It never was.

Are you incapable of considering more than a single factor at a time? Or acknowledging that more than one exist?
 
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TheMysteriousGX

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And, I'm pretty sure they have mask mandates, I thought masks work according to you guys? The problem is the Chinese population has rather low built-in immunity because of their asinine zero covid policy.
No, you're right: if they all got sick sooner, they wouldn't all be getting sick now. Galaxy brain stuff
 
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Trunkage

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I mean, instead of flattening the curve, they kinda spring-loaded it.
I'd agree. I can't imagine a worse way to handle China's current covid problem

Also, if you lockdown doesn't allow most citizens to move about in whatever region/province/state they are in, then, IMO, your lockdown is failing. Eg. When a covid case was caught in my state, we would be locking down in our houses (except essential worker, of which I am one). These actual lockdown last 3 to 5 DAYS. This means that 95% of the time, citizens had freedom of movement so they could go to work, see friends and get supplies.

China has been locking up their people for MONTHS. If it's not contained after 2 weeks, you have a failure on your hands. I don't know how they enforced citizens inside their homes for that long and didn't have Covid under control
 

Trunkage

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fire departments don't work you guys, there are still fires sometimes
Using your analogy, I pretty sure some people's implications are that the fire department is either A) making up the existence of fires and how damaging they are or B) starting the fires themselves
 

Phoenixmgs

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No. You really don't. And if you have not given us a reason to believe differently.
You have been for tons of covid policy that does more harm.

This is a hilarious response given the subject is you speeding and RTAs being the leading cause of child deaths. You must be getting to your destination really early for that cost-benefit analysis to work out.
Never been in an accident of my causing, I pay attention when driving unlike most people. Even people I'm driving get all panicked because they don't what I'm paying attention to like when someone is braking in front of me and I'm not slowing down because I know the right/left lane is open.


I don't recall /anyone/ serious claiming that masking alone is enough to tackle the pandemic. It never was.

Are you incapable of considering more than a single factor at a time? Or acknowledging that more than one exist?
Maybe not alone but there was a lot of fairytale modeling going on that wasn't close to realistic.



No, you're right: if they all got sick sooner, they wouldn't all be getting sick now. Galaxy brain stuff
After the vaccine was available, there's no reason to not have people getting exposed. You do realize both natural immunity only and hybrid immunity are better than vaccine immunity right?