Sounds like trump is planning on nominating someone named Amy Coney Barrett to the supreme court.

Silvanus

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The party should absolutely cull its Joe Manchins.
Probably should, yes. But if your evidentiary threshold for an ousting is a vote against the party line, then you'll not be left with many representatives-- not just in the US Democratic Party, but pretty much anywhere, including most socialist and progressive countries in history. You'd be left with an exceptionally pure, exceptionally small group of curmudgeons in a city hall somewhere.
 

crimson5pheonix

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OK, let's unpack this a bit. Are you coyly implying that all those Democratic Senators have made some secret agreement on this basis?

You're using this idea to condemn Senators who haven't actually acted untoward in any way. Because... you've offered sheer conjecture that they'll do so in future? A wink-and-nudge suggestion of a conspiracy?
If we ignore previous conversations, sure. But the point that has been made to you before, specifically, is that this exact issue has caused entire party promises fall through. Specifically this was brought up before with the public option during the ACA debate when it was the champion of the public option (who is not one of those three) who suddenly lost his spine when a public option was on the table.

It's not conjecture, it's a pattern.

The confirmation would have passed with or without those three. This is a conspiracy theory without a purpose.
The original point was blaming Jill Stein for something Democrats are more complicit in than she is. The signal here from the important people in the party (and Joe Manchin who is admittedly a DINO) is that Amy Barret is okay. The guy who was almost vice president has said that there's not a problem with her.
 

lil devils x

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It doesn't really matter, he's absolutely useless.
Not if he is the seat we need to have a majority. Having a majority is the only thing that is more important than replacing democrats with progressives in our hostile takeover because without the majority, we are rendering the progressive seats we already flipped useless. We have to let the progressive seats we already flipped do what they can to leverage getting progressive passed/ added to other bills. Without the majority we flipped those progressive seats for nothing. Conservative democrats like this putz can't vote on conservative agenda if the GOP doesn't set the agenda. We just have to give the progressives a chance to play " keep away" by leveraging the majority leader to keep conservative agendas tabled. Tabled in the same way Mitch is doing right now in the Senate to everything Pelosi passes. When Democrats control it they can let the conservative agenda collect dust as well, but none of that happens without a majority.
Works like this:
Democrat majority= The progressives we already elected have a chance to do something, even if small steps it is still better than nothing.
GOP majority= destroy all previous progressive agenda that was passed+ block all future progressive agenda.

That is pretty much a no brainer why that is so important here.
 
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Silvanus

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If we ignore previous conversations, sure. But the point that has been made to you before, specifically, is that this exact issue has caused entire party promises fall through. Specifically this was brought up before with the public option during the ACA debate when it was the champion of the public option (who is not one of those three) who suddenly lost his spine when a public option was on the table.

It's not conjecture, it's a pattern.
This isn't ignoring previous conversations; this is elaboration. "This exact issue" is... congressmen voting against the party line, which is hardly something "exact" and is something to be expected within any political party on the planet; it does not constitute evidence of conspiracy.

When people who previously spoke in favour of a public option lost their spine and voted against it, that stands against them. It is their action, their behaviour. You are attempting to draw a conspiratorial link between those congressmen and the ones who didn't break faith.

You have zero evidence they're in on some underhanded secret agreement to sink votes. You have zero evidence of behaviour from those individuals to justify accusation. All you have are the actions of other people and nudge-nudge insinuation.

You can make anything into a pattern if you include any and everybody who didn't act negatively, and just claim they would have done under some counterfactual (to steal a phrase) circumstance.

The original point was blaming Jill Stein for something Democrats are more complicit in than she is. The signal here from the important people in the party (and Joe Manchin who is admittedly a DINO) is that Amy Barret is okay. The guy who was almost vice president has said that there's not a problem with her.
Yes, that's the message from that guy. The necessary extension of what you're arguing is that Senator Sanders is somehow secretly sending that message as well, regardless of how he voted, because he's a Senator.
 

crimson5pheonix

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This isn't ignoring previous conversations; this is elaboration. "This exact issue" is... congressmen voting against the party line, which is hardly something "exact" and is something to be expected within any political party on the planet; it does not constitute evidence of conspiracy.

When people who previously spoke in favour of a public option lost their spine and voted against it, that stands against them. It is their action, their behaviour. You are attempting to draw a conspiratorial link between those congressmen and the ones who didn't break faith.

You have zero evidence they're in on some underhanded secret agreement to sink votes. You have zero evidence of behaviour from those individuals to justify accusation. All you have are the actions of other people and nudge-nudge insinuation.

