All the picture at the moment is bad for Biden.
He's scoring about 6% down on the polls, which alone would project that he's not taking or in real trouble in states like Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania.
And indeed, look at the vote counts so far - how behind he is, what districts are yet to complete and by how much, it's looking a very tough ask that he's going to make up the gap. For instance, in PA, he's about 700,000 down. But from what's in so far, we might project he'll catch only about 400,000 back from Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, maybe up to 500,000 from a few other blue counties, and the rest of the state still to declare leans red. That's PA. Wisconsin is worse. Michigan I think slightly better. But I think he needs all three.