Ukraine

Generals

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Anyone can easily predict an invasion if he provoked himself, provokes and will continue to provoke until the invasion actually begins. It works not only with Russia but also with China.
Ah yes, the ultimate provocation of doing ... nothing? Or was it the Ukrainians who dared telling Russia they wouldn't be their puppet state? Is that the provocation?
But hey, feel free to move to great Russia or China and live the dream.
 

Silvanus

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Poland currently believes it was indeed Ukrainian defensive systems misfiring.

You guys are about twelve hours behind anti-NATO twitter on this one. Take your time catching up.
The time difference between US/UK and Russia probably accounts for a few of those hours. The troll farms had a head start!
 

Hades

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Anyone can easily predict an invasion if he provoked himself, provokes and will continue to provoke until the invasion actually begins. It works not only with Russia but also with China.
Wait how is agreeing that Ukraine is an independent country a ''provocation'' towards Russia? Ukraine objectively IS an independent nation and has been since the end of the cold war. If anything its Russia insisting it should still own Ukraine which is the provocation here.

Every step in this conflict has been Russia provoking Ukraine and the west, and then escalating matters when these provocations backfired.
 

The Rogue Wolf

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Ah yes, the ultimate provocation of doing ... nothing? Or was it the Ukrainians who dared telling Russia they wouldn't be their puppet state? Is that the provocation?
But hey, feel free to move to great Russia or China and live the dream.
"He made me fear for my safety by hitting my fist with his face."
 

Def

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Wait how is agreeing that Ukraine is an independent country a ''provocation'' towards Russia? Ukraine objectively IS an independent nation and has been since the end of the cold war. If anything its Russia insisting it should still own Ukraine which is the provocation here.

Every step in this conflict has been Russia provoking Ukraine and the west, and then escalating matters when these provocations backfired.
Independence comes with full responsibility for decisions. Oppositely, dependence is a way to lose responsibility. Finland haven't done antirussian politics since the end of WW2, that's why USSR and Russia never touched it. But Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, and especially Ukraine were antirussian since 1991.

The main Ukrainian provocation before the Russian invasion is the resumption of the war with the breakaway republics on October 29, 2021. Russia has repeatedly persuaded Kyiv to peace before October 29 and after. Protecting allies is a Russian mission. Kyiv understood what it was doing. Later came responsibility.
 

Silvanus

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Independence comes with full responsibility for decisions. Oppositely, dependence is a way to lose responsibility. Finland haven't done antirussian politics since the end of WW2, that's why USSR and Russia never touched it. But Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, and especially Ukraine claimed and did antirussian politics since 1991.
What do you actually mean by "antirussian" politics, though? They've not acted aggressively towards Russia in the first instance-- not attacked it, crossed its border illegally, etc. Russia, on the other hand, has constantly threatened Ukraine with annihilation; invaded it twice; illegally sent disguised troops over the border; sponsored an insurgency for 8 years; massacred its population. Ukrainian actions have been reactions to those events.

The main Ukrainian provocation before the Russian invasion is the resumption of the war with the breakaway republics on October 29, 2021. Russia has repeatedly persuaded Kyiv to peace before October 29 and after. Protecting allies is a Russian mission. Kyiv understood what it was doing. Later came responsibility.
Those "breakaway republics" are Russian-run insurgencies on Ukrainian land. The "provocation" there was Russia creating and funding those insurgencies in the first place, and effectively seizing control of a chunk of Ukrainian land via puppets.

Countries have a right to defend their territory when hostile states create paramilitary forces to take it over.
 
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Def

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What do you actually mean by "antirussian" politics, though? They've not acted aggressively towards Russia in the first instance-- not attacked it, crossed its border illegally, etc.
1. NATO is the main potential enemy of Russia. Joining NATO and deploying American military bases on their territory is an anti-Russian politics.
2. They sponsored and supplied Russian enemies with mercenaries in wars in the Caucasus 1994-1996, 1999-2000, 2008.
 
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Silvanus

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1. NATO is the main potential enemy of Russia. Joining NATO and deploying American military bases on their territory is an anti-Russian politics.
Ukraine did not join NATO, and America has no military bases on Ukrainian land. The only foreign military bases on Ukrainian land before the invasion were Russian.

2. They sponsored and supplied Russian enemies with mercenaries in wars in the Caucasus 1994-1996, 1999-2000, 2008.
Well, let's investigate that in a bit more depth. Who're we talking about here? Given the dates, it would seem you're talking about the Chechen Wars. The far-right UNSO did indeed provide support to Chechen separatists, though the Ukrainian government did not.
 