You can make anything into a pattern if you include any and everybody who didn't act negatively, and just claim they would have done under some counterfactual (to steal a phrase) circumstance.
Well it's easy to see a pattern when there's a pattern. I'll turn this around and say everything looks like isolated incidents when you isolate them from other incidents.

One party is clearly more effective at legislating than the other and that other party has a few dozen incidents to show why they're ineffective.

Yes, that's the message from that guy. The necessary extension of what you're arguing is that Senator Sanders is somehow secretly sending that message as well, regardless of how he voted, because he's a Senator.
This is a case of a judgement call, one that has to be made and has been made by a great many people. We can see who's not helping, we can see who tanks votes at key points. We can see why they do it too. We know who's funded to "take a hit" every once in a while. We can see how disingenuous voting records are.

Trying to say there isn't a problem with the Democrat party when they clearly self-sabotage at every opportunity doesn't work. There's 30+ years of receipts indicting the party in general. Sure, you can pick any individual corporatist and say they vote in line 95% of the time or whatever, but it's that 5% that ends up screwing the country. It's that 5% that approves of Barrett. It's that 5% that approved of expanding the DoD under Trump. That 5% that signs blank checks to Wall Street. And clearly, that 95% voting record does nothing.

I won't hear about how misaimed this is, not when I can point to this, point to Joe Biden, point to all the nonsense around Amy McGrath. What we have is direct empirical evidence that if you give the Democrat party all the cards, all the power, everything they could ever want, they'll legislate like Republicans.
 

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She may not be a racial bigot, but she is a religious bigot.

Edit: If she and the other judges decide to overturn Roe v Wade, Biden(if he wins) should say the court's decision is invalid ala, Andrew Jackson. He won't do it, but I would.

Also, abortion rights are a form of class warfare, rich women can easily get abortions in other states via flights, and even in other countries if need be.
 
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Silvanus

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Well it's easy to see a pattern when there's a pattern. I'll turn this around and say everything looks like isolated incidents when you isolate them from other incidents.

One party is clearly more effective at legislating than the other and that other party has a few dozen incidents to show why they're ineffective.
I'm not isolating incidents from other incidents. I'm isolating the pattern from people who have not acted in any way to fit the pattern, and have not provided any such incidents.

This is literally judgement regardless of an individual's actions, based on their job title. I may as well argue there's a pattern of right-wing posting on The Escapist forums, because a few people post right-wing stuff, and that incriminates you because you're a poster. Doesn't matter that you haven't acted in any way to justify the accusation-- it's a pattern! Can't isolate from a pattern!

This is a case of a judgement call, one that has to be made and has been made by a great many people. We can see who's not helping, we can see who tanks votes at key points. We can see why they do it too. We know who's funded to "take a hit" every once in a while. We can see how disingenuous voting records are.
Yes, we can see who's not helping. My point is that's not what you're doing. You're casting your net over people regardless of whether they're helping or not, because they have a (D) after their name.

Trying to say there isn't a problem with the Democrat party when they clearly self-sabotage at every opportunity doesn't work. There's 30+ years of receipts indicting the party in general. Sure, you can pick any individual corporatist and say they vote in line 95% of the time or whatever, but it's that 5% that ends up screwing the country. It's that 5% that approves of Barrett. It's that 5% that approved of expanding the DoD under Trump. That 5% that signs blank checks to Wall Street. And clearly, that 95% voting record does nothing.
The problem here is that in an effort to identify a simple explanation, you've amalgamated every political issue into one. Voting against the party on this issue (say, Barrett) means they're part of the same cabal that voted against the party on a different issue (say, DoD).

This simply doesn't fly. That's not how people think. People will have myriad different views on different things, and vote in line with them. This isn't evidence of conspiracy; it's evidence of complicated thought-processes and different priorities.

You cannot possibly expect every representative of a party to reflect 100% your priorities and beliefs. No party on earth will. And if a party demanded 100% loyalty to an agenda on every vote, they would fail to hold together for more than a few weeks. It's utterly unreasonable as a political reality.

I won't hear about how misaimed this is, not when I can point to this, point to Joe Biden, point to all the nonsense around Amy McGrath. What we have is direct empirical evidence that if you give the Democrat party all the cards, all the power, everything they could ever want, they'll legislate like Republicans.
If they had all the power, all the congressmen, that 5% would be outvoted by the 95%. The only reason they ever constitute a deciding vote (which they didn't with Barrett anyway, remember) is because the rest of the 46% necessary to form a majority is Republican. Remove that 46% by giving "all the cards" away, and the majority dissolves. We're back to 5-vs-95.

And no, I'm not going to entertain the secret conspiracy angle, because it's drivel.
 
