Something about Big Oil...

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werepossum

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Saskwach said:
Hydrogen fuel cells are not energy sources; they are energy storage sources. You still need the energy to come from somewhere.
Having said that it's true that we need to find a new source of cheap, renewable and mass-producable energy in the next few decades or humanity is doomed to late 19th century living for the rest of its time. Something like this is what I'm hoping for:
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=biofuels&id=19128&a=]
Excellent points. There are two big problems with a 19th century lifestyle, the first being that it won't support anything near our current population. There would be a mass die-off dwarfing the Black Death of the fourteenth century. The second is that the luxury goods we now enjoy - computers, CDs, most medications - are not possible at that level even with knowledge of how to create them, simply because that level of agriculture does not allow the excess labor and resources necessary to make such things. Before industrialization at least 50% to 80% of the population had to be engaged in food production, varying according to knowledge and diet but mostly by soil productivity. In medieval Europe approximately 90% to 95% of the population lived in small villages, engaged in food and cloth production, mining, and other such pursuits necessary to support the remaining 5% or 10% and produce the raw materials that allowed manufactured goods. Ugh! Late 19th century life was much better, but still resembled 13th century life more than 20th century.

I also saw the bacteria that poop oil. That's very interesting but also very scary. Imagine if- no, when those things get loose!
 

Saskwach

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werepossum said:
Saskwach said:
Hydrogen fuel cells are not energy sources; they are energy storage sources. You still need the energy to come from somewhere.
Having said that it's true that we need to find a new source of cheap, renewable and mass-producable energy in the next few decades or humanity is doomed to late 19th century living for the rest of its time. Something like this is what I'm hoping for:
http://www.technologyreview.com/read_article.aspx?ch=specialsections&sc=biofuels&id=19128&a=]
Excellent points. There are two big problems with a 19th century lifestyle, the first being that it won't support anything near our current population. There would be a mass die-off dwarfing the Black Death of the fourteenth century. The second is that the luxury goods we now enjoy - computers, CDs, most medications - are not possible at that level even with knowledge of how to create them, simply because that level of agriculture does not allow the excess labor and resources necessary to make such things. Before industrialization at least 50% to 80% of the population had to be engaged in food production, varying according to knowledge and diet but mostly by soil productivity. In medieval Europe approximately 90% to 95% of the population lived in small villages, engaged in food and cloth production, mining, and other such pursuits necessary to support the remaining 5% or 10% and produce the raw materials that allowed manufactured goods. Ugh! Late 19th century life was much better, but still resembled 13th century life more than 20th century.

I also saw the bacteria that poop oil. That's very interesting but also very scary. Imagine if- no, when those things get loose!
For my money, I think there'll be mass death as soon as oil reaches peak, and by mass I mean at least 75%. The only way to even keep it reasonable (and by reasonable I mean below the point where even the developed nations break out the warheads. I'm not being callous; the numbers are) is if we spend from now until that day hammering away at making every single alternative energy source work well and cheap. These bacteria, if they're workable on a mass scale, will help. Hydrogen will help. Geothermal energy might help as a new source of baseload power when the gas runs dry (as we in WA are experiencing thanks to a gas pipeline explosion). Wind can [http://news.mongabay.com/2007/1122-wind.html] even help with the baseload, too; that boggled my mind and filled it with unusual optimism.
Reading about peak oil makes you realise that global warming is the least of our worries, but at least it's getting people going in the same direction. Of course, the threat of peak oil would get them on side much faster. There's a difference between "saving the planet" and "saving our 20th century way of life- oh, and billions of people".
 

werepossum

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Khell_Sennet said:
You know, more than anything else I wish I could be voted President of Canada, because I could solve our dependence on oil. I'd outright ban cars for personal use and instate electric golf carts as their replacement, as well as scooters/mopeds. Do like Cuba and have almost all cars be the property of the government, and place tight restrictions on what commercial uses would merit a company truck or van. If someone wanted the use of a car for say an out-of-city trip, they would use rentals that exist for such a purpose. Said rental would be returned to a rental company branch in the destination city, and the renter would again be provided with a scooter or golf cart for his stay.