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Hades

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But Latvia, Estonia, Lithuania, and especially Ukraine were antirussian since 1991.
Maybe because Russia keeps conquering and torturing them. Perhaps if Russia actually tried being a decent neighbor rather than immediately responding with extreme violence whenever they get mildly annoyed their neighbors wouldn't seek protection against them.

The main Ukrainian provocation before the Russian invasion is the resumption of the war with the breakaway republics on October 29, 2021. Russia has repeatedly persuaded Kyiv to peace before October 29 and after. Protecting allies is a Russian mission. Kyiv understood what it was doing. Later came responsibility.
Maybe the responsibility lies with Russia for creating those ''Republics'' to begin with. What you're doing is victim blaming Ukraine for trying to reclaim lands that are legitimately theirs and which are under hostile occupation. Russia could instantly solve the problem by just retreating back to their borders and give Ukraine their territory back.

1. NATO is the main potential enemy of Russia. Joining NATO and deploying American military bases on their territory is an anti-Russian politics.
Not really. Because Russia has proven that if one of their neighbors is not in NATO that they'll seek to dominate and eventually conquer that neighbor. Ukraine wanting to join NATO is a pro Ukraine policy rather than an anti Russia one. Because Russia has proven that they can't be trusted not to invade their neighbors.

Also this whole mess did not start over NATO membership. It started with a trade deal between Ukraine and the EU that Russia tried to forbid Ukraine from making.
 

Gergar12

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To all of the people on this topic, yes it was a Ukrainian S-300, my bad.
 

Seanchaidh

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The time difference between US/UK and Russia probably accounts for a few of those hours. The troll farms had a head start!
We knew it was an S-300 at around noon or two o'clock Pacific Standard Time (which is to say 30 to 32 hours ago at this point), iirc

One of those benefits of treating Zelensky as the liar he is.
 

Terminal Blue

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We knew it was an S-300 at around noon or two o'clock Pacific Standard Time (which is to say 30 to 32 hours ago at this point), iirc
One of the hazards of continually lying is that people stop caring what you think even when you're right.

Speaking of lying, how much would you say the CIA paid Caleb Maupin's accusers to claim he pressured them into sex work? Are we talking five figures, six figures? Asking for a friend..
 

Def

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Ukraine did not join NATO, and America has no military bases on Ukrainian land. The only foreign military bases on Ukrainian land before the invasion were Russian.
The United States builds military facilities on the territory of Ukraine. As example, Ochakiv. It is not an American military base right now but the trend is clear. They build centers for training and coordination according to NATO standards, NATO instructors are there. This step is not friendly to Russia and is one of the casus belli.
 

Kwak

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This step is not friendly to Russia and is one of the casus belli.
What's the point of being 'friendly' to an evil country?
.
 
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Def

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What's the point of being 'friendly' to an evil country?
Your links are demonizations of Russia. Each country has a huge list of such links, except Sweden, Finland, New Zealand, Australia, Switzerland, Iceland, Ireland. Other side of that exceptions: they don't influence the World. Russia wants to influence because, in its ideology, a multipolar balance is safer than American hegemony.

Moscow politely asked another evil country to stop building military facilities near Russia and stop training not friendly armies but Moscow was not heard.
 

Satinavian

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Irrelevant whataboutery about things that happened before most of us were even born.

The only reason NATO didn't get dissolved after the Cold War was that Russia continued too be a threat to its neighbors. And refused to build the same kind of peaceful coexistence that nearly every other former Warsaw Pact member achieved.


Most Western European nations have been very friendly and accommodating towards Russia for a long time. But that was not reciprocated at all. Instead we got lies and betrayals.
And that is why "The West pushed Russia to do this" is so laughable as argument.
 
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Thaluikhain

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Each country has a huge list of such links, except Sweden, Finland, New Zealand, Australia, Switzerland, Iceland, Ireland. Other side of that exceptions: they don't influence the World.
Maybe not a huge list (currently), but Australia's got a fair few, currently the SASR may or may not be in trouble for actions in Afghanistan.
 

Silvanus

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We knew it was an S-300 at around noon or two o'clock Pacific Standard Time (which is to say 30 to 32 hours ago at this point), iirc

One of those benefits of treating Zelensky as the liar he is.
The S-300 is used by both Ukraine and Russia.

The United States builds military facilities on the territory of Ukraine. As example, Ochakiv. It is not an American military base right now but the trend is clear. They build centers for training and coordination according to NATO standards, NATO instructors are there. This step is not friendly to Russia and is one of the casus belli.
Not just "right now"-- Ochakiv has never acted as an American military base.

If you consider the presence of foreign military facilities to be a casus belli, then presumably you also consider the numerous full Russian military bases on Ukrainian land to be far more unacceptable.
 
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