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crimson5pheonix

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I'm not isolating incidents from other incidents. I'm isolating the pattern from people who have not acted in any way to fit the pattern, and have not provided any such incidents.

This is literally judgement regardless of an individual's actions, based on their job title. I may as well argue there's a pattern of right-wing posting on The Escapist forums, because a few people post right-wing stuff, and that incriminates you because you're a poster. Doesn't matter that you haven't acted in any way to justify the accusation-- it's a pattern! Can't isolate from a pattern!
Well no, because I have shown when these other Democrats have shit the bed too. But I'm supposed to forget about that because we're just talking about 5 Democrats here.


Yes, we can see who's not helping. My point is that's not what you're doing. You're casting your net over people regardless of whether they're helping or not, because they have a (D) after their name.
If the shoe fits, and it does fit. Having a D next to their name is not something that fills me with trust.

The problem here is that in an effort to identify a simple explanation, you've amalgamated every political issue into one. Voting against the party on this issue (say, Barrett) means they're part of the same cabal that voted against the party on a different issue (say, DoD).

This simply doesn't fly. That's not how people think. People will have myriad different views on different things, and vote in line with them. This isn't evidence of conspiracy; it's evidence of complicated thought-processes and different priorities.

You cannot possibly expect every representative of a party to reflect 100% your priorities and beliefs. No party on earth will. And if a party demanded 100% loyalty to an agenda on every vote, they would fail to hold together for more than a few weeks. It's utterly unreasonable as a political reality.
While this is true, I expect at least some loyalty to the policies I want, and the Democrats don't enact the policies I want. If I try and point that out I'm told it's the Republicans fault. If I then point out every time the Democrats help I'm told it doesn't count. It's bullshit. The Democrats are complicit.

If they had all the power, all the congressmen, that 5% would be outvoted by the 95%. The only reason they ever constitute a deciding vote (which they didn't with Barrett anyway, remember) is because the rest of the 46% necessary to form a majority is Republican. Remove that 46% by giving "all the cards" away, and the majority dissolves. We're back to 5-vs-95.
This is what's infuriating, because...

THIS HAPPENED IN THE ACA DEBATE.

If you aren't going to remember when the Democrats legislated wholly without Republican interference and still managed to only ripoff a Republican plan, then of course you're going to say there isn't a problem. And I really really can't stand when people don't read, it's becoming my number one pet peeve on this forum, the willful illiteracy. No, if the Democrats held all the cards it won't be a 95% success rate, they'll either drop down to more "in-party fighting" or "suddenly" all the bills that make it to the floor will be Republican or Republican-lite bills.

Literally this has happened, it's in the past and a fact of history. Perpetuating the myth that Democrats would legislate on a progressive agenda if they didn't have to fight Republicans is not a historically supported position and is the real conspiracy theory here.

And no, I'm not going to entertain the secret conspiracy angle, because it's drivel.
And I won't hear this from a goldfish.
 

Silvanus

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Well no, because I have shown when these other Democrats have shit the bed too. But I'm supposed to forget about that because we're just talking about 5 Democrats here.
You've shown when one or two have voted against your wishes in other votes, yes; you've not provided anything for the majority of them.

While this is true, I expect at least some loyalty to the policies I want, and the Democrats don't enact the policies I want. If I try and point that out I'm told it's the Republicans fault. If I then point out every time the Democrats help I'm told it doesn't count. It's bullshit. The Democrats are complicit.
You're not expecting "at least some", though, are you? You're saying quite explicitly that 95% fidelity is not enough, because of a belief that the remaining 5% is secretly coordinated between them to deny your agenda getting through.

You're expecting 96%+ fidelity, and implying that anything less is evidence of conspiracy.


This is what's infuriating, because...

THIS HAPPENED IN THE ACA DEBATE.

If you aren't going to remember when the Democrats legislated wholly without Republican interference and still managed to only ripoff a Republican plan, then of course you're going to say there isn't a problem. And I really really can't stand when people don't read, it's becoming my number one pet peeve on this forum, the willful illiteracy. No, if the Democrats held all the cards it won't be a 95% success rate, they'll either drop down to more "in-party fighting" or "suddenly" all the bills that make it to the floor will be Republican or Republican-lite bills.

Literally this has happened, it's in the past and a fact of history. Perpetuating the myth that Democrats would legislate on a progressive agenda if they didn't have to fight Republicans is not a historically supported position and is the real conspiracy theory here.
This isn't actually an example of what we were discussing, though, is it? I didn't say that with a Congressional majority the Democrats would legislate on a purely progressive agenda. That is transparently false.

