Mr F. said:
I really cannot see the logical failings there. Stories like LoTR, yeah, I can see the logical bullshit (Why not fly? Why do the heroes magically avoid all arrows at all times? Why has technology stagnated? etc). But AGOT is clever, it is logical and if you follow it closely, it is... slightly predictable.
Ok, this is a pet peeve of mine. I agree that the Red Wedding makes perfect sense in the context of the story. No arguments there. I just take issue with recycling some of the most fallacious arguments about "plot holes" in the Lord of the Rings. So, in order:
Why not fly? Because Sauron is an incredibly powerful Dark Lord with hosts of flying monsters (ravens, fell beasts, and more) at his disposal. The eagles only enter Mordor once Sauron is actually
dead, his forces scattered, and his magic unraveling.
Why do the heroes magically avoid arrows at all times? Well, first of all, Boromir gets shot down by arrows. Really, the only time the characters are magically evading arrows is during the escape from the Mines of Moria, which is more artistic license on the movie's part and not something I really recall from the books. Even there, it's dark, goblins are crap shots with terrible bows, and the heroes are a small and moving target. In all the other cases with lots of arrows flying around it's in the midst of a large battle with thousands of combatants on either side, and even GRRM doesn't tend to have characters die from stray arrows in the middle of a fight. In fact, between Boromir's death and Faramir's fall, LOTR makes more of the fact that any man, no matter how mighty a hero, can be cut down by an arrow a lot more than ASOIAF does.
Why has technology stagnated? It hasn't. The Third Age is the age after the Fall of Numenor. Technology had been advancing (not in terms of weapons and armour, because the world was largely at peace, but culture and art and medicine and the understanding of magic), until the hubris of the men of Numenor and the manipulations of Sauron brought everything crashing down. The Third Age is Middle Earth in recovery. Technology hasn't been stagnant all this time, it's risen and then regressed. On top of this, the most powerful force in Middle Earth has historically been a race of immortal, nature-loving beings who never sicken and really have no force driving them to technological innovation. Over on Sauron's side, where there is a drive for industry, we have rudimentary assembly lines, factories, and even explosives and the invention of gunpowder during the Third Age. And it's not like A Song of Ice and Fire is exempt from this trope. We're talking a setting with something like a ludicrous 5,000 year documented history, without technology ever going much past the faux-Medieval stage of almost all Western fantasy. Sure, it's been said that the record keepers are probably wrong about how extensive their history is, but it still doesn't give the impression of an advancing world. Frankly, ASOIAF always struck me as much more stagnant than LOTR.