Eclectic Dreck said:
Therumancer said:
That said (on the subject in general), all conjecture aside the proedictions and mayan beliefs still hold weight. This doesn't mean what they said is going to happen, just that what they thought was going to happen is as per the popular version. Given that the odds of it happening are minimal and the date is approaching there is plenty of effort being made to debunk this so people can say "I told you so".
The catch is, it would seem, that the best version of the story is that on that particular day, the earth will line up with a number of celestial objects and their combined gravity will be sufficient to do something terrible.
The problem with that particular theory, is that precise scenario has already occurred countless times and our planet seems relatively secure being an inconsequentially small rock orbiting a medium star in the backwater region of our particular galaxy. The most commonly cited reason why they world will end that day (the sun, earth and galactic center line up) is especially silly considering that has happened every single year for as long as the earth could be called a planet.
To me it isn't an example of "told you so" or wanting to debunk anything. It just seems like a very silly thing to get hysterical over. I mean, I could get shot in the face on the way to work
tomorrow. Or I could break a leg when I walk to the bathroom. Or any of a thousand million terrible things. But we don't worry about any of those things and we could reasonably affect at least some of them.
I suppose that's the part that gets to me. The great scary thing is both hilariously unlikely and utterly outside of our control. You'd think that's a perfect example of things you don't need to worry about.
I tend to disagree with you in part, because the theory your espousing is based on what modern people, with modern knowlege, think could potentially destroy the earth, and then debunking their own theories. The Mayans were a group of people who couldn't even make sailing ships, work with steel, or numerous other things. They did not have the detailed knowlege of physics to make such conjectures, because if they did, they would have pretty much conquered the world with all of the doors that would have had to be opened along the way.
Looking at the people in question, you have to consider what could have destroyed the world in their understanding. Things like astrophysical phenomena, polar shifts, and the like aren't really on the table. These guys didn't even have contact with North America (or know that it existed really), never mind have visited or studied the magnetic poles.
If your going to interpet an apocolypse here, you have to understand that the Mayans probably believed it would be something supernatural, the return of gods, dead walking the earth, ancient banished monsters breaking free from their prisons, etc...
Given the rather humble capabilities of the Mayans and the simple fact that they didn't build most of their own cities and such, one has to also question how much of their astronomy was actually theirs, and how much they scavenged, were taught by someone else, or whatever else. Assuming you aren't just assuming some freak abillity to pinpoint stars by looking at the sky, but given the age of some of the stones and such that "impress" with their placement, it's quite possible the Mayans never put them there.
Hence my comments about ancient astronauts, as looking at the "Facts" it's possible that what the Mayans were actually looking at was when the people that actually built, or helped build those cities would return, and a lot of the information the Mayans had came from them, leading to the whole disjointed nature of the civilization. Barring supernatural causes here of course with vengeful gods, demons, or the return of magic and a new "cycle" ala Shadowrun.
As I've said before though, I don't expect much to happen, and a lot of these questions to never be properly answered. My basic attitude is that if there were higher tech visitors exploiting the Mayans, and leaving behind a "trickle down" effect, they don't seem to have been spending a lot of time hiding themselves. We've dug down deep enough where you'd expect whomever it was to have lost some pocket change, bottle caps, disposable lighters, pieces of machine scrap, or whatever else since they weren't hiding "special ops" style apparently. That's the problem with ancient astronauts uplifting humanity, playuing the role of gods, etc... in most arguements, if they weren't hiding by definition, by now we would have found some fairly concrete proof. I mean if we know enough geology and construction to boggle about stone from one side of the planet being on the other, and the perfect mathematical presciain of construction to ask the questions, you'd think we would have found more, and enough evidence where no conspiricy you can think of would be able to cover that many sources.