Ukraine

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Agema

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I use a variety of sources. In the US you have access to WeChat if your Chinese to talk to family and friends in China. Also despite the fact that this subreddit is too pro-China for my liking even the pro-China people agree that it was due to corruption, but your right it's unknown if the jet is affected or not, but they did remove him from AVIC's website.
Mm. The problem I might have with a place like China is that it's hard to know whether someone really was corrupt, or whether they had some powerful political enemies. Falling foul of political enemies can terminate a career in our countries as well, except that the authorities generally can't do a lot more (unless the target really did break the law).

The other sort of thing I can imagine, for instance, is that there is a problem with the J20, but they cashiered the designer as a scapegoat. After all, if he's already in his 60s, he's pretty much at the end of his career and won't be designing the next one anyway.

Also Russia is suffering losses.
I'm sure they are - and potentially heavy ones. But it's more the dissonance between a YouTube channel that's spent years hyping Russian failures, disasters and risk of collapse, and the fact that Russian war machine is still steadily chugging along and grinding Ukraine down.

There were reports in the serious media that Russia's economy was finally seriously creaking... and then Trump fucks up the sanctions squeeze by attacking Iran and sending the price of oil and gas sky high. Every conspiracy theorist out there who believes that Trump is a Russian asset could go wild on that. Or the billions that Trump has spent bombing Iran (which effectively includes much of the cost of Israel's bombing, given the USA subsidises Israel) which could instead have aided Ukraine.
 

Gergar12

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Mm. The problem I might have with a place like China is that it's hard to know whether someone really was corrupt, or whether they had some powerful political enemies. Falling foul of political enemies can terminate a career in our countries as well, except that the authorities generally can't do a lot more (unless the target really did break the law).

The other sort of thing I can imagine, for instance, is that there is a problem with the J20, but they cashiered the designer as a scapegoat. After all, if he's already in his 60s, he's pretty much at the end of his career and won't be designing the next one anyway.



I'm sure they are - and potentially heavy ones. But it's more the dissonance between a YouTube channel that's spent years hyping Russian failures, disasters and risk of collapse, and the fact that Russian war machine is still steadily chugging along and grinding Ukraine down.

There were reports in the serious media that Russia's economy was finally seriously creaking... and then Trump fucks up the sanctions squeeze by attacking Iran and sending the price of oil and gas sky high. Every conspiracy theorist out there who believes that Trump is a Russian asset could go wild on that. Or the billions that Trump has spent bombing Iran (which effectively includes much of the cost of Israel's bombing, given the USA subsidises Israel) which could instead have aided Ukraine.
Well now with Orban gone Europe could pummel Russia in Ukraine with more combat aid, and possibly even intervene themselves. Trump will hopefully be gone even if I am too pessimistic to visualize a world with the MAGA GOP will be gone. Hopefully in the off months that aren't October, and April where China can't invade Taiwan possibly we start supplying Ukraine with for example M7/M8 assault rifles, start giving them LUCAS drones as an uno reverse card to the Shahed-136/Geran-2 drones if we aren't already, supply them with a few F-16Vs and F-15EXs, possibly even give them PRISM missiles.
 

Thaluikhain

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Well now with Orban gone Europe could pummel Russia in Ukraine with more combat aid, and possibly even intervene themselves.
That's a bit of a jump there. Also, the usefulness of the M7 is questionable, but more likely Ukraine will get tried and tested weapons already in massive production anyway.
 

Hades

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Trump will hopefully be gone even if I am too pessimistic to visualize a world with the MAGA GOP will be gone
The whole point of project 2025 is so MAGA will never lose power though
 

Agema

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Well now with Orban gone Europe could pummel Russia in Ukraine with more combat aid, and possibly even intervene themselves.
I strongly doubt that European countries will intervene themselves.

The issue is that things are not going well in Europe - chiefly economically, but from that dissatisfaction into issues with immigration, public services, etc. Many governments therefore feel politically insecure, so military spending is not a high priority. Plus, Europe is generally unaccustomed to military action, and has a high credibility barrier to pass with the public than in the USA. Could be very unpopular.

In other words, military intervention risks a colossal political hit that many EU governments would be unwilling to take.

Europe needs a whole mindset change. The Russian invasion of Ukraine and Trump have potentially started this, but there's a whole load of movement that needs to take place in societal thinking before action occurs.
 

Hades

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There was a lot of tankie and far right schadenfreude towards France when several of their former African colonies kicked out France soldiers in exchange for military aid from Russia. Western hypocrisy being humbled and honorable Russians coming to loot without pretensions about human rights and democracy....uh I mean help poor oppressed African countries and shame the evil west while doing so.

But then it turns out Russian soldiers are inept and the governments foolish enough to trust them are losing ground to Islamic terrorists. I do not know whether Russia or the countries dumb enough to trust Russia come off more pathetic
 
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