Some are speculating that people in the pro-israel crowd (like Mossad) had a motive to kill Charlie Kirk. Given a few of his recent statements in conversation with
Megyn Kelly, it is surprisingly not so implausible:
he complained of being called antisemitic or "doing the bidding of Hamas" and otherwise being treated in a "repulsive" way by some israel supporters,
he has publicly entertained the idea that Epstein was a Mossad agent,
he is sounding the alarm over israel losing support in the United States due to the length of the "war" in Gaza,
he hosted (platformed!) Dave Smith (who is anti-israel), and
this is a direct quote: "And the more you try to tell me I can't criticize Israel, the more likely I am to do it."
This does fit the pattern of noises someone like a Dave Rubin made before his "why I left the left" moment, except in regards to israel rather than "the left". But that doesn't actually mean much; we can find patterns where they don't exist and extrapolating from this one is very thin reasoning.
The evidence in favor of it being an organization like Mossad behind the killing is so far limited to this speculation over motive, the apparent professionalism of the killing, and the speed with which Netanyahu announced his condolences, all of which are hardly compelling no matter if taken together or separately.
But still, it is worth exploring the idea if only to counterbalance the unfounded claims of those who are sure it is the work of trans Marxist DNC antifa and because it is the funniest reason it could have happened: someone who currently has a very pro-israel audience taking a turn like Candace Owens or Tucker Carlson could be much more damaging to the israeli cause than the work of any one of the hundreds of Palestinian journalists the israeli regime has killed in Gaza-- a disgusting reality, but it may be reality nonetheless. Those seem to be the power relations: israel depends on the government of the United States, the government of the United States is notionally responsive to public opinion in the United States sometimes, at least in theory, and MAGA seems to be guided by its well-paid influencers. Anyway, if killing were the method of dealing with that potentiality, it would have to be done very early in the process of that turn, ideally so that he can be portrayed as a martyr to the israeli cause (or "conservatism" in general) rather than a victim of its fanaticism. Otherwise it would be largely counterproductive. And of course the motivations of the perpetrator would have to be kept an absolute secret in such a case; there is no way it would be helpful to the israeli cause if they weren't. So it would be a very rash action even from the most amoral, self-interested point of view, but on the other hand israel seems to be doing a lot of those lately.
Others have speculated that Trump is behind the killing because Kirk called for the release of the Epstein files. I don't find this compelling either, but it is also consistent with what we know so far. The problem is, of course, that there are few ideas that are not consistent with what we know so far because what we know is very little and so we can hardly rule anything out: as regards this question, we are fumbling in the dark. People are rightly skeptical of US legal institutions, so it is likely that we won't really know much of anything in the near future either. May we all enjoy our years of lead paint.