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Casual Shinji

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The PVV just lost 7 members. Maybe because Wilders' Trump bootlicking got too uncomfortable, maybe because Wilders went back to being the only one who gets to decide anything in the party now that they're in the opposition again, or maybe their hearts grew three sizes too big. Either way...

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Hades

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The PVV just lost 7 members. Maybe because Wilders' Trump bootlicking got too uncomfortable, maybe because Wilders went back to being the only one who gets to decide anything in the party now that they're in the opposition again, or maybe their hearts grew three sizes too big. Either way...

View attachment 14188
A fun fact about the leader of these rebels is that he was originally supposed to have been the migration minister in the previous coalition. He couldn't get security clearance though when investigations showed he was essentially an Israeli agent. Though in hindsight we'd probably have been better of with Bibi's handpuppet than the nitwit that got the job in his stead.

The occasional PVV member has defected or quiet over the years due to Wilders tactical mistakes or dictatorial behavior but this is the first time so many members of parliament left, and that so many seats have been lost. The biggest complaints of the rebels was Wilders dictatorial behavior, and his half hearted campaign last year. The breaking point seems to have been Wilders promise to never ever support the new minority government in anything, which denies the PVV an ability to exert influence.

Its always a good thing when extreme right splinters and its beginning to look a bit silly. We've got at least three extreme right parties now, with arguably the Farmers party also being one, and the VVD beginning the process of mutating into a far right party. That's four to five parties all fishing in the same electoral pond.
 

Agema

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A fun fact about the leader of these rebels is that he was originally supposed to have been the migration minister in the previous coalition. He couldn't get security clearance though when investigations showed he was essentially an Israeli agent. Though in hindsight we'd probably have been better of with Bibi's handpuppet than the nitwit that got the job in his stead.

The occasional PVV member has defected or quiet over the years due to Wilders tactical mistakes or dictatorial behavior but this is the first time so many members of parliament left, and that so many seats have been lost. The biggest complaints of the rebels was Wilders dictatorial behavior, and his half hearted campaign last year. The breaking point seems to have been Wilders promise to never ever support the new minority government in anything, which denies the PVV an ability to exert influence.

Its always a good thing when extreme right splinters and its beginning to look a bit silly. We've got at least three extreme right parties now, with arguably the Farmers party also being one, and the VVD beginning the process of mutating into a far right party. That's four to five parties all fishing in the same electoral pond.
This is an interesting point, that a lot of these far right parties are actually very fragile and fractious.

Some, like PVV or Reform in the UK, are effectively just political vehicles for the leader. Everyone really knows that Reform is Nigel Farage and anyone who locks horns with him is out. This works in opposition, but if they take power, collapse is only likely end result. They also tend to be very unstable coalitions of people with mutually opposing views. Reform for instance is owned, run and bankrolled by quasi-libertarians who want to slash government. But they are increasingly expecting to be elected off the back of working class voters who expect social support. If they get elected, one or both of those groups is going to end up betrayed and very angry.
 

Phoenixmgs

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So when you said "no protection", that's not actually what you meant. Fine, whatever. So long as you're acknowledging that it does convey protection.



Yes, it transmits via airborne droplets, like covid.

You were the one who brought up the infectious dose as a metric of how transmissable something really is. You were the one who posted that link. And now you're dismissing what it says, because the infectious dose for the common cold shows it's easily catchable from a few minutes' contact.



More irrelevant waffle. Lots of people did silly things early in the pandemic, when anxiety was high and the nature of the virus (i.e., that there's no significant fomite transmission) was largely unknown. Nobody here is saying it's necessary to wipe down vegetables.



You argued against lockdowns on the grounds that they shut some nutritional and immunisation programmes in a handful of Asian countries. To which, that article line is totally irrelevant, and the argument itself falls apart as soon as you look at the countless countries that locked down without ending such programmes.
Protection from severe disease and very very short-term immunity (like any other infection does).