Thus a small number of sedans and minivans would be in use on the highways, and commercial vehicles ranging from freight semis to city buses would still be around, but Joe Average would not have a gas-powered car. For places like Alberta where winter is quite severe, alternate non-gas methods of transport would need to be considered.
Yes, Cubans are certainly happy in their squalor. Of course you'd also have to copy Cuba and kill or imprison dissenters and political opponents, but that's no big deal, right? For that matter, why not just kill everyone with the bad taste to live in Alberta or other places where a golf cart or scooter might not be sufficient? And people don't need to shop or go out anyway; they'll be perfectly content with their government-issued uniforms and government-issued food. And after their computers are taken away - can't let them see other people living in freedom, that's just counterproductive and a waste of perfectly good electricity - they'll have lots of time to tend the government crop fields by hand, saving even more energy.

Good thing scooters and electricity don't need oil, huh?

PLEASE tell you you're being sarcastic. Even Communist China doesn't go that far.
 

Zombie_King

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You're just figuring this out NOW???? Scary. Well, not much to say. We need to find an oil alternative. There are biofuels such as Ethanol and Biodiesel in production now, but WTF? No one gives half a damn to buy them. Our lifestyle is fast-paced, and we don't have 'time' to recycle and save our environment. See you in fifty years, when the ozone is gone, and gasoline is $500 a barrel.
 

Saskwach

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I'm with Khell here; ethanol is the feel-good alternative for people who want to look like they're saving the planet. Hell, ethanol is barely part of the solution if Khell's stat is right. Maybe some day, if the process were made more efficient by a factor of dozens, but until then it's all the alternatives I listed and more. Having said that, I hear a petrol/ethanol mix of about 4:1 makes a very efficient engine. Anyone know about this?
Biodiesel might work- I don't know enough about it.
 

SilentHunter7

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More directly, it's the gas prices forcing middle and lower class families to hang onto their money a little tighter. Of course there's a recession; Everyone is spending their money on gasoline to get to their jobs and the supermarkets, they cant buy anything else.
 

werepossum

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Saskwach said:
For my money, I think there'll be mass death as soon as oil reaches peak, and by mass I mean at least 75%. The only way to even keep it reasonable (and by reasonable I mean below the point where even the developed nations break out the warheads. I'm not being callous; the numbers are) is if we spend from now until that day hammering away at making every single alternative energy source work well and cheap. These bacteria, if they're workable on a mass scale, will help. Hydrogen will help. Geothermal energy might help as a new source of baseload power when the gas runs dry (as we in WA are experiencing thanks to a gas pipeline explosion). Wind can [http://news.mongabay.com/2007/1122-wind.html] even help with the baseload, too; that boggled my mind and filled it with unusual optimism.
Reading about peak oil makes you realise that global warming is the least of our worries, but at least it's getting people going in the same direction. Of course, the threat of peak oil would get them on side much faster. There's a difference between "saving the planet" and "saving our 20th century way of life- oh, and billions of people".
Every smart person I've heard speak (or read) on this issue has said about the same - there is no long term replacement for oil on the horizon. Instead, we have to focus on lots of piecemeal solutions - wind power in wind corridors, solar power on roofs and dry areas, solar evaporation cycle plants in the midwest plains and desert, nuclear power, hydrogen-powered automobiles, biofuel through thermal depolymerization, etc. There's a saying in drag racing that the easiest way to save a hundred pounds is to look for a hundred places to save one pound. I think replacing oil will be much the same.

It could indeed be very bad when oil crashes, especially for the very poor in the very poor countries who will have nothing with which to buy the oil or the food and whose land will not support its population without oil-powered agriculture and transportation.

There are many things we (the US) could be doing now. Our houses use relatively high amounts of energy. Superinsulated houses can cut this drastically, as can earth-sheltered houses. There's a great technique pioneered in Alaska that uses walls which are built in slabs (4" or 8" thick) built up of laminated layers of foam insulation and plywood which are extremely well insulated and make houses that are damn near indestructible. Ground-source geothermal heat pumps are extremely efficient as well, two to four times as efficient as a conventional air-source heat pump. Simply designing houses intelligently, with the HVAC in the center of the house, can save a lot of energy.

Besides a Manhattan-style project for energy, we need Manhattan-style projects for our construction and our automobiles. And our motorcycles and road tractors - there's no excuse for a motorcycle getting 25 mpg, or for a tractor/trailer getting 4 mpg when well-designed streamlining can raise it to 8 mpg. Replacing oil will be much easier if we can lower or at least slow the growth of our energy usage, and what we can save of our lifestyle probably depends on all three factors.
 

