HyenaThePirate said:
Do you honestly think this movie isn't going to make $200 million or more back over the rest of the summer?
Actually, yes - there is a pretty good chance that, with an opening weekend well under $60 Million, it will not make $200 Million back by the end of the summer. In any case, that's somewhat beside the point since it needs to make MUCH more than $200 Million to not be a net-loss for the studio. And that's
theatrical money, BTW - DVD sales are tanking across the board, and toy retailers were buzzing that the GL-branded merch wasn't moving
before it opened.
I could be wrong. I'm not a professional boxoffice analyst - but in this case, I don't think I need to be. It's basically dead-on-arrival opening weekend, it's going to TANK next week (60-70% drop, easy) against Cars 2, Harry Potter and Transformers are after that, not a hard call to make. Plus, the industry/audience buzz is uniformly pretty bad - it's going to be a movie-news punchline by the end of the summer. It's DOA. The main players will be towing the "oh yeah, part 2 totally coming!" line for about a year or so, but nothing will come of it and eventually we'll stop asking. (For comparisons sake: Daredevil, the 1998 American Godzilla, the Super Mario Bros. Movie, Ang Lee's Hulk and Superman Returns ALL had sequels "still greenlit" for YEARS after they'd come out that were never "officially" called-off.)