This reply doesn't address the scenario in any way whatsoever, so I can only assume either you're refusing to engage with it or you've failed to understand it.Mm, yes, we should all hope the next murder is committed by a serial killer, that would be so much better than if it were a first-timer.
Here's a hint: the point of the scenario had nothing to do with what we "hope" happens or what would be "better". It was about how we determine probability of outcomes, & how that's very much affected by the inclinations of people and the alternative actions they may take.
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