You don't get sick from basically anything from going to the store (not even the super highly transmissible diseases) because it takes more than just coming into contact with very tiny amounts of a virus/bacteria. If that was the case, people would be constantly sick. If you did one of those fancy movie shots from like Outbreak where you see the germs floating throughout the air and landing on stuff, I bet just about everyone that goes to the store comes into contact with them whether through the air or touching things, yet you don't get sick from shopping. I posted the article because you don't just get sick from being in contact with like one molecule of a virus and even if the common cold or covid has a rather low infectious dose, that still takes time to get that dose. This is all not very exact science, which the article mentions, as it obviously very hard to do such studies on. They said that norovirus has a very low infectious dose and requires touch to spread as it's not airborne. Whereas the cold or covid don't need a very low infectious dose to be very transmissible because they are airborne. Humans are with other humans for long periods of time extremely commonly.

This is one of the other things we already knew. China did the study on covid surface transmission and only tracked one infection to an elevator button. We knew before it broke out in the US that this was the case. So much of covid we knew that people failed to acknowledge.

The countries that help other countries with such assistance would obviously not have said assistance during covid because it is not essential. My job didn't want people traveling to other parts of the country that were red (high infection rate), you think countries are sending their citizens to other countries during a pandemic? Immunization and other health screenings / checkups / whatnot in wealthy countries went down because people didn't want to go out and do things because of covid, they put things off.

You wrote this... straight after you wrote this

Utterly fascinating.

You have a story that vaccines and lockdowns are more dangerous than COVID. This is a lie. A political narrative that got hundreds of thousands killed as well as massive detriments to community, security and the economy

It's 2026. It's been six years.
I literally have never said vaccines are more dangerous than covid (just because some specific groups got more harm than benefit from the vaccine doesn't mean on the whole the vaccine is more dangerous). There's a happy medium to locking things down. You definitely want to have people not be indoors in large groups so stuff like theaters, conventions, restaurants, etc would be a good thing at closing down. You definitely want to focus on protecting the vulnerable whereas the most restrictions went to the group of people that were the least vulnerable (kids). You don't want schools to be close because kids are least vulnerable and schooling is important (other countries did these studies and found schools should be open). The democrats in America were like the only people in the whole world wanting schools closed, completely anti-science. The left closed down parks and beaches for literally no reason. In America, smaller businesses were very much disproportionately targeted to be closed when huge stores run by corporations were allowed to be open. This allowed for quite transfer of money from normal people to the rich, but you all say you are against that but you're are for that when it agrees with your narrative.

Also remember people getting mad at GameStop for staying open during the pandemic? Why would you get mad at a business wanting to stay open during the pandemic that isn't a business that requires groups of people indoors at one time? Nobody was like these liquor stores should be closed too!! It's because people wanted the alcohol. Funny how people don't stick to their principles...

Phoenix did in fact argue that "the vax is more dangerous to certain groups than actually getting covid".



Most of the time, that's the case. Though here he posted a "cost-benefit analysis" that argued the harm of lockdown in Canada outweighed not only the harm it mitigated, but also the entirety of the harm of covid to that country, and even the harm it would have done if there had been no lockdown.

((The basis for concluding such is asinine, but that's the argument the report makes))
That is scientifically true.

Are you arguing you know more about cost-benefit analysis/covid/lockdowns than the people that did the study?

What Phoenixmgs is talking about is, if taken as he says it, would possibly lead to a few thousand deaths in the US. What I'm talking about led to hundreds of thousands of deaths. I'm willing to say it could only be 600, 000 or 700, 000 unnecessary deaths. If you do the math, it could be as high as 1, 000, 000. I was already discounting hundreds of thousands of deaths because I was already thinking about how not all of them would be preventable

That does not mean that there aren't problems with lockdowns. I have many criticisms of Australia's lockdown... But just because I have criticisms, that does not mean that it wasn't the best option at the time. The person who implemented the Australian lockdowns was one of the worst leaders Australia has had. I still say it was the best option. I had to support someone I do not like for the betterment of my country. Phoenix cannot do this