In the 111th Congress, Democrats had 255 vs 179 Representatives (58.6% vs 41.1%), and 56 vs 42 Senators. So, had 9% of Representatives or Senators voted the other way, a bill would sink.

Imagine that 75% of Democratic congressmen want universal healthcare. 100% of Republican congressmen, and 25% of Democratic congressmen, don't (for illustrative purposes). If that were the case, it wouldn't pass the 111th congress. That's all this example proves: that Democratic party leaders doubted whether universal healthcare had 80%+ support among their congressmen. Because anything less, and it fails, with the remaining 20% combining with 100% of Republicans.

And I won't hear this from a goldfish.
You're merely claiming poor memory on my part because I haven't interpreted events in the same way as you.
 

crimson5pheonix

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This isn't actually an example of what we were discussing, though, is it? I didn't say that with a Congressional majority the Democrats would legislate on a purely progressive agenda. That is transparently false.

In the 111th Congress, Democrats had 255 vs 179 Representatives (58.6% vs 41.1%), and 56 vs 42 Senators. So, had 9% of Representatives or Senators voted the other way, a bill would sink.

Imagine that 75% of Democratic congressmen want universal healthcare. 100% of Republican congressmen, and 25% of Democratic congressmen, don't (for illustrative purposes). If that were the case, it wouldn't pass the 111th congress. That's all this example proves: that Democratic party leaders doubted whether universal healthcare had 80%+ support among their congressmen. Because anything less, and it fails, with the remaining 20% combining with 100% of Republicans.
We're going to cut everything else out here because it can be summed up as "You're wrong and don't pay attention"

But let's go here, yes.

You have now noticed that on a tentpole Democratic issue, one that framed the 2008 campaign, doing something as simple as a public option (not even universal healthcare, just a public option) causes that 95% voting record to drop to nothing. This is what will happen with the party in general. They'll play musical chairs on who is to blame at any specific cause so they individually look like they support progressive agendas, but when the rubber meets the road and they have the power to do so, they won't. And there is no algorithm to say who's good and who's bad among them, they're gaming the system as best they can. You really do just have to look hard at an individual candidate and determine whether they're really aligned with a voter's interests or if they're just playing at it and will drop their spine in congress.

So again, your interpretation of events is wrong. It is actually demonstrably false. There is a not-insignificant element of the Democrat party that aligns with Republicans more than Democrat voters, and judging from how they spend their money and run their own events, it's the people in charge of the party. There's 30 years of evidence that they are not my party and that the majority of them need to be replaced. Until that happens fuck them, they're Republicans with a different letter next to their name.
 

SupahEwok

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The Democratic party always has a few Congressmen betray the party line on keystone votes. The exact people who tank the vote is a role that gets passed around Congress so nobody wises up on any individual. This is an intentional decision on the part of Democrats to maintain a corporatacracy.
You haven't provided a spreadsheet detailing the exact voting record of each member of Congress going back 40 years, cross-referencing them to target issues, and demonstrating this statistical relationship. Therefore, fuck you.
No, fuck you!
No, fuck you!
Me the fifth time this conversation happens:
 

lil devils x

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She may not be a racial bigot, but she is a religious bigot.

Edit: If she and the other judges decide to overturn Roe v Wade, Biden(if he wins) should say the court's decision is invalid ala, Andrew Jackson. He won't do it, but I would.

Also, abortion rights are a form of class warfare, rich women can easily get abortions in other states via flights, and even in other countries if need be.
You are correct that this is just class warfare. It is always one set of rules for the poor and another for the wealthy. The wealthy can do as they please, the poor are forced to suffer. All of the obstacles that they keep putting in is just to force the woman to run out of money before she can do anything. The poor cannot afford extra doctors appointments, because they cannot afford to do any of this in the first place. Each visit costs money they do not have to spend. Every extra expense added is just one more hurdle for the poor. Hurdles that do not exist for the the wealthy. They can fly over to another country at will do so as they please regardless of what laws and rules they inflict on the poor here.
 

lil devils x

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Me the fifth time this conversation happens:
Silly, you don't even have to look at their voting record that far back, it is blatantly apparent that isn't true just by looking at their recent voting records. LOL

Unfounded accusations are unfounded.
It just gets irritating when people say stuff because someone else said it on twitter but they don't even look it up for themselves before they repeat it and take it for fact. Doing your own homework is important for a reason.
 

