NATO thus did very well to provoke those conflicts. Masterful manipulation of the circumstances. But for some reason you don't seem to have a problem with that part. "Russia is going to invade!" OK, will you engage them diplomatically since they've reached out about their security concerns regarding your actions? "Of course not! They must go kick rocks!" NATO wanting to be relevant is perfectly explanatory of NATO's behavior; a sincere desire to avoid war, on the other hand, doesn't explain NATO's actions at all; viewed through that lens, NATO actions are baffling.
But those ''security concerns'' were illegitimate to begin with. They hinge under the deluded premise that Russia is a special little flower that deserves imperial recognition, and that the sovereignty of Ukraine and the wider European order should be outsourced to the Kremlin. Russia does not have the inherent right to decide Ukraine's future, its allies and its economy for them.
The wider world is in it full right not to humor Russia's absurd pretensions of ownership over eastern Europe.
That is not what provoked the conflict.
Membership in NATO is not 'independence', becoming a military staging ground for the United States is not 'independence', attempting to steal the port at Sevastopol by overthrowing the government is not 'independence'.
What provoked the conflict was Ukraine wanting to trade with Europe, and Russia forbidding it and forcing their puppet leader in Ukraine to self destruct. Every aspect of this conflict can be traced to an escalation by Russia.
NATO in itself is not independence per se, but Russia has made it fully clear they will never accept Ukrainian independence without it. Because when Ukraine decides for itself without having NATO protection Russia poisons their presidents, they steal their land and they start a genocidal war.
It has never been "OK", but they are responding to US provocations and have not been given an alternative that makes sense other than sacrificing their own security for the sake of morality-- something that no reasonable state does by choice in the current international order, an international order which has been to a large extent determined by the United States. The fact that the United States imposed that dilemma on them without any justification is the root of the problem. It would be one thing if NATO were a good faith effort to prevent war, but it manifestly is not. It is beyond apparent that NATO did precisely what it would do if it wanted a war between Russia and Ukraine and it is dominated by hands down the most belligerent nation of the last 70 years.
But they simply aren't. Accepting that Russia's former nations are independent nations is not a provocation. Its Russia's insistent they still own our ought to own those country that is the provocation, and its exactly that behavior that forces those country to seek NATO protection.
And what do you mean ''without justification''? Throughout history Russia has repeatedly destroyed, conquered and tortured their neighbors. And Russia is PROUD of this. They are open about how they hate losing their tyrannical empire.Russia’s victims have every justification in the world to join NATO