The problem is that Phoenix was wrong, and many of the deaths that he claimed would happen under a lockdown did not happen. I don't mean that they went back to normal rates, I mean they were less than the average year. Most of the criticisms he has about lockdowns are factually untrue. I'm very willing to discuss real world problems, not made-up alternative facts. He kept on going on about how Biden would force vaccinations onto people without realising that Trump, through inaction, forced the US population into a medical crisis, which forced millions of people into medical debt, which forced businesses to close. He never saw COVID as a real threat or thought about the damage it was doing, and he changed the definitions of words to fit this narrative

In short, he put his own beliefs about his own country, and the country paid dearly
The perfectly common sense things that I mentioned to your other post (just above) would've accomplished probably like 90% of the more egregious lockdown policies because a lot of them weren't based in science and didn't do anything or did very little. The left kept kids out of school and they all got covid anyway, what was the point? What did that accomplished but essentially make them miss a year of school and miss a year of childhood? And that caused more benefits than harms in your world? You do realize this is something that I think literally everyone has now admitted was a massive mistake, right? Again, I and many experts said that it would be a massive mistake because literally the rest of the world didn't do that.
 

Silvanus

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Protection from severe disease and very very short-term immunity (like any other infection does).
Cool, so you acknowledge it conveyed some protection. Glad we finally got past that.

You don't get sick from basically anything from going to the store (not even the super highly transmissible diseases) because it takes more than just coming into contact with very tiny amounts of a virus/bacteria.
According to your own chosen metric and your own chosen source, this is untrue.

This is one of the other things we already knew. China did the study on covid surface transmission and only tracked one infection to an elevator button. We knew before it broke out in the US that this was the case. So much of covid we knew that people failed to acknowledge.
Doesn't change the fact that nobody here is arguing for wiping down your groceries for covid. You're objecting to irrelevant early-pandemic panic behaviours.

The countries that help other countries with such assistance would obviously not have said assistance during covid because it is not essential.
Most foreign aid did not halt during covid. This foreign aid did not need to halt. And even if such aid was cut, that wouldn't be a result of lockdown, because lockdown is domestic policy-- aid is a different area of policy altogether.

That is scientifically true.

Are you arguing you know more about cost-benefit analysis/covid/lockdowns than the people that did the study?
The basis on which that report concluded 6.3 million life-years lost was by considering a month spent in lockdown to be equivalent to being dead for that month.

I don't know about you, but I wasn't dead. I just couldn't do quite as many things for a little while.
 

Chimpzy

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Phoenixmgs

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Cool, so you acknowledge it conveyed some protection. Glad we finally got past that.



According to your own chosen metric and your own chosen source, this is untrue.



Doesn't change the fact that nobody here is arguing for wiping down your groceries for covid. You're objecting to irrelevant early-pandemic panic behaviours.



Most foreign aid did not halt during covid. This foreign aid did not need to halt. And even if such aid was cut, that wouldn't be a result of lockdown, because lockdown is domestic policy-- aid is a different area of policy altogether.



The basis on which that report concluded 6.3 million life-years lost was by considering a month spent in lockdown to be equivalent to being dead for that month.

I don't know about you, but I wasn't dead. I just couldn't do quite as many things for a little while.
Mere common sense tells you it's true. Nor is there literally any science on the probability of catching the cold at the grocery store. Studies like that don't exist.

These were things told to the public. These aren't people acting crazy posting on social media, these are news stations, experts, etc. I remember a nurse's video where she was using paint to demonstrate how covid transfers on surfaces, that wasn't true, that was misinformation (and information known at the time).

The pandemic is part of the problem. In March, WHO ordered a pause to all polio eradication campaigns to make sure vaccinators going door to door weren't unwittingly contributing to the spread of COVID-19. That order was lifted over the summer, but "as a result, 30 to 40 countries have not conducted mass immunization campaigns," Zaffran says. "During that period, up to 80 million children have been left unprotected against polio."

That is literally not what the paper said.
 

Hades

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Sure. Non-zero chance it's Musk's.
That poor child. Having either of those freaks as a father would be a horror story. And as bad as Vance is he'd probably be slighter better for the child. For all his many, many flaws there's no indication he despises his children or uses them as living shields like Musk does.
 