SupahEwok

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Silly, you don't even have to look at their voting record that far back, it is blatantly apparent that isn't true just by looking at their recent voting records. LOL

Unfounded accusations are unfounded.
It just gets irritating when people say stuff because someone else said it on twitter but they don't even look it up for themselves before they repeat it and take it for fact. Doing your own homework is important for a reason.
*shrug* I'm not dumpster diving in the voting records bin. It's my own personal opinion that it is most likely that Democrats from conservative districts will vote in line with keeping their seats in conservative districts on issues those particular conservative districts get really antsy about. It's easy to forget that our national legislative leaders are actually fundamentally local and regional leaders, and that politics at home are the greatest determinant for their votes.

There's plenty of people who may vote Democrat, but wouldn't want universal healthcare. They think it'll raise their taxes, and they don't want to pay more taxes. It's pretty simple and innocuous, really.
 

Silvanus

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You have now noticed that on a tentpole Democratic issue, one that framed the 2008 campaign, doing something as simple as a public option (not even universal healthcare, just a public option) causes that 95% voting record to drop to nothing.
Right, stop there for a minute: the public option was not included in the bill.

Support didn't "drop to nothing"; it was judged (rightly or wrongly) that support couldn't be maintained at levels high enough to pass, which would be about 80%+ of Democratic congressmen IIRC.

This is what will happen with the party in general. They'll play musical chairs on who is to blame at any specific cause so they individually look like they support progressive agendas, but when the rubber meets the road and they have the power to do so, they won't. And there is no algorithm to say who's good and who's bad among them, they're gaming the system as best they can. You really do just have to look hard at an individual candidate and determine whether they're really aligned with a voter's interests or if they're just playing at it and will drop their spine in congress.

So again, your interpretation of events is wrong. It is actually demonstrably false. There is a not-insignificant element of the Democrat party that aligns with Republicans more than Democrat voters, and judging from how they spend their money and run their own events, it's the people in charge of the party.
Right, I don't think you're actually paying attention to what I've been writing, because I don't disagree with most of this.

There is a not-insignificant element of the Democratic Party that aligns with Republicans more than Democrat-voters. And whilst I think the leadership of the Democratic Party is more concerned with risk-aversion and strategic concerns than almost anything to do with policy or ideology, I would at least agree that centre-right politics hold disproportionate sway in the leadership and that it's not representative of their voterbase.

None of this is what I've been arguing against.

What I have been saying is that support for something like a public option among Democratic congressmen would need to be pretty high in order to pass through congress even if the Democrats had a majority in both houses. This is precisely what happened with the public option and the ACA. Anything lower than about 80% of Democratic congressmen supporting it, and it would fall through. Hence, what the leadership would include in the bill was limited by what they judged would be accepted by all their congressmen (or close enough).

In this instance, those 20%-or-so are the "not-insignificant element that aligned itself with Republicans more than Democrat-voters", like Joe Lieberman. But he caususes with Democrats because he still has more in common with them than the Republicans on other issues, and in order to continue to be a broad tend the Democratic Party has no choice but to encompass people like him.

And the 80%-or-so who would have voted for the public option are representing the Democratic voters more than they're representing the Republicans. The fact that some of them occasionally vote against the party on unrelated issues is not evidence that they're secretly conspiring, but simply that people believe different stuff on different issues.

Me the fifth time this conversation happens [...]
Eh, a spreadsheet would be nice, but I don't need that much. Just evidence of conspiracy beyond sharing a job title would be enough.
 

crimson5pheonix

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Right, stop there for a minute: the public option was not included in the bill.

Support didn't "drop to nothing"; it was judged (rightly or wrongly) that support couldn't be maintained at levels high enough to pass, which would be about 80%+ of Democratic congressmen IIRC.
Pssst

PSSST

The ones who said it was the wrong time for a public option were the biggest supporters for a public option among the Democrat party, with pressure from the WH (Obama-Biden) to drop it.


That's it, I'm done. Never talk to me about this subject ever again. If you aren't going to take this seriously then there's really just no point. Stay in your la-la land view of reality. If you can look at all of lies and hypocrisy of the Democrats and not see how they shape themselves to be as anti-progressive as possible, you're just blind. Willfully so. I can show you every instance of the Democrats sabotaging their own policies, sabotaging progressives, breaking their own rules, and so on, and you'll just say there's no issue with corruption.

I don't care about your opinion anymore, it doesn't line up with reality.
 

Avnger

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That's it, I'm done. Never talk to me about this subject ever again. If you aren't going to take this seriously then there's really just no point. Stay in your la-la land view of reality. If you can look at all of lies and hypocrisy of the Democrats and not see how they shape themselves to be as anti-progressive as possible, you're just blind. Willfully so. I can show you every instance of the Democrats sabotaging their own policies, sabotaging progressives, breaking their own rules, and so on, and you'll just say there's no issue with corruption.

I don't care about your opinion anymore, it doesn't line up with reality.
:ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: