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Generals

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I am so glad Trump lost the 2020 election. Imagine the timeline he was in charge right now
Heh, who knows. I think his administration and congress would have ensured the US would have sent aid to Ukraine anyway. The military aid towards Ukraine went up significantly during his presidency. That's the advantage of an incompetent and lazy president, his opinion doesn't matter that much.
 

Agema

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Nobody was killed. Nonetheless, this strikes me as... not promising. Putin will feel like he needs to be able to portray the operation as a success before he's able to withdraw or deescalate, in order to avoid political embarrassment. This makes that more difficult.
It's perfectly credible that oil depot explosion was an accident, it's just easier to blame Ukraine. It would also be a legitimate target for Ukraine to target, so who knows.
 

Agema

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I am so glad Trump lost the 2020 election. Imagine the timeline he was in charge right now
One thing that is true is that Putin would not have invaded Ukraine if Trump was in charge.

But that's only because Trump would have had the US invade it for him first.
 

Generals

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Seanchaidh

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What. The. Fuck.?
You think Ukrainians are not sure whether THIS is a good or bad thing?
I think Ukraine was in a civil war for the past eight years.

Because it was. The idea that the people who were being attacked by the Ukrainian government for the last several years might think of the Russian invasion positively is not weird, your emotive bullshit aside.

No, you simply reduce and dismiss any and all media which doesn't fit a predetermined narrative as the result of "western propaganda". I'm the only one here who has provided legitimately independent Ukrainian outlets, without any financing from the eeeeevil west.
You claim to have gotten your propaganda from independent (how could you possibly know that?) local sources. Wow, great. And by what means did you find them, in this media environment in which European governments and big tech are both censoring views that oppose yours?

Even if we accept that skewed and simplistic characterisation of Euromaidan: the government was decided by the 2014 election. Which was not controlled by "US officials".

But even if you were to believe that... the government that emerged after Euromaidan was the Poroshenko government... which was then defeated by Zelensky in 2019. So the current government isn't even the fucking same one. It's the one that defeated the one you're moaning about.
Kolomoisky backed Poroshenko until about 2015, then their relationship soured. Not looking that different. And not governing much different. Such democracy!

Kyiv Post said:
Political expert Viktor Bobyrenko believes that Pandora Papers will lower Zelensky’s rating, but will not bring him down. “Zelensky has a 15-17% stable electoral base, which will not be affected by anything,” he told the Kyiv Post.


According to Bobyrenko, the investigation will not have big coverage in Ukraine’s mainstream media as the most-watched TV channels – all owned by oligarchs – will support Zelensky by ignoring the story. “TV channels will not show this investigation, because it’s about all the oligarchs,” Bobyrenko said.
It's so good that the Ukrainian people are well-informed by their media about their political leadership and have access to a rich selection of alternatives, from the very corrupt servants of their oligarchy to the maybe not quite as very corrupt servants of their oligarchy.

Wah, you don't like the winner of a democratic election.
An election is not necessarily democratic.

Working for oligarchs, free advertising, hidden overseas assets etc, all factors that you believe delegitimise an elected head of state, but are willing to entirely overlook for a dictator. Even though for the latter they are all far more pronounced.
This is whataboutism. The democratic legitimacy (or more precisely the lack thereof) of Russian leadership isn't an issue here. It is very much beside the point.

Well known for his anti-Communist perspective. Today's Russian government, Christian-nationalist and ultra-capitalist, is far more in line with the more authoritarian veins of the US Republican Party. There's money to be made, after all, and the Russian government is happy to oblige the global capitalist class.
And so you can't trust the basically commonplace things they published about Ukraine..? You're not making sense.

Puppet proxy-states created as a tool for the imperial ambitions of a neighbour =/= "its own people".
Ukraine was shelling cities, and both the DPR and LPR are indigenous to Ukraine.

Yes, the direct analogy is between the Donetsk and Luhansk Kremlin puppet-states and the Kurdish fighters. What a huge distinction! They're totally not regional proxies for the imperial ambitions of their neighbour! How could such a mistake have been made?!

This makes the analogy precisely... no more credible.
The United States provided military and financial support for Kurdish separatists in Syria. Russia provided military and financial support for Russian separatists in Ukraine. The same reasoning you are using to declare DPR and LPR "Kremlin puppet-states" applies exactly to the Kurds in Syria. So your politics are incoherent or your reasoning is inconsistent. Pick one. Or both if you prefer.