MrHappy255

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Okay seriously, has anyone seen the documentary "what ever happened to the electric car" The car was built and sold in the early 70's had a travel distance of 300 km on an 8 hour charge. What happened chrysler bought the patent and sold it to the oil companies who destroyed all of the prototypes and designs.

That was almost 40 years ago and we can't make batteries better. I mean I am all for Hydrogen or any other non toxic fuel source but c'mon no fuel and no maintenence. hmmm who cares if it cost 3000 dollars to replace a dead battery. I would save that in fuel in a year.

Secondly yes we would need a way to make the electricity to charge the batteries and that is where a whole bunch of other tech comes in. What would happen if just every 3rd household had a small windmill with the new tech that causes it to be silent and on average produce 20 to 25 days worth of a homes eclectricity per month (This is for a family of five today using crap appliances). If we were smart that alone would aid in our own energy production. Also add pretty solar panels to the roof's of our homes. Wow.
Canada says in the next ten years 20 percent of all energy will be wind generated. Now if there was a crisis how much more could we actually bring that up to.

BTW we do have to decrease our population as well. We cannot support this much life. It is not feasable.

So screw biodiesel and all the other crap that pollutes the environment, there are so many other ways around our problems we are just too lazy and to used to making gigantic profits. That is the worlds main problem GREED, it makes everyone complete idiots with no compassion or empathy for anyone but themselves.

Next year honda releases its first all electric car, Just like a civic with a 200 km distance on one charge. Not bad for a start. Think I will put my preorder in on that one.
 

werepossum

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MrHappy255 said:
Okay seriously, has anyone seen the documentary "what ever happened to the electric car" The car was built and sold in the early 70's had a travel distance of 300 km on an 8 hour charge. What happened chrysler bought the patent and sold it to the oil companies who destroyed all of the prototypes and designs.
I think that must be either a mockumentary or someone's fever-crazed pipe dream. My ex-father-in-law (wow, hyphen train!) had one of those electric cars in the seventies, a cute little red thingy that was basically a platform of lead-acid batteries with a fiberglass shell built around it. It had a top speed about equal to a coyote (at which point it was approximately as terrifying as riding a coyote) and took about five minutes to reach that speed, seated two adults as long as neither of them was so inconsiderate as to have legs or necks, charged down steep hills as unstoppable as Rosie O'Donnell chasing a birthday cake, charged up steep hills like Rosie O'Donnell being forced to approach logic, got perhaps 50 kilometers on a full eight-hour charge if no hills were encountered and passengers were limited to a single jockey driving, needed new batteries on about the same schedule as Paris Hilton's vibrator, had neither air conditioning, heat, or radio, and generally exhibited the same fine quality as Namibian electronics.

I helped him unload it when he bought it - the batteries were of course dead. The main brake was the electric motor, which acted as a generator to recharge the batteries and thus provided some braking force. When the batteries failed the generator would not charge and thus provided no breaking action. This reduced you to a cable-operated, friction hand brake secured to the floor with two screws. My girlfriend got in it as he and I pushed - you'd be surprised how heavy something that fits in the bed of a pickup truck can be if it's constructed mostly of lead-acid batteries - and finally got it up and over the hump of the railroad ties he used for a ramp. At this point the thing took off like a rocket car, which is when we discovered that dead batteries = no braking. My 5'-0" tall, 110 lb girlfriend yanked in terror at the hand brake, ripping it up from the floor with a piece of floor still connected. (Wow, the chassis fiberglass is weaker than two #10 screws! Hey! I can see the batteries through the floor!)

For those not familiar with the concept of a cable hand brake, removing it from its mount means the inside part of the cable travels along with the cable housing. Yup, no braking. Luckily the car was eventually stopped by its emergency brake, which as it turns out was a stack of railroad ties.

Are you starting to see why a vast conspiracy might not have been necessary to kill this thing, MrHappy?

Here's a picture of one very similar. When an unwrecked thirty-two year-old car has 7,021 miles and is currently worth $1,900, it should occur to you to wonder why.

http://cgi.ebay.com/ebaymotors/Other-Makes-Vanguard-Citicar-Electric-Car-Street-Legal-Valid-Title_W0QQcmdZViewItemQQcategoryZ6472QQihZ004QQitemZ140242385256QQrdZ1QQsspagenameZWDVW

EDIT: Great Scott, here's one that is currently at $3,500. It has twenty thousand miles on it, needs batteries, needs brakes (a feature I heartily recommend), and has holes all in it where hail punched through the body. People are idiots.

http://cgi.ebay.com/ebaymotors/Cars-Trucks___1976-Vanguard-Electric-Citicar-NO-GAS-REQUIRED_W0QQitemZ300233483489QQddnZCarsQ20Q26Q20TrucksQQddiZ2282QQcmdZViewItem?hash=item300233483489&
 

The Potato Lord

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I blame dinosaurs and other fossilized anmals for not liquifying enough, though palentologists and museums are also at fault for taking 'em out before they were done.
 

