And as was discussed at the time, believing that meant much is merely the product of statistical illiteracy.
Yes, from people who happily pushed it as some great evidence of an inevitable win for Hillary lol
You're in another thread talking up science, right now. Polls are a form of measurement that are effectively indistinguishable in principle from a great deal of scientific experimentation. It is irrational to think science is useful, and then condemn a system that is using directly equivalent methods as hopelessly unreliable.
No Polls tend to come under social science and it's easy to bias them if you know what you're doing or just do them incompetently.
The Polls for Trump vs Hillary weren't even in the margin for error allowing for a Trump win last time.
Other notable polls that didn't come true:
Johnson will only get a small majority government at best.
Remain will win the Brexit vote
Polls are trying to deal with the most unpredictable thing humanity and account for them giving the answer they believe they should vs what they really will pick.
Coffee anyone?
From what I've heard about Sky News Australia has been saying polls they have suggest a landslide for Trump. It probably won't be that but different organisation have vastly different results so going "Well the polling shows Biden winning" well it entirely depends on the Poll and the agency it's from these days. If it's a CNN conducted one I'd expect far different results to a Fox News conducted one because if people hear the name of the state even that could influence who they pick for that poll.
This is why I brought up Ken Bone. Yes it may be an anecdotal example but the guy was slammed in the media a fair bit but still voted Hillary in the end but is voting independent this year. How many other people in this thread and on this forum have you seen disillusioned with the Democrats and Biden at present? I've seen at least two. That's why I'm suggesting the polls aren't that great a source of info. I mean I seem to remember the polls saying it would be impossible for Trump to win the republican party nomination for the 2016 election and it would probably be Ted Cruz.
And the counter to that is that the polarisation of the country and the reminder from Clinton's surprise defeat is likely to impress on voters the importance of getting out there and voting, so such complacency is likely to be relatively low.
But most of that was reliant on fear. Yes Clinton's loss will spur some on. But the apocalyptic rhetoric of what Trump will do in 2016 hasn't proved anywhere near true yet in 2020. Hell at this stage Trump could just give a silly token gesture and cause massive waves. Body camera laws for police? Huge potential turn. Tiny bit of ground so lets say ambulance trips to hospital for recurring conditions or serious life threatening ones are free? Huge waves.
Trump literally has the advantage now over 2016 because they really have no major dirt to throw at him left and much of the dirt before hasn't stuck for anyone who wasn't already opposing Trump. Worse for some who looked into the claims over time that dirt might have fallen off as some of it (Throwing a childs hat, Kids in cages being a uniquely Trump thing, The Koi Karp incident) Hell Trump survived an impeachment attempt that just ended up looking like a bitter circus show andit's been claimed their plan is to try another impeachment but they don't really have much else new to work with so it's actually helping Trump.
Even the recent Pelosi thing with her having a go at CNN might cause a shift.