No, Russian support does not delegitimise them. Plenty of things that have Russian support globally are perfectly legitimate. What delegitimises them is that they're the result of a foreign, armed overthrow of a democratically-elected government.
They were people in Ukraine who saw a leader they elected and supported forced out by an uprising that was legitimized by the United States and which was apparently hostile to Ukraine's Russian minority. One of the more innocuous examples of that is the protest chant "anyone who isn't jumping is a Russian" (they chanted this when they wanted everyone to be jumping... for some reason). One of the less innocuous examples of that is the massacre at Odessa.
 

Seanchaidh

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What's really odd is you seemed to be arguing that the presence of foreign finance in Euromaidan delegitimises it... yet here we have a movement that was 1) far more violent; 2) far more dominated by foreign finance; 3) Actually involved foreign military personnel secretly and illegally involved; and 4) Unlike Euromaidan, was not followed by any election or referendum for the actual populace to decide the composition of the government. How strange!
This is whataboutism. The comparison is between Kurdish rebels and Ukrainian rebels. And it is not terribly weird for people who are under assault by a government that claims their territory not to have elections.

But wait, what's this?


And what is this?


Hm.


They keep doing these things, very weird. I'm sure you have a magical reason that these don't count while the oligarch-dominated elections of Ukraine are of unimpeachable democratic standard. After they banned a bunch of political parties and opposition television stations, and in which every competitive candidate has the backing of at least one oligarch, and in which a new government with a different leader from a different party results in more or less the same policy. The people are really ruling. They are ruling so hard.

But let's investigate this idiotic idea that the DPR and LPR are entirely distinct and independent of Russia. Firstly, a reminder that until.... less than a week before the invasion this year, Russia officially supported Ukrainian sovereignty over the entirety of Donbas. It had also made a separate binding international commitment to respect Ukrainian territorial borders as they stood.
Both of these suggest that they actually are distinct from Russia.

All the while, they were secretly trafficking arms and other financial support to the insurgency, as well as disguised Russian military personnel.

And now, those breakaway "states" serve as the casus belli for Russia to invade Ukraine... including going far beyond the Donbas, and shelling Western Ukrainian population centres.

In short, if you can't see that this is a transparent re-run of the Crimea situation of 6 years ago, a thin veneer to disguise yet another obvious annexation, then I don't know what to tell you. I suspect you do actually know all this, because you're not an idiot. You just want it to happen.
If you want to call it a re-run of Crimea, then you'll have to contend with the fact that Crimea apparently wanted to join Russia anyway. Why are you so intent on keeping fixed the borders of a country which makes war on itself because many people there don't want to be a part of it?

If the US sponsored a "breakaway Republic" in Siberia, provided it with endless money and disguised its military personnel to defend it, you'd be cheerleading for the Russian defence. This is solely about who's doing it for you, not what they're doing.
It would be suspect and extremely unlikely to be good because of what the United States is, having little to do with Russia. But it would not be impossible for such a republic to be a good thing-- if it's the Washington Post singing its praises, it's probably bad.

IFail to see a single thing I've ever said that could rationally be interpreted as support for that. You gripe that others are "inventing" positions for you to hold one minute, then do exactly the same thing to others the next.
You defended the Euromaidan as some grand expression of democratic ideals in this very post.

Another quick reminder that the government that followed Euromaidan (which was also elected) is not related to the current government, which defeated it.
Mm, yes, much like the presidency of John Adams was not related to the US war of independence, because he defeated Thomas Jefferson in the election of 1796. Or the presidency of Thomas Jefferson wasn't related to the US war of independence because he defeated John Adams in 1800. And neither of them were the government of George Washington! This makes them all completely separate from the US war of independence. Wait, no, that's unfathomably stupid.

And in the case of the Euromaidan, there was a big shift in what political parties were allowed to compete, shutdowns of opposition television stations, and so on. Zelensky was a beneficiary of all of those anti-democratic maneuvers, not a victim.

But none of these principles apply to Russia. They can do whatever the fuck they want, because they don't like the US.
They obviously cannot do whatever they want. If the Ukrainian and US war propaganda is to be believed, they can barely contend with Ukraine. You're the one who seems to think it's your place to tell those outside of the US global empire how they should react to US imperialism. And then you get cranky when I explain all the reasons they might think differently from you as you sit there justifying the application of all the coercive power available to the global empire of the United States to enforce its dominance and prolong a destructive war.

The Russian government has also incorporated Neo-Nazi militias into its armed forces. Far larger ones. Five fucking times larger. And even the main Russian military has been instructed to pursue some pretty fucking quasi-fascist approaches, including the intentional focus on civilian infrastructure, and the hunting-down of foreign reporters.
This is whataboutism. And also of questionable accuracy.