MrHappy255

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Hey Werepossum you uh working for the oil companies cause it sure sounds like it.

I mean duh the thing wasn't great but it was the 70's people were still using 8 tracks and thought they were amazing. You mean we cannot improve on that old tech in 40 frikin years.

Ya people are stupid and lazy. I mean cmon yeah lets stick with 100 year old technology ie the combustible engine when there is so much else available.

I am sure you are one of the people who also say it is not cost effective to start a hydrogen fuel cell car cause it will take too much to change stations over. My god how lazy and greedy are people. I mean I am not a super granola freak but it would be nice if everyone tried a little to help out with the destruction of our envioronment instead of just looking at the cost. If cost were the only thing would nasa exist?

Secondly to those who say public transportation Ya that is great for urban dwellers but what about people who travel a little further. North america is not Europe nor Japan where you can travel a country in a few hours. (Excepting of course what used to be Russia).

Seriously ya lets keep grubbing for oil that is always the best option, friggin morons.
 

werepossum

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MrHappy255 said:
Hey Werepossum you uh working for the oil companies cause it sure sounds like it.

I mean duh the thing wasn't great but it was the 70's people were still using 8 tracks and thought they were amazing. You mean we cannot improve on that old tech in 40 frikin years.

Ya people are stupid and lazy. I mean cmon yeah lets stick with 100 year old technology ie the combustible engine when there is so much else available.

I am sure you are one of the people who also say it is not cost effective to start a hydrogen fuel cell car cause it will take too much to change stations over. My god how lazy and greedy are people. I mean I am not a super granola freak but it would be nice if everyone tried a little to help out with the destruction of our envioronment instead of just looking at the cost. If cost were the only thing would nasa exist?

Secondly to those who say public transportation Ya that is great for urban dwellers but what about people who travel a little further. North america is not Europe nor Japan where you can travel a country in a few hours. (Excepting of course what used to be Russia).

Seriously ya lets keep grubbing for oil that is always the best option, friggin morons.
Actually not everyone capable of reasonably correct spelling and grammar is working for the oil companies. My point was that you had bought into the line that the 70s electric car was the bee's knees and that evil greedy capitalists conspired to take it away from you just to kill the planet. Stupidity is easy, but put some time and energy into researching what people tell you because people on both sides of the aisle will absolutely lie to you to further their own agenda. Perhaps you didn't notice, but I outlined several things that could (and should) be done to drastically curb energy consumption.

In real life I'm an architectural engineering electrical designer, meaning I design power, communications, fire alarm, and lighting systems (among other things) for buildings. I'm always up on new technology, new ways to do things better, cheaper, and/or more efficiently. (Unfortunately clients often only want cheaper, but if you pays the bills you makes the choices.) I transitioned my fluorescent lighting designs to T8 electronic ballasts back in the early to mid-nineties, as soon as it became practical. (The first T8 electronic ballasts were immediately practical in energy costs, but caused so many transients that they knocked each other out!) Today LEDs are just becoming practical for general purpose lighting, so I'm just now adding them to my designs. I drive a 4WD SUV, but it's a tiny little Tracker convertible that gets between 26 and 30 mpg under most conditions. So give me a little credit on practicing a bit of what I preach, knowing that of which I speak, and having a little sense from half a century of life avoiding reality television.

As Saskwach so ably pointed out, hydrogen is not an energy source, but is merely an energy transfer medium; there is no accessible free hydrogen, and it requires more energy to free hydrogen from its bonds than the hydrogen can then produce. This is a constant, immutable law of physics. So are hydrogen fuel cell cars a bad idea? Not necessarily. For one thing, hydro or nuclear power can be used to produce hydrogen at night, when electrical demand is low. (This is not free energy - nuclear can be throttled back to a degree, and both hydro or nuclear power can be used to pump water up into elevated lakes at night, which then flows down through turbines during the day to provide cheap additional power for high-demand periods. This very practical use of otherwise wasted energy competes with hydrogen production, off-hours steam and/or hot water or ice production, and other creative and useful schemes.)

