General Vagueness said:
to make this short, correlation isn't the same as causation
Is that in reference to me or supportive of me? If it's in reference, the studies I was taking that from tended to be more controlled studies, which have a slightly better relationship between correlation and causation (I think it's called stronger internal causation or something like that?) The studies we've found that hold the opposite view, tend to be more statistical studies where the comment is more relevant.
To give an example, if I were trying to work if turning on the tap caused the water to flow from it, I could either take a big chart of all the times water has flown from the tap and and all the times people have turned it. If there was correlation, then that doesn't necessarily imply causation.
However if I create a controlled experiment where I choose to turn the tap 100 times and see what happens, a correlation there has a stronger implication of causation. It's because the independent variable has been consciously changed, so is less connected to other things. Naturally it's still not a complete implication of causation but it removes lots of incidents where you would have coincidental correlation, because often that stems from a third variable, that both observed variables are related to.
In any case, I have no ground for belief in this, I was initially challenging the apparently unsubstantiated idea that this would possibly relieve people with that sexual orientation and by implication reduce the number of child molesters. So whilst these studies may well not be valid, we would certainly need to see studies in the other direction before falling in line with that and in the meantime we have more evidence pointing the one way than the other
In this case there seems to be a lack of consensus, it's a controversial topic with studies pointing in both directions and at the moment I feel I cannot conclude even way unless someone finds something substantial to decide the matter