Your perception of the war is a result of a blanket unwillingness to acknowledge atrocity, if it's committed by a side with which you have pre-existing sympathy.
Why are you so keen for me to acknowledge things that I haven't commented either way about?

And whenever such evidence emerges, the reaction is a kneejerk dismissal, attributing it to "propaganda", regardless of whether the outlet is entirely independent, free of foreign finance, etc.
You've been nothing but credulous toward any information that you think supports your preconceived notions. You've even claimed that the Donbas republivs haven't had elections, which is just false. Perhaps you simply didn't know.

The end result is someone who can see direct and credible evidence of the targeting of hospitals and schools, ignore it, and then immediately instead turn to Twitter nobodies or right-wing US rags, and repost them completely uncritically, if they happen to bolster whatever view he already holds.
Now you're just making up positions for me to hold based on not having commented on them specifically? Why are you so anxious for me to denounce the enemies of the United States? Do you actually care about attacks on hospitals, or are you just saying so? Might it interest you to know that the Ukrainian armed forces have allegedly been using hospitals for military purposes? Or will you simply fall back on the claim that, well, they can do whatever because Russia is the evil invader?


That, at the very least, raises some interesting questions about how the Ukrainians are conducting this war. You may not have seen this before! That must mean it's a clever trick. It definitely doesn't mean that a big part of Ukrainian military strategy appears to be putting their military forces in circumstances that are likely to lead to things like hospitals and ambulances being attacked so that western media can pick that up and you can whine about it online, because that would just be silly.
 

bluegate

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That, at the very least, raises some interesting questions about how the Ukrainians are conducting this war. You may not have seen this before! That must mean it's a clever trick. It definitely doesn't mean that a big part of Ukrainian military strategy appears to be putting their military forces in circumstances that are likely to lead to things like hospitals and ambulances being attacked so that western media can pick that up and you can whine about it online, because that would just be silly.
Look at Ukraine making Russia bomb hospitals!

You absolute tool of a person.
 

Hades

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Silvanus

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You claim to have gotten your propaganda from independent (how could you possibly know that?) local sources. Wow, great. And by what means did you find them, in this media environment in which European governments and big tech are both censoring views that oppose yours?
I've done what checking I can of their funding sources & ownership, most of which is publicly available if you look for it. You're going to tell me that's all a ruse, and that the Western governments secretly own all independent media outlets that happen to not push a Russian narrative, then?

Kolomoisky backed Poroshenko until about 2015, then their relationship soured. Not looking that different. And not governing much different. Such democracy!
I absolutely adore the fact that you'll post something about... possibly concealing some assets offshore, and insinuate that it delegitimises his electoral mandate (which it doesn't anyway), and ignore the fact that your preferred victor is concealing inordinately more wealth, in inordinately more illegal ways.

In short, though, none of this is actually relevant. You're just pushing the line that since some rich dude bankrolled one candidate and then another later, therefore they're the same government and the vote doesn't count. Which is a ridiculous, simplistic, undemocratic argument, and would be equally applicable (and equally invalid) in every government on the planet. Including the ones you prefer and endorse.

An election is not necessarily democratic.
Indeed. This one was, by all modern standards, free and fair. The greatest imbalance-- spending power-- was in favour of the candidate who lost.

But again: you don't actually care about democratic credentials. This is a fig leaf. You're endorsing a course of action to dismantle all elections altogether.


This is whataboutism. The democratic legitimacy (or more precisely the lack thereof) of Russian leadership isn't an issue here. It is very much beside the point.
It absolutely is an issue here. When you endlessly bring up the flaws of Ukrainian democracy as an attempt to justify annexation, you're insinuating that those factors delegitimise the right of the Ukrainian government to hold power. You might not say that out loud, but insinuation drips off every post. Meanwhile, you're endorsing capitulation of Ukraine to Russian demands, which include annexation of vast swathes of Ukrainian land. It is indeed very relevant, when you gripe about flaws in Ukrainian democracy, that your preferred alternative is a route which involves millions of those people being delivered into dictatorship with no democracy at all.

And so you can't trust the basically commonplace things they published about Ukraine..? You're not making sense.
I certainly can't trust the narrative they're pushing, no. What they're publishing is not commonplace.

At the same time, you're happy to dismiss independent outlets such as the Kyiv Independent on the basis of... a conspiracy theory that they're secretly bankrolled by Western governments. You're not making sense.