There may be other ways around the hydrogen bond problem, such as the genetically-designed, oil-pooping bacteria to which (again, I think) Saskwach linked, or other algal- or bacterial-driven processes freeing methane or complex hydrocarbons which can be captured and efficiently processed into fuel. Either way the infrastructure will be quite expensive, but hydrogen has the advantages of being a very clean fuel, producible by a variety of different methods and energy sources, and versatile in the way its energy can be extracted. One extremely neat thing I've seen is the invention - I think in Korea - of a fuel storage container structure that makes the container hold more natural gas than would an empty container of the same dimensions. Talk about a mind-bender! If this can be adapted to the hydrogen molecule, can be produced economically, and gives back the hydrogen without too much of an energy penalty, this could make hydrogen cars very practical.

But (again, as Saskwach pointed out) hydrogen can never be the solution to replacing oil; it can only be a piece of the solution. I should also point out that several years ago Bush proposed a national initiative of hydrogen infrastructure. It went nowhere under the Republican Congress, and it went nowhere under the Democrat Congress. Had that work been funded and begun when he proposed it, before gas prices went so astronomical, it would have spurred research and development on hydrogen storage and hydrogen engines because evil capitalists would want to be able to compete once the infrastructure was in place, earning money to buy their kids the G.I. Joe with the Kung Fu grip so that their wives would be happy and want to have sex with them (paraphrasing Eddie Murphy in Trading Places.) Like electric cars this would require a sizable expansion in our power grid, at least until alternate means of hydrogen production become available, but would still have some advantage in scale and the great advantage of versatility in fuel.

I can also point out that although that particular era of electric cars were crap-in-a-cone, there are some nice niche electric cars today, like the Tesla, and some practical short-range, low end urban commuters as well. That's the beauty of capitalism - what you call greed - that someone who has amassed some capital will be willing to risk his capital making some new product or service, because if it's successful he'll earn wealth for himself and his family. But electric cars with the performance you quoted are probably decades away.

One last piece of mobile capitalism (damn but I'm a wordy bastard) - there are numerous prototypes running in commercial fleets today that are hybrids - but not electric. Instead they use hydraulic motors which are powered by ultra-high pressure hydraulic accumulators. A small gasoline or diesel motor runs a hydraulic pump which pressurizes the accumulator, which is basically nitrogen or another gas above a reservoir of hydraulic fluid. Once charged, valves feed high-pressure hydraulic oil to the hydraulic motors, driving the vehicle. For stopping, the valves are shifted to allow the vehicle's momentum to turn the hydraulic motors, re-pressurizing the accumulator. This works quite well with heavy fleet vehicles in relatively slow stop-and-go driving. Under these conditions the hydraulic hybrid can provide much better efficiency than electric hybrids.

So please give this some thought, do some research, and provide positive input rather than repeating mindless conspiracy theories and slogans of capitalism hatred. Those kinds of mantras can be repeated just as well by a parrot, which frees you up for other, more useful activities (like feeding the parrot.)

And will someone PLEASE tell that idiot Chuck Schumer to stop ordering oil companies to engage in research into alternative energy. That's the most asinine thing I've heard come out of Congress in quite awhile, in the same league as being the thinnest of Brazilian models (which is to say, an amazing if totally useless accomplishment.) If oil companies control alternative energy, alternative energy will cost as much as oil, at least as a function of the cost of production. That is how capitalism works. What we want are other greedy capitalist companies producing several kinds of alternative energy which compete with oil. That is also how capitalism works, only it has the added benefit of driving down costs for both competitors.
 

Saskwach

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werepossum said:
Saskwach rules
I do, don't I?
On a more serious note, I think you're right: the electric car was killed for good reasons, and still isn't a white knight saving the world from pollution, fossil fuels and evil.
 

MrHappy255

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Hey Werepossum I wasn't attempting to bark like a dog though biting you might alleviate some built up hostility.

I do agree with you to a point which is obviously why I am responding to your quite engrossing response to my purile piece of information.

To reiterate I agree that the car was not perfect but was useful in certain situations and again in 40 years we cannot improve upon the technology? I mean really that does imply lack of ingenuity or as you mentioned lack of profits.

