While its fun that Trump is a convicted felon I don't think this changes much. If Trump organizing a coup didn't drive his voters away then I don't see why lying about paying a porn star would. In all likelihood he's still going to be the next president because the US electorate seems wildly out of wack.
I bet Trump is going to lose, because there were polls awhile ago where a good percentage of independent voters would not vote for Trump if he was convicted of a felony. If these polls hold it's in Biden's favor now, unless the economy crashes or another 2016 happens out of nowhere.
A year ago DeSantis was beating both Trump and Biden in the polls, while Trump was losing to Biden in the polls, that is, that is until the indictments started. Now Trump is the presumptive nominee by being turned into a martyr, except Republicans and MAGA can't win the general election by themselves. Now the Democrats have made the worst candidate the Republican nominee, and they know they can easily crush Trump by removing him from the ballot box or throwing him in prison.
Thus all these legal cases happened right on an election year, not in 2021-2023 which would have made DeSantis the nominee, a fortuitous coincidence I'm sure. By the way this isn't my idea, Peter Zeihan said it in a video a year ago, I'm just regurgitating it, and I've seen this idea many times. It's also not out of the question, the Democrats wanted Trump to be the nominee in 2016 per WikiLeaks, gave him airtime over everyone else, and donated to Trump-backed candidates in the midterms because he was supposedly unelectable.
It would also be in the best interest for Team Biden and the media say it had little to no affect on the election, which is what they're saying now, because saying the opposite would be admitting a motive, making it ever so obvious they're prosecuting the now front-runner to win an election.