Ukraine was shelling cities, and both the DPR and LPR are indigenous to Ukraine.
That's quite a convenient catch-22, isn't it! Send your disguised military into another country, set up a puppet gov, and then that other country isn't allowed to act against it or it would be attacking "its own people".


The United States provided military and financial support for Kurdish separatists in Syria. Russia provided military and financial support for Russian separatists in Ukraine. The same reasoning you are using to declare DPR and LPR "Kremlin puppet-states" applies exactly to the Kurds in Syria. So your politics are incoherent or your reasoning is inconsistent. Pick one. Or both if you prefer.
Nope; the analogy is shite. "Providing military and financial support" is-- obviously-- not the deciding factor.

The Kurdish forces existed primarily on their own account, decided their own strategies and aims, and had a long history of doing so. They would, and did, exist entirely separately from US finance. The DPR and LPR did not; would not exist without Russia directly setting them up, and their strategies and aims exist solely as an extension of the Kremlin's regional ambitions. That's what being a "puppet" means. You don't automatically qualify if someone else makes a fucking donation.

And then we have the context, of the Crimea. When Russia did the same shit... and then used the area as a launchpad for attacks on the rest of the country, and ultimately annexation. Huh! So we're just to... trust that they don't do the same thing this time? Even though they've already used DPR and LPR as launching pads for invasion and attempted annexation? A-FUCKING-GAIN?

They were people in Ukraine who saw a leader they elected and supported forced out by an uprising that was legitimized by the United States and which was apparently hostile to Ukraine's Russian minority. One of the more innocuous examples of that is the protest chant "anyone who isn't jumping is a Russian" (they chanted this when they wanted everyone to be jumping... for some reason). One of the less innocuous examples of that is the massacre at Odessa.
Uh-huh, they were those people... in addition to illegally disguised Russian military personnel, using the area to attack mainland Ukraine as the forerunner to invasion and annexation, exactly as they did in Crimea.
 

Silvanus

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But wait, what's this?

And what is this?

Hm.

They keep doing these things, very weird. I'm sure you have a magical reason that these don't count while the oligarch-dominated elections of Ukraine are of unimpeachable democratic standard. After they banned a bunch of political parties and opposition television stations, and in which every competitive candidate has the backing of at least one oligarch, and in which a new government with a different leader from a different party results in more or less the same policy. The people are really ruling. They are ruling so hard.
Ohhh, these would be the "elections" where the only allowed monitors were various far-right European politicians; where people were bribed with vouchers for food; and the LPR leader who won the first one was coup'd out of position in a couple of years anyway. Those ones, right?


Both of these suggest that they actually are distinct from Russia.
If you're really, really, really gullible, and believe that Russia actually did legitimately change its stance 2 days before invasion as a matter of principle and it totally wasn't planned, yes.

If you want to call it a re-run of Crimea, then you'll have to contend with the fact that Crimea apparently wanted to join Russia anyway. Why are you so intent on keeping fixed the borders of a country which makes war on itself because many people there don't want to be a part of it?
Why are you so intent on believing that Ukrainians all want to join Russia instead, when there have been zero free polls or referenda to suggest that?

It would be suspect and extremely unlikely to be good because of what the United States is, having little to do with Russia. But it would not be impossible for such a republic to be a good thing-- if it's the Washington Post singing its praises, it's probably bad.
Well, at least you've now been open about the fact that you decide what you'll support entirely based on what US media outlets don't like, rather than any kind of consistent, rational principle.

Mm, yes, much like the presidency of John Adams was not related to the US war of independence, because he defeated Thomas Jefferson in the election of 1796. Or the presidency of Thomas Jefferson wasn't related to the US war of independence because he defeated John Adams in 1800. And neither of them were the government of George Washington! This makes them all completely separate from the US war of independence. Wait, no, that's unfathomably stupid.
Yes, that analogy is indeed unfathomably stupid!

They obviously cannot do whatever they want. If the Ukrainian and US war propaganda is to be believed, they can barely contend with Ukraine. You're the one who seems to think it's your place to tell those outside of the US global empire how they should react to US imperialism. And then you get cranky when I explain all the reasons they might think differently from you as you sit there justifying the application of all the coercive power available to the global empire of the United States to enforce its dominance and prolong a destructive war.
They can do whatever the fuck they want *from your perspective*. I'm unsure why I need to spell that out.

Whatever they do-- shell hospitals, intentionally target civilian infrastructure, use children as human shields, etc etc-- that's all excused and dismissed and minimised. You'll endlessly repost tweets and images of atrocities committed by the US, or Israel, or elsewhere, because the horror itself obviously shows how they've lost moral authority. But when your favoured geopolitical powers indulge in the same horrific atrocity, you couldn't give a shit. Their grand aims at opposing US imperialism (by... invading a smaller, weaker country) justify all that, or make it irrelevant.