No I am not a "lone gunman" type I do not believe in conspiracies but I will say this. (I am Canadian BTW guess that is why my beliefs differ slightly I am more socialist than capitalist sorry).

Okay back to my poorly written and mispelled point, Canada had vehicles that ran on propane and what happened to them? Well every year the Canadian government came up with new rules and regulations about propane vehicles and also an icreased yearly tax on propane vehicles. This was when propane was about half the price of comparative fossil fuel. This may have been for very reasonable reasons as I would not wish to be driving in a moving bomb.

What I'm trying to point out is that instead of our governments embracing new fuels they seem to apply as much legal red tape as possible until the average lazy citizen finds no benefit.

It is the same thing with the new light bulb technology, I have no problem with a larger outlay of monies to save in the long run but your average joe does not see it that way and that is why in Canada we have David Suzuki on TV all the time telling us to turn stuff off. Come on what are we still monkeys? Oh yeah we are I forgot that was where the stupid comment came in.

The comment had nothing to do with individuals as single humans are quite bright but put a bunch of us together and all the brains stop working. That is how our governments work and why new inventions are ho hummed out of existence.

However; please make sure my MP3 player is better next year and my car has heated cup holders and heated seats. Man I cannot wait for peak oil production.

Oh and thank you for pointing out my inadequacies I will remeber to study before I reply to any further posts and I do appologize for my horrible spelling and diction.
 

werepossum

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MrHappy255 said:
Hey Werepossum I wasn't attempting to bark like a dog though biting you might alleviate some built up hostility.

I do agree with you to a point which is obviously why I am responding to your quite engrossing response to my purile piece of information.

To reiterate I agree that the car was not perfect but was useful in certain situations and again in 40 years we cannot improve upon the technology? I mean really that does imply lack of ingenuity or as you mentioned lack of profits.

No I am not a "lone gunman" type I do not believe in conspiracies but I will say this. (I am Canadian BTW guess that is why my beliefs differ slightly I am more socialist than capitalist sorry).

Okay back to my poorly written and mispelled point, Canada had vehicles that ran on propane and what happened to them? Well every year the Canadian government came up with new rules and regulations about propane vehicles and also an icreased yearly tax on propane vehicles. This was when propane was about half the price of comparative fossil fuel. This may have been for very reasonable reasons as I would not wish to be driving in a moving bomb.

What I'm trying to point out is that instead of our governments embracing new fuels they seem to apply as much legal red tape as possible until the average lazy citizen finds no benefit.

It is the same thing with the new light bulb technology, I have no problem with a larger outlay of monies to save in the long run but your average joe does not see it that way and that is why in Canada we have David Suzuki on TV all the time telling us to turn stuff off. Come on what are we still monkeys? Oh yeah we are I forgot that was where the stupid comment came in.

The comment had nothing to do with individuals as single humans are quite bright but put a bunch of us together and all the brains stop working. That is how our governments work and why new inventions are ho hummed out of existence.

However; please make sure my MP3 player is better next year and my car has heated cup holders and heated seats. Man I cannot wait for peak oil production.

Oh and thank you for pointing out my inadequacies I will remeber to study before I reply to any further posts and I do appologize for my horrible spelling and diction.
No apologies to me are necessary; spelling and grammar are the domain of the mods although I'll still tweak you for it from time to time, and the preferred balance of capitalism to socialism is each man's right.

I would point out that electric cars (which are roughly as old as combustion engines, by the way) have made great strides since the 70s. There's an electric motorcycle that produces 400 horsepower! It's just that the technology was oversold in the 70s for Western society. Not enough people were willing to live with an automobile with the limitations necessary for the technology to make them economically feasible. As gasoline and diesel prices go up, more people will be willing to live with the limitations of modern electric cars, so you'll see more on the road in coming years. You'll also see more hybrids and plug-in hybrids, which can function as electric cars during reasonably short commutes but as gasoline (or diesel) cars for longer trips.