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The one time my modding of Skyrim at night has helped me(I was planning on going, ended up skipping):


1769062457930.png
 

Silvanus

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Mere common sense tells you it's true. Nor is there literally any science on the probability of catching the cold at the grocery store. Studies like that don't exist.
Studies exist on the infectious dose. You posted one. It showed short contact was enough.

These were things told to the public. These aren't people acting crazy posting on social media, these are news stations, experts, etc. I remember a nurse's video where she was using paint to demonstrate how covid transfers on surfaces, that wasn't true, that was misinformation (and information known at the time).
I don't understand why you keep arguing as if anyone here is in support of wiping down their groceries. You're arguing against something nobody is saying.

The pandemic is part of the problem. In March, WHO ordered a pause to all polio eradication campaigns to make sure vaccinators going door to door weren't unwittingly contributing to the spread of COVID-19. That order was lifted over the summer, but "as a result, 30 to 40 countries have not conducted mass immunization campaigns," Zaffran says. "During that period, up to 80 million children have been left unprotected against polio."
Right, so not lockdown policy.

That is literally not what the paper said.
Literally is. Read your own sources.

Here's the passage:

"As of March 2021 the pandemic has lasted one year. That means that the average Canadian has lost two months of normal life. The population of Canada is about 37.7 million people, which means that 6.3 million years of life have been lost due to lockdown.

The average age of reported Covid-19 deaths in Canada is about 80. In Canada an average 80 year old has a life expectancy of 9.79 years. This means that the 6.3 million years of lost life is equivalent to the deaths of 643,513 80 year olds. As of March 22, 2021 Canada has had a total of 22,716 deaths due to Covid-19. That amounts to 222,389 lost years of life."

It is directly arguing that the months spent under lockdown are "equivalent" to months spent dead. It is using a 1-to-1 time ratio to compare the two.
 
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Schadrach

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Maybe she felt the need to tie JD down a bit more in case he's thinking of leaving her for widow Kirk.
Notably, the timing would roughly work out. Given what they've said about when she's expecting they would have conceived around November. 2 months after Kirk died, around the time of the hug that got people started talking.
 

Phoenixmgs

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The one time my modding of Skyrim at night has helped me(I was planning on going, ended up skipping):


View attachment 14191
Why is a public governmental agency recruiting at a public university an issue?

Studies exist on the infectious dose. You posted one. It showed short contact was enough.



I don't understand why you keep arguing as if anyone here is in support of wiping down their groceries. You're arguing against something nobody is saying.



Right, so not lockdown policy.



Literally is. Read your own sources.

Here's the passage:

"As of March 2021 the pandemic has lasted one year. That means that the average Canadian has lost two months of normal life. The population of Canada is about 37.7 million people, which means that 6.3 million years of life have been lost due to lockdown.

The average age of reported Covid-19 deaths in Canada is about 80. In Canada an average 80 year old has a life expectancy of 9.79 years. This means that the 6.3 million years of lost life is equivalent to the deaths of 643,513 80 year olds. As of March 22, 2021 Canada has had a total of 22,716 deaths due to Covid-19. That amounts to 222,389 lost years of life."

It is directly arguing that the months spent under lockdown are "equivalent" to months spent dead. It is using a 1-to-1 time ratio to compare the two.
There's not really any way to figure out the specifics of infectious dose on humans (which the source I posted literally said). Plus, then you have to figure out how much actual virus you'd get from walking by a sick person, which is also an unknown.
That’s still an inexact science. The gold-standard study, called a human challenge study, involves purposely giving people a dose of the pathogen. Unfortunately, this approach is ethically difficult (opens a new tab) since it (obviously) carries a risk of serious illness and potential long-term complications.
So instead, researchers expose guinea pigs, rats, mice or ferrets, depending on the pathogen. But it can be difficult to directly extrapolate animal dosage to the human equivalent.