This is whataboutism. And also of questionable accuracy.
Again: when you're advocating for one force to take power from another power, then the respective crimes of both of those powers is completely relevant.

You cannot say Force 1 does X bad thing, and therefore we should hand hegemony to Force 2, which does X thing times 100.

Why are you so keen for me to acknowledge things that I haven't commented either way about?
Ongoing efforts to minimise, dismiss, or excuse things do in fact constitute "comment".

You've been nothing but credulous toward any information that you think supports your preconceived notions. You've even claimed that the Donbas republivs haven't had elections, which is just false. Perhaps you simply didn't know.
I tend to be more trusting to information that comes from financially independent local sources or eyewitnesses, rather than from right-wing US thinktanks, yes. How strange!

Now you're just making up positions for me to hold based on not having commented on them specifically?
When two forces are at war, and you endlessly point towards the bad acts of one side, and entirely ignore, dismiss and/or question the bad acts of the other, it's not just "not commenting". It's a clear and obvious effort to shift opinion in one side's favour.
 
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Silvanus

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(Video)

So, Russian forces are retreating from the area surrounding Kyiv (in line with their official announcement of deescalation in that area). They're leaving behind hundreds of bodies of civilians in the streets. There's evidence of civilians killed with small-arms fire, which would indicate intentional targeting of civilians by individual soldiers (or executions), and children shot while fleeing.
 

Silvanus

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More on the above, on war crimes committed by the Russian military as they leave Bucha and Irpin.


Warning, graphic images.

Civilians executed by small-arms fire while their hands are tied. Signs of torture.
 

bluegate

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More on the above, on war crimes committed by the Russian military as they leave Bucha and Irpin.


Warning, graphic images.

Civilians executed by small-arms fire while their hands are tied. Signs of torture.
It's really horrible how Ukraine is making Russia do this.

It's quite depraved of those Ukrainians to tie their own hands and jump in front of Russian bullets like that, making Russia look bad.
 
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Agema

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I think Ukraine was in a civil war for the past eight years.
This would be a Ukrainian "civil war" where many of the rebels are known to be military personnel of Russia, using equipment handed over by the Russian military.

We hear endless shit from you about the West merely selling arms to states in similar conflict (whether the arms are going to the state or the insurgents). That you refuse to hold Russia to the same standard just makes you grotesquely hypocritical.
 
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Silvanus

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It's really horrible how Ukraine is making Russia do this.

It's quite depraved of those Ukrainians to tie their own hands and jump in front of Russian bullets like that, making Russia look bad.
The official Russian response is actually that this is all staged by the US.

Yep, in a matter of hours after the Russian troops left; on a massive scale encompassing entire towns and villages; and without anybody managing to get any footage of them arriving, filming, and then leaving again.

I shit you not.
 

Hawki

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On another topic, and I'm not being snarky here, I cannot, for the life of me, understand the point of the torture and executions we've seen.

The whole schtick is that Russia was "liberating" Ukraine, so whether you (you, as in, a Russian soldier of commander) genuiely believe this or not, what's the point of this stuff? Either you believe you're libreating your fellow Russians/Slavs/Ukranians (who at the least, do share a history), or you understand the necessity of optics and therefore would want to keep casualities to a minimum.

Obviously terror has its place in war (as in, it's useful, if reprehensible), but why here? Russia has everything to lose from this. This isn't like the Blitz in WWII, or the type of sctick you see in a civil war, so what's the bloody point?
 

Thaluikhain

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On another topic, and I'm not being snarky here, I cannot, for the life of me, understand the point of the torture and executions we've seen.

The whole schtick is that Russia was "liberating" Ukraine, so whether you (you, as in, a Russian soldier of commander) genuiely believe this or not, what's the point of this stuff? Either you believe you're libreating your fellow Russians/Slavs/Ukranians (who at the least, do share a history), or you understand the necessity of optics and therefore would want to keep casualities to a minimum.

Obviously terror has its place in war (as in, it's useful, if reprehensible), but why here? Russia has everything to lose from this. This isn't like the Blitz in WWII, or the type of sctick you see in a civil war, so what's the bloody point?
I doubt it'd be an official policy, it'd be just people doing stuff because they can. With perhaps a reason (not excuse) in that they are not having a nice war. Treated awfully by your own side, fighting a pointless war, seeing your comrades dying, and then there's random locals you can blame for it all and kill without repercussions. Same old story.