Incidentally, propane is gaseous petroleum; it's every bit as much a fossil fuel as gasoline. It originally had the advantage of being slightly cheaper than gasoline or diesel, but that disappeared as demand rose and as more sophisticated methods were perfected of producing gasoline and other petroleum products from more kinds of crude. It has the disadvantages (compared to gasoline) of requiring a heavy pressure vessel, of having less energy per unit weight, and of changing properties as its pressure drops, and the additional disadvantage (compared to natural gas) of being heavier than air so that leaks tend to puddle explosive and flammable heavy vapor for quite some time. Both propane and natural gas make satisfactory automobiled fuel are are more efficiently burned in power plants where the temperature and pressure can be better controlled. Propane used to be used extensively to run fork trucks because the fumes were less toxic than from gas or diesel, but due to improvements in battery and charging technology most fork trucks now are electric. I'm not sure why some are still propane; maybe it's just tradition. I'm not sure why propane automobile cars died in Canada except that many people have irrational fears of Pinto-esque explosions if any pressurized fuel is used. As you pointed out, government likes to govern, and nothing responds to government like perceived problems.

As to peak oil, please don't be too eager. As Saskwach (he really does rule) pointed out, there is every chance that peak oil will bring a crash and a depression to make the Great Depression look like Sunday at Church. World population is projected to hit seven billion by 2012 and nine billion by 2050. The rate of decrease in the rate of population growth is not declining nearly as fast as expected, and while feeding nine billion is not difficult given energy, it's near impossible without it. Most of the population growth is in or from the poor countries least able to compensate for expensive and scarce energy. Forget maintaining their American lifestyle, these countries want be able to maintain life itself. If we are not in a completely different energy paradigm when oil production peaks due to an inability to produce rather than unwillingness to disturb the caribou or risk our lovely sea shores, AND production breaks sharply (and there's every reason to think it might), then you're going to see not only a world depression, but world war on a scale not even contemplated in the twentieth century. In that case no country will be immune, life will be cheap and brutal, governments will assume near-total power - it will be bad. Even isolated countries like Australia will be faced with the necessity of driving away or killing boat refugees, and countries with adequate resources but without an ocean barrier will be under constant attack by desperate refugees. When society is faced with killing starving people whose only crime was to be born into a country without adequate resources or lacking the socioeconomic framework to efficiently use their resources, society itself breaks down.

I'm not saying it will happen or even that it's likely, but I am saying it's a good possibility. Right now oil prices are extremely high because demand is outstripping supply, and demand is growing faster. (And also because, stupidly, margins on oil speculation are set at 5% or 10%, allowing huge profits in comparison to the capital at risk.) As oil peaks, its price will go much, much higher. This makes it worth a company's while to go the extra mile in bringing oil to market. You make hay while the sun shines, as the farmers say. It will also lead to inflated claims of the worth of oil fields, because that keeps stock prices high relative to your competitors and helps keep you from being gobbled up. These things may combine into a perfect storm that will prevent us from identifying the true peak of oil production until we are well in it.

If that does happen AND we are still in an oil-based energy paradigm, then a world depression will be the outcome we hope for.
 

MrHappy255

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Mar 10, 2008
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Thanks for the reply Werepossum and yes I understood that propane is a fossil fuel it was just an example. You could also use natural gas as well since many vehicles in Canada once ran on that as well but yet again it is a non renewable resource.

Yes economics is the major factor regarding the cost of oil and personally I am not concerned with the immediate cost of fuel as I utilize very little, it is just sad that our world has come to be so cold, heartless and self serving (capitalist). Yes it is a way of life that can be very rewarding but you cannot say that you are a capitalist and then concern yourselves with every little person in countries that cannot sustain the amount of human life produced, created, whatever.

A true capitalist would look on those individuals as a way to make money?
My point about the electric car was an environmental concern and yes their are many concerns with electric cars and disposing of their batteries but hey what else can we do. As you mentioned Hydrogen is not the greatest option either.

As to your point about population growth There is really nothing to say unless I want to sound like the cold hearted bastard that I am. I mean the earth can only sustain so many lifeforms and humans seem to be breeding in excess of what our biosphere can handle. Either we curb our population growth or start sending people to the moon (quite literally) or we will be in the horrid trouble that you state.

Thank you for your educated responses and I appologize for my inarticulate rant.
 

Grampy_bone

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Mar 12, 2008
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All evidence indicates we are past the Peak. Peak Oil was in 2005. People are freaking out now because gas is four bucks a gallon, but next year these will be the "good old days."

In nature, once a species expands to the upper limit of it's food supply, usually one generation after 50% of the supply is gone the species suffers a "die-off," where up to 90% of its population perishes.
 

scoHish

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Mar 27, 2008
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I just think its sad that the only way to get us Americans to stop driving the friggin tanks that people call cars, is to make gas over 4 bucks a gallon. More of a rant than a helpful statement but hell, people listen to their wallets not me...