spacecowboy86 said:
You greatly misunderstand me sir. The "nub-fish" story was a vastly simplified example for the benefit of some individuals, but if you truly want to debate with me, I'll humor you.
I understand evolution does not occur instantly, my point was, and perhaps you can clear this up for me, that I can't concieve how an aquatic species could possibly be born with amphibious traits that would better help it survive to reproduce but still allow it to scientifically be classified as a fish. It's not going to suddenly become an amphibian, so why would such traits be useful to it in an aquatic habitiat? why wouldn't such traits remain, as you say, junk? and if that's the case I don't see why any organisms at all would need to develop terrestrial traits if all the other organisms that are thier food are also aquatic. and also, when does the species officially cease to be aquatic and become classifed as amphibian.
also, who are you to say every event in the universe is guided by an inconcievable force? science is already discovering countless forces in the universe that were invisible to us just decades ago. but we know not EVERYTHING in the galaxy can be even be predicted by us because of something called the "Uncertainty principle"
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Uncertainty_principle which means that not everything is predictable, even if it is influenced, so we are never "destined" to do something.
also, when you get the chance, read up on the double-slit experiment and schrodingers cat. they both demonstrate a property of quantum physics that nothing in the universe happens until it is seen by a conscious observer, meaning that these genetic mutations are every possible mutation imaginable until the species starts using the genes to develop, then one is, in your opinion "randomly selected", in my opinion chosen as the one that it needs either to further it's own race, or if god wills it, make a tasty snack for another, better organism.
also, if you plan to complain to me "what are these invisible forces you speak of? huh? huh? can't tell me that can you?" dark energy and dark matter just to name two off the top of my head.
You're going to try and pull the "uncertainty principle" as an argument against a mechanistic, deterministic universe? Sorry: does not apply. (It's like when evolution deniers like to cite the 2nd law of thermodynamics, only to forget that living things aren't closed systems.) In the case of the uncertainty principle, the observer effect, and quantum indeterminacy, well, those things are quantum phenomena. They happen on the sub-atomic level. They do NOT generally govern how matter acts on the chemical level. Once you're talking about atoms and molecules (DNA included), a certain degree of certainty is an emergent property of the smaller, admittedly wierder, quantum scale. And genes -- which are stretches of DNA, often scattered throughout the genome -- are VERY LARGE molecules, even as molecules go. There isn't any quantum anything that could possibly subject mutations to the type of "uncertainty" you're talking about. It's just irrelevant.
If you're going to blabber about quantum mechanics, cosmology, or fundamental forces, do please try to understand them a little bit before putting your fingers to a keyboard. (Dark matter and dark energy, incidentally, are precisely what they sound like -- matter and energy, respectively -- and not forces at all, which would make them only tangentially related to whatever incoherent argument you're trying to construct here.)
At any rate, I didn't claim that everything in the universe is guided by an "inconceivable force." Don't put words in my mouth. I said that it's patently absurd to imagine that everything in the universe is guided by an omnipotent spirit (or spirits), because that would require believing that the laws of probability and chance (which are both mathematically and empirically verified) are illusory. We know that chance exists, because if you flip a coin a thousand times, you're apt get results which are very close to 500 heads and 500 tails. Anyone can verify this. And it's utterly incompatible with the notion of an interventionist, theistic god (but not a hands-off, deistic god, for which there can never be any evidence for or against anyway, and so doesn't matter very much).
But that's all just a barely-relevant aside.
Getting back to evolution, what you're offering here is the "argument from ignorance." Because you, personally, can't imagine or understand how evolution happened, it didn't happen. This fallacy pops up all the time, but it's easily dispelled. All it takes is an explanation from someone who does understand (or simply can imagine) a pathway by which the evolution occurred. In the case of the evolution of amphibians, I think other posters have already done a fine job offering some citations. I'll further point out that the Devonian fish which gave rise to amphibians already had lobe fins and swim bladders; these are the organs that evolution modified into limbs and lungs. (Mutations, remember, add variation to populations; evolution acts on the variation that's already present, when situationally beneficial mutations spread throughout a population of interbreeding organisms.)
So the questions before us then, as I understand your asking them, are (1) why would a fish develop legs? (2) why would a fish develop lungs? and (3) why wouldn't these developments get swamped back out of existence by the selection pressures of an aquatic existence?
In brief, the answers are pretty simple: as far as evolution is concerned, it's always the same answers (which is a testament to evolution as a good theory: it's simple, elegant, and has massive explanatory and predictive power). It simply must have been that some population of fish found such features useful at the time. Lobe-finned fish with leg-like structures would have been able to crawl along the seabed and rummage for prey that fish without such structures couldn't exploit. Likewise, any kind of mutant fish with a modified swim-bladder capable of respirating air, even if it's just for long enough to flop into the next disappearing puddle over, would be at a tremendous advantage should it wind up in a lake that was drying out (see lungfish and mudskippers, as others have mentioned). As for why these populations might remain on the land... well, plants had already conquered the land long before amphibians ever showed up. (That's where all the oxygen in the atmosphere came from!) So, once again, there's food that isn't being eaten: a resource waiting to exploited by the first species to come along and fill an as-yet unfilled ecological niche. And it only had to happen once: you get one breeding population of lobe-finned, lung-breathing fish with a genetic predisposition for crawling onto the land and eating plants or insects or whatever, and natural selection is going to take off like a speeding bullet (speaking in terms of geological time, that is), in favor of this particular trait. So you get a land-dwelling species diverging from aquatic ancestors, and from there, that land-dwelling species (again, over the massive span of geological time) winds up diverging into all the land-dwelling vertebrates we know (plus a few dinosaurs and mammals that found it convenient to return to the sea).
And, of course, it helps that all the geographic, anatomic, stratigraphic, and genetic evidence concurs with a story much like this.