There was tons of misinformation told to the public that was already known about covid and you keep acting like this knowledge wasn't known when it indeed was (and accusing me of Monday Morning Quarterbacking).

Telling people to not do things because of covid is lockdown policy...

No, it is not...
On the other hand, for others who are older, professional, have no children at home, live in a large house with a garden, dislike travel, and have poorer health,
lockdown might have given them comfort and been no inconvenience. These folks might sacrifice nothing to avoid lockdown.
The question is: how many months would be sacrificed on average? Professor Caplan argues that X = 10 months is a conservative estimate. That is, on average,
two months would be sacrificed to have avoided lockdown. For the sake of argument, suppose this is the true number for the average Canadian.
As of March 2021 the pandemic has lasted one year. That means that the average Canadian has lost two months of normal life.


😂

Oh boy, that's comically bad.
It's not because Silvanus doesn't know how to read.
 

Silvanus

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There's not really any way to figure out the specifics of infectious dose on humans (which the source I posted literally said).
So you introduced this metric. You introduced the reference. And now you want to talk about how unreliable it is.

There was tons of misinformation told to the public that was already known about covid and you keep acting like this knowledge wasn't known when it indeed was (and accusing me of Monday Morning Quarterbacking).
When did we (forum members) act as if wiping down vegetables or shopping bags was necessary?

Telling people to not do things because of covid is lockdown policy...
Uhrm, no. Not if its unrelated to lockdowns, its not.

No, it is not...
On the other hand, for others who are older, professional, have no children at home, live in a large house with a garden, dislike travel, and have poorer health,
lockdown might have given them comfort and been no inconvenience. These folks might sacrifice nothing to avoid lockdown.
The question is: how many months would be sacrificed on average? Professor Caplan argues that X = 10 months is a conservative estimate. That is, on average,
two months would be sacrificed to have avoided lockdown. For the sake of argument, suppose this is the true number for the average Canadian.
As of March 2021 the pandemic has lasted one year. That means that the average Canadian has lost two months of normal life.
"Suppose this ia true", it asks us, that the experience of lockdown is equivalent to 2 months dead.

Absolute horseshit. And that is the calculation its asking us to make.
 

Chimpzy

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“What I need [state leaders] to do is empower their local officials to help...our federal officials out in a way where this can be a little less chaotic and it can be a little bit more targeted. Like, if we’re trying to find a sex offender, tell us where the guy lives!” he exclaimed.
Nope, not doing it. Too obvious.
 

Gergar12

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Why is a public governmental agency recruiting at a public university an issue?


There's not really any way to figure out the specifics of infectious dose on humans (which the source I posted literally said). Plus, then you have to figure out how much actual virus you'd get from walking by a sick person, which is also an unknown.
That’s still an inexact science. The gold-standard study, called a human challenge study, involves purposely giving people a dose of the pathogen. Unfortunately, this approach is ethically difficult (opens a new tab) since it (obviously) carries a risk of serious illness and potential long-term complications.
So instead, researchers expose guinea pigs, rats, mice or ferrets, depending on the pathogen. But it can be difficult to directly extrapolate animal dosage to the human equivalent.


There was tons of misinformation told to the public that was already known about covid and you keep acting like this knowledge wasn't known when it indeed was (and accusing me of Monday Morning Quarterbacking).

Telling people to not do things because of covid is lockdown policy...

No, it is not...
On the other hand, for others who are older, professional, have no children at home, live in a large house with a garden, dislike travel, and have poorer health,
lockdown might have given them comfort and been no inconvenience. These folks might sacrifice nothing to avoid lockdown.
The question is: how many months would be sacrificed on average? Professor Caplan argues that X = 10 months is a conservative estimate. That is, on average,
two months would be sacrificed to have avoided lockdown. For the sake of argument, suppose this is the true number for the average Canadian.
As of March 2021 the pandemic has lasted one year. That means that the average Canadian has lost two months of normal life.



It's not because Silvanus doesn't know how to read.
Because public research universities recruit from across the world, and it's in bad form to have an agency that's at the epicenter of controversy in the US recruit in such an institution.