It is essentially taking the most favourable possible interpretation of events for Trump at every turn, even if improbable. It's a bit like having thirty, consecutive, 80:20 options, taking the 20 every time and arguing that's the most realistic end point.
Let's work with this. Because there are certainly lots of things in here where, in a vacuum, I would agree that I'm not taking the most likely interpretation. But these things aren't in a vacuum, nor are they in a series where each event just leads into the next. All these events exist in parallel, and provide hints towards one another, and if two 80s create a contradiction, you should be trying to figure out which one (if not both) is the 20. Like, coincidentally enough, 80:20 is almost exactly the mine density in expert minesweeper. One could describe that game as finding out where all the 20% probabilities landed. Your tactic is basically "every square is 80% to be clear, so I'll click them all". You are deciding to lose the game. You can say all you want that something isn't the most reasonable interpretation, but a lot of the time the most reasonable interpretation in a vacuum is an outright contradiction to the other information we have.
Take that "after [the call], I spoke to the defense minister." On its face, in a vacuum, Silvanus is reasonable to read that in the way he did. But when Zelensky has also said that he didn't know before that, he had no idea about the freeze, when he did find out he talked to Pence about it in Warsaw, the White House's summary of events matched his, and literally nobody reported that statement as "Zelensky found out about the freeze the day of the call", you should look at that "after [the call" and see that's not a clear square, that's a mine, that's the 20 percenter.
We can rest assured that reality isn't going to contradict itself, so the strategy for finding the truth should prioritize eliminating contradictions, which is going to require landing on some 20% options.